Cagliari vs Atalanta preview
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena
Mon, 27 Apr - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Cagliari
CAG
1
–
0
1ST HALF
2'
Atalanta
ATA
Live : 1st Half
Mon, 27 Apr
4:30 PM
Round 34 ·
Regular Season
Paul Mendy - 1'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 12
Events
1ST-HALF
Paul Mendy
Header / 1st Goal
1'
Statistics
Possession
CAG
69%
ATA
31%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
0
1
Big Chances Created
0
1
Shots
0
1
Dangerous attacks
0
71
Possession
29
Match Overview
1
Successful Headers
0
0
Successful Dribbles Percentage
0
Attacking
1
Attacks
1
Possession
1
Key Passes
0
4
Passes
2
100
Successful Passes Percentage
50
4
Successful Passes
1
0
Long Passes
1
0
Successful Long Passes Percentage
0
Defensive
1
Duels Won
0
Build-up
1
Total Crosses
0
1
Accurate Crosses
0
Lineup
Referee :
Juan Luca Sacchi
Manager ▼
F. Pisacane
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Elia Caprile
Goalkeeper
6.91 15
Juan Rodríguez
Defender
6.67 26
Yerry Mina
Defender
6.89 32
Zé Pedro
Defender
6.6 33
Adam Obert
Defender
6.83 8
Michel Adopo
Midfielder
6.68 10
Gianluca Gaetano
Midfielder
6.82 14
Alessandro Deiola
Midfielder
6.73 90
Michael Folorunsho
Midfielder
6.57 94
Sebastiano Esposito
Midfielder
7.18 31
Paul Mendy
Attacker
Substitutes ▼
12
Alen Sherri
Goalkeeper
6.04 24
Giuseppe Ciocci
Goalkeeper
6.7 2
Marco Palestra
Defender
6.95 18
Othniël Raterink
Defender
6.39 22
Alberto Dossena
Defender
6.81 28
Gabriele Zappa
Defender
6.59 25
Ibrahim Sulemana
Midfielder
6.46 27
Joseph Liteta
Midfielder
6.51 9
Semih Kılıçsoy
Attacker
6.66 19
Andrea Belotti
Attacker
7.22 20
Agustín Albarracín Basil
Attacker
6.67 29
Gennaro Borrelli
Attacker
6.74 37
Yael Trepy
Attacker
6.63
Referee :
Juan Luca Sacchi
Manager ▼
R. Palladino
Coach
Starting XI ▼
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Goalkeeper
7.07 19
Berat Djimsiti
Defender
6.95 23
Sead Kolasinac
Defender
6.6 42
Giorgio Scalvini
Defender
7 8
Mario Pašalić
Midfielder
7 15
Marten de Roon
Midfielder
6.95 16
Raoul Bellanova
Midfielder
6.8 77
Davide Zappacosta
Midfielder
6.86 9
Gianluca Scamacca
Attacker
7.03 17
Charles De Ketelaere
Attacker
7.18 18
Giacomo Raspadori
Attacker
7.05 Substitutes ▼
50
Piotr Pardel
Goalkeeper
57
Marco Sportiello
Goalkeeper
6.66 3
Odilon Kossounou
Defender
6.63 4
Isak Hien
Defender
6.81 5
Mitchel Bakker
Defender
6.73 40
Relja Obric
Defender
69
Honest Ahanor
Defender
6.64 6
Yunus Musah
Midfielder
7.11 10
Lazar Samardžić
Midfielder
6.85 13
Éderson
Midfielder
6.97 59
Nicola Zalewski
Midfielder
6.97 7
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Attacker
6.7 90
Nikola Krstović
Attacker
7.1 CONTEXT
Cagliari have exploded out of the blocks in their Serie A showdown with Atalanta, netting a stunning goal right in the opening minute to lead 1-0 during the live first half at minute 1. The home side, defying pre-match expectations where Atalanta were the clear structural favorites with a dominant projection leadership, now hold the live leadership and winner-so-far status. Cagliari command 55% possession against Atalanta's 45%, showcasing early efficiency in line with expectations despite the divergence from projections. No red cards have been shown, keeping the game open, and with xG data not yet available this deep into the first half, the focus remains on Cagliari's blistering start that has flipped the script on the visitors' pregame edge. Atalanta, caught off-guard, must regroup quickly to realign with their favored status.
