CSKA Sofia vs OFI preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
Europa League
KICKOFF :
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3

CONTEXT

CSKA Sofia host OFI in Europa League (Play-offs) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Power ranking favours OFI by 0.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: OFI hold a +0.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: OFI sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: CSKA Sofia show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: OFI have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: OFI carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: OFI hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Baseline split: CSKA Sofia 60.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.5% (Δ+0%) | OFI 16.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
VS
OFI C. Kontis
C. Kontis
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
OFI Rank: 64 L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
Qarabağ Rank: D
Qarabağ Rank: D
Derry City Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA Sofia Rank: 66 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CSKA Sofia
60.66%
Draw
22.47%
Away OFI
16.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.87
65.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CSKA Sofia
OFI
Power Score
64.87
65.04
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
390
387

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
CSKA Sofia Opponent-weighted form score
OFI Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CSKA Sofia OFI

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CSKA Sofia CSK Home
1 matches
OFI OFI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T01:24:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
Capacity
22015
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Kružliak
Branislav Hancko
Ján Pozor
Peter Kralovic

Squad

Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Squad

Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Squad

13
Panagiotis Katsikas
Panagiotis Katsikas Goalkeeper
31
Nikos Christogeorgos
Nikos Christogeorgos Goalkeeper
1
Klidman Lilo
Klidman Lilo Goalkeeper
23
Manuel Kalafatis
Manuel Kalafatis Goalkeeper
15
Achilleas Poungouras
4
Nikolaos Marinakis
Nikolaos Marinakis Defender
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
24
Lorenzo Dickmann
Lorenzo Dickmann Defender
16
Christos Shelis
Christos Shelis Defender
2
Krešimir Krizmanić
Krešimir Krizmanić Defender
3
Nicolaos Athanasiou
Nicolaos Athanasiou Defender
5
Konstantinos Kostoulas
Konstantinos Kostoulas Defender
52
Konstantinos Lagoudakis
Konstantinos Lagoudakis Defender
Konstantinos Papadakis
Konstantinos Papadakis Defender
90
Pavlos Kenourgiakis
Pavlos Kenourgiakis Defender
41
Andreas Bouchalakis
Andreas Bouchalakis Midfielder
6
Zisis Karachalios
Zisis Karachalios Midfielder
14
Thanasis Androutsos
Thanasis Androutsos Midfielder
8
Giorgos Kanellopoulos
21
Giannis Apostolakis
Giannis Apostolakis Midfielder
91
Emmanouil Chnaris
Emmanouil Chnaris Midfielder
79
Fotis Koutsoupias
Fotis Koutsoupias Midfielder
71
Athanasios Sitmalidis
Athanasios Sitmalidis Midfielder
11
Taxiarchis Fountas
Taxiarchis Fountas Attacker
9
Aaron Leya Iseka
Aaron Leya Iseka Attacker
18
Thiago Thomas Nuss
Thiago Thomas Nuss Attacker
30
Tiago Romano
Tiago Romano Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward OFI holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give OFI a 0.2-point edge. External projection is CSKA Sofia 60.7%, draw 22.5%, and OFI 16.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.