Ried vs SK Rapid preview

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
josko ARENA Fri, 22 May - 5:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Ried Ried
2 1
SK Rapid SCR
Full Time Fri, 22 May 5:30 PM
Final Leg 1 of 2
Benjamin Garcia - 14'
Joris Boguo - 77'
Goal
|
Goal
Romeo Amane - 75'

CONTEXT

Ried welcomed SK Rapid for the opening leg of their two-legged knockout encounter and emerged with a 2-1 victory. The home side took a 1-0 lead into the interval after an efficient first-half display. Despite SK Rapid enjoying 54 percent possession to Ried's 46 percent, the visitors could not convert territorial dominance into an equalizer until late. Ried added a second goal to restore their advantage and hold on for the narrow win. No red cards were issued throughout the contest, allowing both teams to maintain their preferred structures. The stronger side on paper ultimately fell short, yet the margin remained modest. The outcome reflected minimal deviation from established patterns and confirmed market alignment in the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ried secured a 2-1 victory over SK Rapid in the first leg despite SK Rapid being the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance metrics across both halves.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable, preventing direct alignment checks with the 2-1 outcome.
  • Market alignment: The final result demonstrated true alignment with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Absence of xG figures left expectations unverified against the recorded 2-1 scoreline.
  • Event impact: Ried's home win in leg one creates a narrow advantage heading into the return fixture.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown, leaving match dynamics free of any disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. Altmann
W. Altmann
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Pfister
D. Pfister
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Brandner
R. Brandner
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Katholnig
L. Katholnig
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 60 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 52 L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 59 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 W
WSG Tirol Rank: 51 L
Grazer AK Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 L
Austria Wien Rank: 64 L
LASK Linz Rank: 67 L
Salzburg Rank: 67 W
Hartberg Rank: 60 L
Hartberg Rank: 60 D
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 9 - 34
34

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ried
95.61%
Draw
4.2%
Away SK Rapid
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Ried
+2.26%
Draw
-2.21%
SK Rapid
-0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.47
57.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ried
SK Rapid
Power Score
47.47
57.6
League Position
9
5
Global Rank
655
556

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried SK Rapid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ried

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.87
18.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.24
45.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ried +2.35 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Rapid -2.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
SK Rapid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ried ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ried SK Rapid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ried SK Rapid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ried
SK Rapid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ried
vs
SK Rapid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ried SK Rapid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ried 0.45
SK Rapid 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ried SK Rapid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ried 0.03
SK Rapid 0.05
Ried
SK Rapid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Ried had peak pressure around 16'.
  • Ried started the game with stronger pressure.
Ried Pressure SCR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Ried reached the top pressure at 16' (97.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home
56 matches
SK Rapid SCR Away
Match Record
13
Wins
34
9
Draws
9
34
Losses
13
Goals
56
Goals Scored
107
107
Goals Conceded
56
-51
Goal Difference
+51
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T00:02:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Leitner
Austria
1 A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
Japan
5 N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
Substitution
Austria
23 M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
Germany
30 O. Steurer
P. Pomer
Austria
17 P. Pomer
Y. Nasrawe
Germany
19 Y. Nasrawe
M. Maart
South Africa
6 M. Maart
N. Bajlicz
Austria
28 N. Bajlicz
A. Bajic
Austria
12 A. Bajic
J. Boguo
Substitution
15 J. Boguo
K. Mutandwa
Zambia
7 K. Mutandwa
N. Hedl
Austria
1 N. Hedl
K. Ahoussou
Substitution
Ivory Coast
20 K. Ahoussou
S. Raux Yao
France
6 S. Raux Yao
J. Schöller
Austria
4 J. Schöller
J. Auer
Substitution
Austria
23 J. Auer
A. Romeo
Ivory Coast
29 A. Romeo
A. Weimann
Substitution
Austria
26 A. Weimann
M. Seidl
Austria
18 M. Seidl
P. Dahl
Norway
10 P. Dahl
N. Wurmbrand
Substitution
Austria
15 N. Wurmbrand
E. Kara
Austria
9 E. Kara

