Riga vs KÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Europa Conference League
KICKOFF :
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 0

CONTEXT

Riga host KÍ in Europa Conference League (Play-offs) at Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. Power ranking favours Riga by 15.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Riga hold a +15.7 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Riga sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Riga show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Riga have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Riga carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Riga hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Riga 64.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.6% (Δ+0%) | KÍ 14.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rank: D
Győri ETO Rank: 68 D
Győri ETO Rank: 69 W
Vardar Rank: W
Vardar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Riga Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Riga
64.69%
Draw
20.58%
Away
14.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.89
23.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Riga
Power Score
38.89
23.17
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Riga Opponent-weighted form score
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Riga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Riga RFC Home
1 matches
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T01:21:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 0
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

Squad

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
26
Gilli Rólantsson
22
Odmar Færø
Odmar Færø Defender
23
Jóannes Danielsen
6
Daniel Johansen
Daniel Johansen Defender
2
Gastón Tellechea
Símun Kalsö
Símun Kalsö Defender
René Joensen
René Joensen Midfielder
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
5
Deni Pavlović
Deni Pavlović Midfielder
25
Hampus Näsström
Hampus Näsström Midfielder
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard Attacker
7
Árni Frederiksberg
17
Filip Brattbakk
Filip Brattbakk Attacker
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad Attacker
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen Attacker
27
Dávid Reynheim
Dávid Reynheim Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Riga holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Riga a 15.7-point edge. External projection is Riga 68.2%, draw 20.1%, and KÍ 11.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.