Salzburg vs Mjällby preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Red Bull Arena
Europa League
KICKOFF :
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 0

CONTEXT

Salzburg host Mjällby in Europa League (Play-offs) at Red Bull Arena. Power ranking favours Salzburg by 5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Salzburg hold a +5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Salzburg sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Salzburg show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Salzburg have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Salzburg carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Salzburg hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Salzburg 76.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 16.5% (Δ+0%) | Mjällby 7.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 67 W
Pafos FC Rank: D
Pafos FC Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Salzburg Rank: 71 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Salzburg
76.36%
Draw
16.5%
Away Mjällby
7.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.8
65.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Salzburg
Mjällby
Power Score
70.8
65.8
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
224
361

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Salzburg Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Salzburg Mjällby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Salzburg RBS Home
1 matches
Mjällby MJA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
2.55
xG
1.27
1.27
xGA
2.55

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T01:23:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 0
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Capacity
30188
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Christian Früchtl
Christian Früchtl Goalkeeper
41
Nikola Šarčević
Nikola Šarčević Goalkeeper
52
Christian Zawieschitzky
22
Stefan Lainer
Stefan Lainer Defender
31
Dominik Robin Schmid
44
Kevin Boma
Kevin Boma Defender
18
Nikolas Veratschnig
13
Frans Krätzig
Frans Krätzig Defender
21
Tim Drexler
Tim Drexler Defender
39
Leandro Morgalla
Leandro Morgalla Defender
34
Hendry Aron Blank
91
Anrie Chase
Anrie Chase Defender
47
Valentin Zabransky
4
John Olof Mellberg
14
Maurits Kjaergaard
Maurits Kjaergaard Midfielder
32
Abobkar Bari
Abobkar Bari Midfielder
36
Justin Omoregie
Justin Omoregie Midfielder
7
Umut Tohumcu
Umut Tohumcu Midfielder
8
Sota Kitano
Sota Kitano Midfielder
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
Soumaïla Diabaté Midfielder
15
Bartosz Mazurek
Bartosz Mazurek Midfielder
28
Filip Matijašević
Filip Matijašević Midfielder
9
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
11
Yorbe Vertessen
Yorbe Vertessen Attacker
23
D. Redzic
D. Redzic Attacker
19
Karim Konaté
Karim Konaté Attacker
27
Johannes Mathias Moser
Johannes Mathias Moser Attacker
30
Gaoussou Diakité
20
Edmund Baidoo
Edmund Baidoo Attacker

Squad

35
Alexander Lundin
Alexander Lundin Goalkeeper
13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Defender
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
26
Ian Hoffmann
Ian Hoffmann Defender
3
Martin Agnarsson
Martin Agnarsson Defender
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Midfielder
14
William Granath
William Granath Midfielder
7
Viktor Gustafsson
Viktor Gustafsson Midfielder
10
Jeppe Kjaer
Jeppe Kjaer Midfielder
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård Midfielder
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Midfielder
8
Teo Helge
Teo Helge Midfielder
20
Måns Harry Isaksson
Måns Harry Isaksson Midfielder
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen Midfielder
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg Midfielder
11
Timo Stavitski
Timo Stavitski Attacker
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
9
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef Attacker
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
Villum Dalsgaard
Villum Dalsgaard Attacker
23
Olle Nilsson
Olle Nilsson Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Salzburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Salzburg a 5-point edge. External projection is Salzburg 76%, draw 16.6%, and Mjällby 7.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.