General Information

Date & Time
May 22, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Final · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
josko ARENA
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Walter Altmann
Daniel Pfister
Roland Brandner
Luka Katholnig

Statistics

Possession
Ried
48%
SCR
52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 4
7 Shots 2
42 Dangerous attacks 37
46 Possession 54
4 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 9
1 Hit Woodwork 0
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
22 Throwins 17
6 Successful Dribbles 9
15 Dribble Attempts 15
2 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 4
62 Ball Safe 71
10 Goal Attempts 9

Attacking

81 Attacks 71
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

12 Key Passes 7
78 Successful Passes Percentage 82
348 Passes 402
53 Long Passes 46
23 Successful Long Passes 20
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
270 Successful Passes 328

Defensive

4 Saves 1
10 Tackles 20
3 Interceptions 7
39 Duels Won 49

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 1
7 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Walter Altmann

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner Goalkeeper
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia Defender
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Defender
18
Fabian Rossdorfer
Fabian Rossdorfer
Midfielder48'
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Defender
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Midfielder
17
Philipp Pomer
Philipp Pomer Midfielder
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Yussef Nasrawe Midfielder
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz Midfielder
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa Attacker
12
Ante Bajic
Ante Bajic Attacker
15
Joris Boguo
Joris Boguo Attacker
47
Evan Eghosa
Evan Eghosa
Midfielder83'
Referee : Walter Altmann

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
4
Jakob Schöller
Jakob Schöller Defender
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
20
Ange Ahoussou
Ange Ahoussou Defender
21
Louis Schaub
Louis Schaub
Midfielder85'
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Midfielder
23
Jonas Auer
Jonas Auer Midfielder
61
Furkan Demir
Furkan Demir
Defender71'
26
Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann Midfielder
16
Tobias Børkeeiet
Tobias Børkeeiet
Midfielder71'
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Midfielder
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara Attacker
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand Attacker
7
Marco Tilio
Marco Tilio
Attacker71'

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Furkan Demir
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Louis Schaub → Ange Ahoussou
7th Substitution
Event
Evan Eghosa → Joris Boguo
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Joris Boguo
Header / 3rd Goal
77'
75'
Event
Romeo Amane
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Martin Rasner → Fabian Rossdorfer
5th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Tobias Børkeeiet → Andreas Weimann
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Furkan Demir → Jonas Auer
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Marco Tilio → Nikolaus Wurmbrand
4th Substitution
Event
Fabian Rossdorfer → Michael Sollbauer
1st Substitution
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Benjamin Garcia
Header / 1st Goal
14'
Event
Nicolas Bajlicz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'

Match Commentary

86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Furkan Demir receives a yellow card.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Joris Boguo with a header results in a goal.
90
Attempt Attempt
Yussef Nasrawe's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Joris Boguo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Amane Romeo scores with a left-footed shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Moegamat Yusuf Maart takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Amane Romeo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Pomer's left-footed shot is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Bajlicz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Steurer's right-footed shot is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Ante Bajic's left-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Petter Nosa Dahl's right-footed shot is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Matthias Seidl's right-footed shot is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Petter Nosa Dahl takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Kingstone Mutandwa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
Update Update
Oliver Steurer's header is blocked.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nikki Havenaar scores to make it 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Moegamat Yusuf Maart takes a left-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Petter Nosa Dahl takes a left-footed shot but misses.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nikki Havenaar scores with a header.
37
Update Update
Nikki Havenaar's header is blocked.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Bajlicz receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Ried's disciplined approach allowed them to overcome possession deficits and claim an important first-leg lead. The 2-1 scoreline after a 1-0 halftime advantage highlighted their clinical finishing at key moments. SK Rapid controlled more of the ball yet struggled to create consistent threats inside the penalty area. With both teams finishing with eleven players, the contest remained open and competitive until the final whistle. The minimal deviation recorded underscores how closely the result mirrored underlying trends. Ried now carries a slight edge into the second leg, where they will aim to protect their aggregate position. SK Rapid must improve conversion rates if they hope to overturn the deficit away from home. Overall the evening belonged to the hosts who executed their game plan with precision.