Huesca vs Real Zaragoza preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio El Alcoraz Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Huesca HUE
1 0
Real Zaragoza ZAR
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
Óscar Sielva - 65' (P)
Goal
|
Dani Jiménez 90+14' Red Card
|
Second yellow card Esteban Andrada 90+8'
Red Card Dani Tasende 90+13'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Huesca 1–0 Real Zaragoza. The result saw Huesca take the points. Huesca showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Huesca exhibited minimal structural deviation of 5.3%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment determination.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market view.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: Red cards in second half heavily influenced proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Two red cards per team created significant match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
VS
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: D
Las Palmas Rank: L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: D
Granada Rank: L
Almería Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: L
Leganés Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 8 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Huesca
94.72%
Draw
5.09%
Away Real Zaragoza
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.81
20.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Huesca
Real Zaragoza
Power Score
13.81
20.54
League Position
20
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Huesca Real Zaragoza

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Zaragoza

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Huesca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Zaragoza
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Huesca Real Zaragoza
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Huesca Real Zaragoza
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Huesca
Real Zaragoza
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Huesca
vs
Real Zaragoza
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Huesca Real Zaragoza
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Huesca 0.00
Real Zaragoza 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Huesca Real Zaragoza
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Huesca 0.00
Real Zaragoza 0.00
Huesca
Real Zaragoza
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HUE had peak pressure around 10'.
  • HUE started the game with stronger pressure.
HUE Pressure ZAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HUE reached the top pressure at 10' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Huesca HUE Home
19 matches
Real Zaragoza ZAR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
4
Goals
21
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
21
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T16:01:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Jiménez López
Spain
13 D. Jiménez López
J. Abad Martínez
Substitution
Spain
2 J. Abad Martínez
I. Sebastián Magaña
Substitution
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
J. Pulido Mayoral
Spain
14 J. Pulido Mayoral
R. Abajas Martín
Substitution
Spain
3 R. Abajas Martín
J. Álvarez Aguado
Spain
16 J. Álvarez Aguado
Ó. Sielva Moreno
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Sielva Moreno
D. Luna
Colombia
33 D. Luna
J. Mier Martínez
Spain
6 J. Mier Martínez
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
S. Enrich Ametller
Substitution
Spain
9 S. Enrich Ametller
E. Andrada
Argentina
1 E. Andrada
J. Larios López
Substitution
Spain
27 J. Larios López
J. El Yamiq
Morocco
18 J. El Yamiq
P. Ínsua Blanco
Spain
4 P. Ínsua Blanco
M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
Spain
20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
Y. Saidu
Substitution
33 Y. Saidu
M. Mensah Vadze
Substitution
Ghana
26 M. Mensah Vadze
M. Cuenca Aranda
Substitution
Spain
23 M. Cuenca Aranda
R. González Bayón
Spain
11 R. González Bayón
F. Gracia
Spain
14 F. Gracia
D. Gómez Alcón
Substitution
Spain
9 D. Gómez Alcón

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio El Alcoraz
Capacity
9100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve
Samuel Sanz Torcal
Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Statistics

Possession
HUE
43%
ZAR
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
37 Dangerous attacks 53
39 Possession 61
1 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0
83 Successful Dribbles Percentage 70
2 Penalties 0
6 Dribble Attempts 10
21 Throwins 31
7 Goal Kicks 6
5 Successful Dribbles 7
5 Substitutions 6
91 Ball Safe 101
9 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

51 Attacks 86
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

284 Passes 447
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
214 Successful Passes 368
19 Successful Long Passes 32
75 Successful Passes Percentage 82
53 Long Passes 57
7 Key Passes 4

Defensive

55 Duels Won 45
9 Interceptions 10
15 Tackles 6
2 Saves 4

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 19
2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

15 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

13
Dani Jiménez
Dani Jiménez Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Toni Abad
Toni Abad Defender
6.64
4
Álvaro Carrillo
Álvaro Carrillo
Defender71'
6.65
3
Ro Abajas
Ro Abajas Defender
6.52
11
Liberto Beltrán
Liberto Beltrán
Attacker82'
6.71
5
Piña
Piña Defender
6.69
22
Michael Agbekpornu
Michael Agbekpornu
Midfielder78'
6.55
14
Jorge Pulido
Jorge Pulido Defender
6.81
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier Midfielder
6.75
16
Jesús Álvarez
Jesús Álvarez Midfielder
6.78
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
6.76
23
Óscar Sielva
Óscar Sielva Midfielder
7.07
8
Jordi Martín
Jordi Martín
Defender71'
6.44
33
Daniel Luna
Daniel Luna Midfielder
6.66
9
Sergi Enrich
Sergi Enrich Attacker
6.66
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez
Attacker71'
6.62
Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

1
Esteban Andrada
Esteban Andrada Goalkeeper
7.05
4
Pablo Insua
Pablo Insua Defender
5.29
18
Jawad El Yamiq
Jawad El Yamiq Defender
6.98
20
Martín Aguirregabiria
Martín Aguirregabiria Defender
6.83
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios Defender
6.6
3
Dani Tasende
Dani Tasende
Defender74'
6.74
11
Rober González
Rober González Midfielder
7.17
14
Francho Serrano
Francho Serrano Midfielder
6.85
23
Marcos Cuenca
Marcos Cuenca Midfielder
6.47
19
Kenan Kodro
Kenan Kodro
Attacker57'
6.8
26
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze Midfielder
6.79
10
Raúl Guti
Raúl Guti
Midfielder74'
6.94
33
Yussif Saidu
Yussif Saidu Midfielder
6.83
8
Toni Moya
Toni Moya
Midfielder85'
6.72
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Attacker
6.78
31
Hugo Pinilla
Hugo Pinilla
Midfielder85'
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dani Jiménez
2nd Redcard
90+14'
Event
3rd Redcard
90+13'
90+13'
Event
Dani Tasende
1st Redcard
90+8'
Event
Esteban Andrada
Argument / 1st Yellow/red Card
90+8'
Event
Dani Tasende
Card adjusted
90+8'
Event
Dani Tasende
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Jawad El Yamiq
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Javi Mier
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
86'
85'
Event
Toni Moya → Yussif Saidu
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Hugo Pinilla → Dani Gómez
10th Substitution
Event
Liberto Beltrán → Ro Abajas
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Michael Agbekpornu → Piña
7th Substitution
78'
74'
Event
Raúl Guti → Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Dani Tasende → Juan Larios
6th Substitution
Event
Álvaro Carrillo → Toni Abad
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Enol Rodríguez → Sergi Enrich
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Jordi Martín → Óscar Sielva
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Toni Abad
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
67'
Event
8th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Óscar Sielva
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
65'
64'
Event
Esteban Andrada
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Juan Larios
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Kenan Kodro → Marcos Cuenca
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Pablo Insua
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Óscar Sielva
GoalkeeperSave
6'

CONCLUSION

Huesca's 1-0 triumph over stronger Real Zaragoza exemplifies triumph through adversity, as both teams' double dismissals leveled the playing field post-halftime. Zaragoza's possession edge evaporated under red card pressure, allowing Huesca to exploit disorganized defenses for the winner. This minimal deviation outcome stayed true to efficiency lines and market foresight, though absent xG metrics limit deeper chance evaluation. The red card distortion dominated analysis, transforming a potential Zaragoza stroll into a survival battle won by Huesca's grit. Such results remind that discipline often trumps talent in high-stakes derbies.