Stand Out Games

Structural deviation compares our blended odds view (market + statistical explorer features) against market probabilities. Only games with max |Δ| of 0.5% or higher are shown.

Total games 2,135
Live now 0
Avg Max |Δ| 4.6%
Biggest |Δ| 13.5%
Avg our quality 76.9%
Our beats market 63%

Value pick performance (finished games)

Avg odds (our pick) 1.94 Average decimal odds (1.94) on our value pick across 1794 finished games. Pick = side with the largest positive edge vs market (min 1.5%). Odds = 100 ÷ market % on that side from the latest blended sync. Based on 1035 wins (57.7% hit rate).
Hit rate 57.7% 1035 of 1794 value picks won (57.7%). A pick wins when the actual result matches the picked outcome (home, draw, or away). Only finished games with edge ≥ min threshold count.
Break-even odds 1.73 Decimal odds needed at this hit rate for 1-unit flat stakes to break even: 100 ÷ 57.7% = 1.73. Your average odds are 1.94. Your average odds are above break-even at this hit rate.
Flat bet ROI 3.4% Flat bet ROI (3.4%) across 1794 finished value picks: 1035 wins, 759 losses. Each pick stakes 1 unit — wins return (decimal odds − 1), losses cost 1 unit. Hit rate 57.7%, average odds 1.94. Positive ROI means net profit over the sample at 1-unit flat stakes.
Value picks 1,794 1794 finished stand-out games with a value pick — largest positive Δ ≥ 1.5% on one outcome. One pick per game.
La Liga 2
Fri, 17 Apr 6:30 PM
Real Sociedad II 1 – 3 Racing Santander
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Championship
Tue, 14 Apr 7:00 PM
Southampton 3 – 0 Blackburn Rovers
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Liga Portugal
Sun, 12 Apr 2:30 PM
Alverca 3 – 1 Casa Pia
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Serie B
Sat, 11 Apr 5:30 PM
Monza 2 – 0 Bari 1908
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
La Liga
Sat, 11 Apr 4:30 PM
FC Barcelona 4 – 1 Espanyol
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Ligue 1
Sat, 2 May 3:00 PM
Paris Saint Germain 2 – 2 Lorient
Our prediction 99.4%
Market prediction 99.3%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 91.6% on the actual outcome vs market 90.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 7.2% 7.3% +0.1%
Draw 90.6% 91.6% +1.0%
Away 2.3% 1.1% -1.1%
Market leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
World Cup
Fri, 3 Jul 3:00 AM
Switzerland 2 – 0 Algeria
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
World Cup
Thu, 2 Jul 12:00 AM
United States 2 – 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
World Cup
Sun, 28 Jun 2:00 AM
Jordan 1 – 3 Argentina
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
World Cup
Wed, 24 Jun 7:00 PM
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 – 1 Qatar
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
World Cup
Fri, 19 Jun 7:00 PM
United States 2 – 0 Australia
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
La Liga 2
Sun, 24 May 2:15 PM
FC Andorra 0 – 2 Ceuta
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Ekstraklasa
Sun, 17 May 10:15 AM
Piast Gliwice 1 – 3 Raków Częstochowa
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Ekstraklasa
Fri, 8 May 4:00 PM
Raków Częstochowa 2 – 0 Korona Kielce
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Admiral Bundesliga
Mon, 4 May 6:30 PM
LASK Linz 3 – 1 SK Rapid
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Ligue 1
Sun, 3 May 6:45 PM
Olympique Lyonnais 4 – 2 Rennes
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Super League
Sun, 3 May 2:30 PM
Grasshopper 0 – 2 Servette
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Bundesliga
Sat, 2 May 1:30 PM
Werder Bremen 1 – 3 FC Augsburg
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Ekstraklasa
Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Piast Gliwice 4 – 1 Arka Gdynia
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Allsvenskan
Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Mjällby 2 – 0 Halmstad
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Superliga
Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM
Fredericia 0 – 2 Odense BK
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Super Lig
Sat, 25 Apr 5:00 PM
Göztepe 2 – 0 Antalyaspor
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Serie A
Sat, 25 Apr 4:00 PM
Bologna 0 – 2 Roma
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Liga Portugal
Sat, 25 Apr 2:30 PM
Tondela 0 – 2 Nacional
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Premier League
Tue, 21 Apr 7:00 PM
Brighton & Hove Albion 3 – 0 Chelsea
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Admiral Bundesliga
Tue, 21 Apr 4:30 PM
Blau-Weiß Linz 3 – 0 Wolfsberger AC
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Champions League
Tue, 14 Apr 7:00 PM
Liverpool 0 – 2 Paris Saint Germain
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Eredivisie
Sat, 11 Apr 4:45 PM
Sparta Rotterdam 0 – 2 PSV
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Model leans Away by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Premier League
Sat, 11 Apr 4:30 PM
Liverpool 2 – 0 Fulham
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Pro League
Sat, 11 Apr 2:00 PM
Cercle Brugge 3 – 0 La Louvière
Our prediction 100.0%
Market prediction 100.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.0% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 97.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 97.9% 99.0% +1.1%
Draw 1.9% 0.9% -1.0%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
Serie B
Fri, 1 May 1:00 PM
Palermo 3 – 2 Catanzaro
Our prediction 99.2%
Market prediction 99.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.2% (assigned 91.1% on the actual outcome vs market 90.0%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 90.0% 91.1% +1.1%
Draw 9.5% 8.7% -0.8%
Away 0.5% 0.2% -0.2%
Model leans Home by 1.1% Max |Δ|: 1.1% Open Preview
La Liga
Sat, 23 May 7:00 PM
Valencia 3 – 1 FC Barcelona
Our prediction 99.4%
Market prediction 99.2%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.2% (assigned 91.9% on the actual outcome vs market 90.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 90.9% 91.9% +1.0%
Draw 8.7% 7.9% -0.8%
Away 0.5% 0.2% -0.2%
Model leans Home by 1.0% Max |Δ|: 1.0% Open Preview
La Liga
Wed, 13 May 5:00 PM
Espanyol 2 – 0 Athletic Club
Our prediction 99.4%
Market prediction 99.2%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.2% (assigned 91.9% on the actual outcome vs market 90.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 90.9% 91.9% +1.0%
Draw 8.7% 7.9% -0.8%
Away 0.5% 0.2% -0.2%
Model leans Home by 1.0% Max |Δ|: 1.0% Open Preview
Premier League
Sat, 18 Apr 2:00 PM
Newcastle United 1 – 2 AFC Bournemouth
Our prediction 99.4%
Market prediction 99.2%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.2% (assigned 91.9% on the actual outcome vs market 90.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.5% 0.2% -0.2%
Draw 8.7% 7.9% -0.8%
Away 90.9% 91.9% +1.0%
Model leans Away by 1.0% Max |Δ|: 1.0% Open Preview
Premiership
Sat, 2 May 2:00 PM
Falkirk 1 – 0 Motherwell
Our prediction 99.4%
Market prediction 99.2%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.2% (assigned 91.9% on the actual outcome vs market 90.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 90.9% 91.9% +1.0%
Draw 8.7% 7.9% -0.8%
Away 0.4% 0.2% -0.2%
Model leans Home by 1.0% Max |Δ|: 1.0% Open Preview
World Cup
Fri, 3 Jul 10:00 PM
Argentina 3 – 2 Cape Verde Islands
Our prediction 13.1%
Market prediction 13.9%

