Stand Out Games

Structural deviation compares our blended odds view (market + statistical explorer features) against market probabilities. Only games with max |Δ| of 0.5% or higher are shown.

Total games 2,488
Live now 3
Avg Max |Δ| 4.5%
Biggest |Δ| 13.5%
Avg our quality 77.5%
Our beats market 65%

Value pick performance (finished games)

Avg odds (our pick) 1.91 Average decimal odds (1.91) on our value pick across 2070 finished games. Pick = side with the largest positive edge vs market (min 1.5%). Odds = 100 ÷ market % on that side from the latest blended sync. Based on 1222 wins (59.0% hit rate).
Hit rate 59.0% 1222 of 2070 value picks won (59.0%). A pick wins when the actual result matches the picked outcome (home, draw, or away). Only finished games with edge ≥ min threshold count.
Break-even odds 1.69 Decimal odds needed at this hit rate for 1-unit flat stakes to break even: 100 ÷ 59.0% = 1.69. Your average odds are 1.91. Your average odds are above break-even at this hit rate.
Flat bet ROI 3.4% Flat bet ROI (3.4%) across 2070 finished value picks: 1222 wins, 848 losses. Each pick stakes 1 unit — wins return (decimal odds − 1), losses cost 1 unit. Hit rate 59.0%, average odds 1.91. Positive ROI means net profit over the sample at 1-unit flat stakes.
Value picks 2,070 2070 finished stand-out games with a value pick — largest positive Δ ≥ 1.5% on one outcome. One pick per game.
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 7:00 PM
Partizan vs Getafe
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 22.7% 20.0% -2.8%
Draw 27.6% 24.2% -3.3%
Away 49.7% 55.8% +6.1%
Model leans Away by 6.1% Max |Δ|: 6.1% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 7:00 PM
Hibernian vs Gent
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 31.8% 29.7% -2.1%
Draw 28.5% 26.6% -1.9%
Away 39.7% 43.7% +4.0%
Model leans Away by 4.0% Max |Δ|: 4.0% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:45 PM
Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 31.5% 27.7% -3.8%
Draw 26.9% 23.6% -3.3%
Away 41.6% 48.6% +7.1%
Model leans Away by 7.1% Max |Δ|: 7.1% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:30 PM
Austria Wien vs Sporting Braga
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 27.1% 23.8% -3.3%
Draw 26.1% 22.9% -3.2%
Away 46.9% 53.3% +6.4%
Model leans Away by 6.4% Max |Δ|: 6.4% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:30 PM
Anderlecht vs Kairat
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 62.7% 68.1% +5.4%
Draw 21.5% 18.4% -3.1%
Away 15.8% 13.6% -2.3%
Model leans Home by 5.4% Max |Δ|: 5.4% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:30 PM
Ferencvárosi vs Trabzonspor
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 32.0% 29.8% -2.1%
Draw 27.6% 25.8% -1.8%
Away 40.4% 44.3% +3.9%
Model leans Away by 3.9% Max |Δ|: 3.9% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:00 PM
St. Gallen vs Nordsjælland
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 33.9% 29.8% -4.1%
Draw 25.4% 22.3% -3.1%
Away 40.7% 47.9% +7.2%
Model leans Away by 7.2% Max |Δ|: 7.2% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:00 PM
AGF vs Benfica
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 15.9% 13.6% -2.3%
Draw 22.3% 19.1% -3.2%
Away 61.8% 67.2% +5.4%
Model leans Away by 5.4% Max |Δ|: 5.4% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:00 PM
Ajax vs Sion
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 65.4% 70.4% +5.0%
Draw 18.6% 15.9% -2.7%
Away 16.0% 13.7% -2.3%
Model leans Home by 5.0% Max |Δ|: 5.0% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:00 PM
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 20.0% 18.6% -1.4%
Draw 22.6% 21.0% -1.6%
Away 57.5% 60.4% +2.9%
Model leans Away by 2.9% Max |Δ|: 2.9% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 6:00 PM
CSKA Sofia vs OFI
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 60.7% 63.5% +2.9%
Draw 22.5% 20.8% -1.6%
Away 16.9% 15.6% -1.2%
Model leans Home by 2.9% Max |Δ|: 2.9% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
Salzburg vs Mjällby
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 76.4% 89.4% +13.0%
Draw 16.5% 7.4% -9.1%
Away 7.1% 3.2% -3.9%
Model leans Home by 13.0% Max |Δ|: 13.0% Open Preview
Europa League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 11.0% 9.2% -1.7%
Draw 19.3% 16.2% -3.1%
Away 69.7% 74.6% +4.8%
Model leans Away by 4.8% Max |Δ|: 4.8% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
Brann vs PAOK
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 35.4% 33.0% -2.3%
Draw 27.0% 25.2% -1.8%
Away 37.6% 41.7% +4.1%
Model leans Away by 4.1% Max |Δ|: 4.1% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Drita
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 39.8% 43.8% +4.0%
Draw 28.6% 26.7% -1.9%
Away 31.6% 29.5% -2.1%
Model leans Home by 4.0% Max |Δ|: 4.0% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
Riga vs KÍ
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 64.7% 67.4% +2.7%
Draw 20.6% 19.0% -1.6%
Away 14.7% 13.6% -1.1%
Model leans Home by 2.7% Max |Δ|: 2.7% Open Preview
Europa Conference League
Thu, 27 Aug 5:00 PM
FC København vs Inter Turku
OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 71.2% 73.7% +2.5%
Draw 17.4% 15.9% -1.5%
Away 11.4% 10.4% -1.0%
Model leans Home by 2.5% Max |Δ|: 2.5% Open Preview

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Live Profit Progression

Cumulative flat-stake performance across finished value picks.

Full History Log

Date Match Selection Odds Outcome