Aalesund vs Brann preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Color Line Stadion Wed, 20 May - 6:00 PM
Eliteserien
Aalesund Aalesund
2 1
Brann SKB
Full Time Wed, 20 May 6:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
Marcus Haagensen Reed - 26'
Henrik Melland - 90+4'
Goal
|
Goal
Noah Holm - 68'

CONTEXT

Aalesund defeated Brann by a final score of 2-1. The home side led 1-0 at halftime after an early goal. Brann held 58 percent possession while Aalesund managed 42 percent. Despite Brann being the stronger team on paper the result favored Aalesund. No red cards were shown to either side so both teams completed the match with eleven players. The deviation from expected patterns measured 4.8 percent and was classified as minimal with the deviation linked to Aalesund. The outcome remained consistent with available alignment metrics throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Aalesund 2-1 Brann. Aalesund showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the result matched recorded indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained unassessed due to the lack of expected goals figures.
  • Event impact: Event impact followed normal patterns without notable disruptions to the scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent because no red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Haugen
J. Haugen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Langseth
R. Langseth
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Tariq
I. Tariq
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Halsen
T. Halsen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
VS
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: 62 W
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
KFUM Rank: 56 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 70 W
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Aalesund
95.23%
Draw
4.58%
Away Brann
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Aalesund
+1.86%
Draw
-1.83%
Brann
-0.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.78
68.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aalesund
Brann
Power Score
45.78
68.61
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
897
242

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aalesund Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
62.26
24.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.91
62.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Aalesund +3.74 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -3.74 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Aalesund
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Aalesund Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Aalesund Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Aalesund
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Aalesund
vs
Brann
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Aalesund Brann
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Aalesund 0.56
Brann 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Aalesund Brann
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Aalesund 0.01
Brann 0.05
Aalesund
Brann
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 24'.
  • SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
Aalesund Pressure SKB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 24' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aalesund Aalesund Home
26 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
7
Wins
13
6
Draws
6
13
Losses
7
Goals
35
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
35
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-21T00:01:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
K. Klaesson
Norway
1 K. Klaesson
M. Andersen
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Andersen
S. Haram
Norway
4 S. Haram
A. Hammer Kjelsen
Norway
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
O. Gudmundsson
Iceland
3 O. Gudmundsson
U. Nwokoma
Nigeria
14 U. Nwokoma
M. Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
21 M. Christensen
E. Hagen
Norway
18 E. Hagen
E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Substitution
Norway
15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch
K. Lonnebu
Norway
39 K. Lonnebu
M. Haagensen Reed
Substitution
27 M. Haagensen Reed
S. Nilsen
Norway
12 S. Nilsen
J. Soltvedt
Substitution
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
V. Winger Dragsnes
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
T. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
M. Hellan
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Hellan
K. Ingason
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
N. Jensen Wassberg
Substitution
Norway
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
K. Eriksen
Norway
16 K. Eriksen
J. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
N. Holm
Norway
29 N. Holm
U. Mathisen
Norway
14 U. Mathisen

General Information

Date & Time
May 20, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium
Color Line Stadion
Capacity
10778
Attendance
5003
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jørgen Haugen
Runar Langseth
Imran Tariq
Torgeir Halsen

Statistics

Possession
Aalesund
48%
SKB
52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 4
43 Dangerous attacks 69
42 Possession 58
4 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 1
17 Successful Dribbles 3
20 Throwins 25
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18
9 Goal Kicks 12
27 Dribble Attempts 17
0 Assists 1
63 Ball Safe 79
1 Injuries 0
11 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

116 Attacks 104
8 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

60 Long Passes 62
73 Successful Passes Percentage 78
328 Passes 459
26 Successful Long Passes 17
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
240 Successful Passes 356
16 Key Passes 10

Defensive

28 Tackles 17
20 Interceptions 19
75 Duels Won 58
3 Saves 3

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 30
3 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

17 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Jørgen Haugen

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
2
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen Defender
7
Kristoffer Nessø
Kristoffer Nessø
Midfielder27'
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson Defender
4
Simen Haram
Simen Haram Defender
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Defender
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Defender
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Midfielder
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Midfielder74'
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Midfielder
8
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland
Midfielder74'
27
Marcus Haagensen Reed
Marcus Haagensen Reed Attacker
17
E. Myrlid
E. Myrlid
Attacker87'
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
Referee : Jørgen Haugen

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
2
Martin Hellan
Martin Hellan Defender
32
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder46'
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
15
Jonas Torsvik
Jonas Torsvik
Defender83'
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6
Cheikh Mbacke
Cheikh Mbacke
Defender43'
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Midfielder
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Midfielder
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker69'
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
26
Rabbi Matondo
Rabbi Matondo
Midfielder69'
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Noah Holm
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Henrik Melland
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+4'
Event
E. Myrlid → Marcus Haagensen Reed
9th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Jonas Torsvik → Joachim Soltvedt
8th Substitution
Event
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson → Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Henrik Melland → Mathias Christensen
7th Substitution
74'
69'
Event
Rabbi Matondo → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Bård Finne → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Noah Holm
Header / 2nd Goal
57'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Markus Haaland → Martin Hellan
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Cheikh Mbacke → Thore Pedersen
2nd Substitution
Event
Kristoffer Nessø → Marius Andresen
1st Substitution
27'
Event
Marcus Haagensen Reed
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
26'
Event
Marius Andresen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
21'

CONCLUSION

The 2-1 result underlined Aalesund's capacity to convert limited chances into goals even while holding less possession. Brann's greater share of the ball failed to produce an equal number of scoring opportunities. With no red cards present the contest maintained its intended structure from start to finish. Minimal deviation combined with confirmed market alignment indicates the outcome followed observable efficiency trends. The halftime lead of 1-0 proved decisive as Aalesund defended their advantage in the second half. This performance shows how possession differentials and efficiency measures can diverge from final results when conversion rates differ between teams.