Stand Out Games

Structural deviation compares our blended odds view (market + statistical explorer features) against market probabilities. Only games with max |Δ| of 0.5% or higher are shown.

Total games 2,135
Live now 0
Avg Max |Δ| 4.6%
Biggest |Δ| 13.5%
Avg our quality 76.9%
Our beats market 63%

Value pick performance (finished games)

Avg odds (our pick) 1.94 Average decimal odds (1.94) on our value pick across 1794 finished games. Pick = side with the largest positive edge vs market (min 1.5%). Odds = 100 ÷ market % on that side from the latest blended sync. Based on 1035 wins (57.7% hit rate).
Hit rate 57.7% 1035 of 1794 value picks won (57.7%). A pick wins when the actual result matches the picked outcome (home, draw, or away). Only finished games with edge ≥ min threshold count.
Break-even odds 1.73 Decimal odds needed at this hit rate for 1-unit flat stakes to break even: 100 ÷ 57.7% = 1.73. Your average odds are 1.94. Your average odds are above break-even at this hit rate.
Flat bet ROI 3.4% Flat bet ROI (3.4%) across 1794 finished value picks: 1035 wins, 759 losses. Each pick stakes 1 unit — wins return (decimal odds − 1), losses cost 1 unit. Hit rate 57.7%, average odds 1.94. Positive ROI means net profit over the sample at 1-unit flat stakes.
Value picks 1,794 1794 finished stand-out games with a value pick — largest positive Δ ≥ 1.5% on one outcome. One pick per game.
Championship
Sat, 2 May 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.1% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sat, 30 May 2:15 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Mon, 11 May 6:30 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Admiral Bundesliga
Sun, 10 May 3:00 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Serie B
Fri, 8 May 6:30 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Championship
Sat, 2 May 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Championship
Sat, 2 May 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Serie A
Mon, 27 Apr 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Superliga
Sun, 26 Apr 4:00 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Premier League
Sat, 25 Apr 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Ekstraklasa
Fri, 24 Apr 4:00 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
1. HNL
Tue, 21 Apr 4:45 PM
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.2% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sat, 25 Apr 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 94.9% on the actual outcome vs market 94.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.3% 94.9% +0.6%
Draw 4.5% 4.5% -0.1%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Pro League
Sat, 18 Apr 2:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.2% on the actual outcome vs market 94.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.6% 95.2% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.3% 0.2% -0.2%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sun, 19 Apr 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 4.2% 4.1% 0.0%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 16 Apr 7:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 4.2% 4.1% 0.0%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Allsvenskan
Sun, 31 May 12:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Mon, 25 May 3:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Serie A
Sun, 24 May 6:45 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Fri, 15 May 7:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga
Wed, 13 May 7:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Fri, 8 May 5:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Pro League
Fri, 1 May 6:45 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sun, 26 Apr 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Super League
Sun, 26 Apr 2:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Ligue 1
Sun, 26 Apr 1:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Pro League
Thu, 23 Apr 6:45 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Serie A
Fri, 17 Apr 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 95.3% on the actual outcome vs market 94.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 94.7% 95.3% +0.6%
Draw 5.1% 4.6% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sun, 24 May 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.7% on the actual outcome vs market 95.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.1% 95.7% +0.6%
Draw 3.7% 3.7% +0.0%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Market leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Bundesliga
Sat, 16 May 1:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.7% on the actual outcome vs market 95.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.1% 95.7% +0.6%
Draw 3.7% 3.7% +0.0%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Market leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sun, 12 Apr 7:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.7% on the actual outcome vs market 95.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.1% 95.7% +0.6%
Draw 3.7% 3.7% +0.0%
Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%
Market leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 9 Jul 6:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.7% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.6% 0.3% -0.3%
Draw 4.2% 3.9% -0.2%
Away 95.2% 95.7% +0.6%
Model leans Away by 0.6% Max |Δ|: 0.6% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Wed, 20 May 6:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sun, 17 May 2:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Premiership
Mon, 4 May 4:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Premier League
Sat, 2 May 2:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sun, 26 Apr 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Admiral Bundesliga
Sat, 25 Apr 3:00 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Pro League
Sun, 19 Apr 5:15 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Model leans Away by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Championship
Sat, 18 Apr 11:30 AM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Bundesliga
Sun, 12 Apr 5:30 PM
Our prediction 99.8%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.8% on the actual outcome vs market 95.2%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 4.6% 4.1% -0.5%
Away 95.2% 95.8% +0.5%
Model leans Away by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Eredivisie
Sun, 10 May 2:45 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 95.9% on the actual outcome vs market 95.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.4% 95.9% +0.5%
Draw 3.7% 3.6% -0.1%
Away 0.9% 0.5% -0.5%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
World Cup
Thu, 25 Jun 8:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Admiral Bundesliga
Fri, 22 May 5:30 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Wed, 20 May 5:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Model leans Away by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Sat, 16 May 6:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Eredivisie
Sun, 10 May 2:45 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
1. HNL
Sun, 10 May 2:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Model leans Away by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Our prediction 99.9%
Market prediction 99.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 96.1% on the actual outcome vs market 95.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 4.2% 3.8% -0.4%
Away 95.6% 96.1% +0.5%
Model leans Away by 0.5% Max |Δ|: 0.5% Open Preview

Our content is provided for informational purposes only we do not offer betting advice and accept no responsibility for any betting decisions or losses.

Live Profit Progression

Cumulative flat-stake performance across finished value picks.

Full History Log

Date Match Selection Odds Outcome