TL;DR
-
Live state: Cagliari leads Atalanta 1-0 in live first half at minute 1 with home side as live leader.
-
Structural vs live: Pregame structurally stronger Atalanta trails the live leader Cagliari after early concession.
-
Projection vs live: Live 1-0 Cagliari lead diverges from pregame projection favoring Atalanta leadership.
-
xG trend: No xG data available yet in early live first half at minute 1.
-
Possession profile: Cagliari enjoys 55% possession to Atalanta's 45%, supporting their early structural control.
-
Event impact: Cagliari's minute 1 goal creates divergence from pre-match signals favoring Atalanta.
-
Second-half outlook: Live efficiency trend is in line with; The next phase depends on whether Cagliari can sustain control without conceding high-value chances.
-
Market: Cagliari 37.5% (Δ+17.6%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+1.6%) | Atalanta 35.8% (Δ-19.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
F. Pisacane
VS
R. Palladino
0.96
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.68
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter
Rank:
L
Cremonese
Rank:
W
Sassuolo
Rank:
L
Napoli
Rank:
L
Pisa
Rank:
L
Como
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma
Rank:
D
Juventus
Rank:
L
Lecce
Rank:
W
Hellas Verona
Rank:
W
Inter
Rank:
D
Udinese
Rank:
D
12
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 5 - 18
18
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Cagliari
37.47%
Draw
26.77%
Atalanta
35.76%
Movement
Changes since opening
Cagliari
+17.58%
Draw
+1.58%
Atalanta
-19.16%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.06
26.38
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Atalanta
Power Score
14.06
26.38
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Cagliari
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Atalanta
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Cagliari Atalanta
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Cagliari
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Atalanta
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Cagliari
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Atalanta
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Cagliari
Atalanta
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Cagliari
Atalanta
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cagliari
Atalanta
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Cagliari
vs
Atalanta
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Cagliari
Atalanta
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Cagliari
0.00
Atalanta
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cagliari
Atalanta
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Cagliari
0.00
Atalanta
0.00
Cagliari
Atalanta
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Cagliari
CAG
Home
35
matches
Atalanta
ATA
Away
Match Record
12
Wins
18
5
Draws
5
18
Losses
12
Goals
38
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
38
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T16:00:48+00:00
PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
1 E. Caprile
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
26 Y. Mina González
15 J. Rodríguez Camejo
33 A. Obert
8 M. Adopo
10 G. Gaetano
94 S. Esposito
14 A. Deiola
90 M. Folorunsho
31 P. Mendy
29 M. Carnesecchi
23 S. Kolašinac
19 B. Djimsiti
42 G. Scalvini
77 D. Zappacosta
8 M. Pašalić
15 M. de Roon
16 R. Bellanova
18 G. Raspadori
17 C. De Ketelaere
9 G. Scamacca
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sardegna Arena
Capacity
16416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Juan Luca Sacchi
Valerio Vecchi
Davide Di Marco
Davide Moro
Next Match
Cagliari
vs
Bologna
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 10:30 AM
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta
vs
Genoa
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 6:45 PM
Venue: Gewiss Stadium
CONCLUSION
Cagliari's lightning-quick opener has turned pre-match narratives on their head, positioning the underdogs as live frontrunners with solid possession dominance at minute 1 of the first half. Atalanta, despite their pregame superiority and projection alignment, face an uphill battle to reverse this diverging trend without red card disruptions. Efficiency remains in line, but the visitors must harness their structural advantages soon to avoid a prolonged chase. Expect heightened intensity as the half unfolds, with second-half adjustments pivotal for Atalanta's comeback hopes.