Market was closer to the result by 0.8% (market 6.3% on actual outcome vs our 6.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 6.3% 6.3% +0.0%
Draw 91.8% 92.7% +0.9%
Away 1.9% 0.9% -0.9%
Market leans Away by 0.9% Max |Δ|: 0.9% Open Preview
Eliteserien
Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM
Rosenborg 2 – 3 Aalesund
Our prediction 99.5%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.2% on the actual outcome vs market 92.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.3% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 7.4% 6.7% -0.7%
Away 92.3% 93.2% +0.8%
Model leans Away by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
Bundesliga
Sun, 10 May 1:30 PM
Hamburger SV 3 – 2 SC Freiburg
Our prediction 99.5%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.2% on the actual outcome vs market 92.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 92.3% 93.2% +0.8%
Draw 7.4% 6.7% -0.7%
Away 0.3% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
Premiership
Wed, 13 May 7:00 PM
Rangers 1 – 2 Hibernian
Our prediction 99.5%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.2% on the actual outcome vs market 92.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.3% 0.2% -0.2%
Draw 7.3% 6.6% -0.7%
Away 92.4% 93.2% +0.8%
Model leans Away by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
La Liga
Sun, 10 May 2:15 PM
Athletic Club 0 – 1 Valencia
Our prediction 99.5%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.2% on the actual outcome vs market 92.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 7.4% 6.7% -0.7%
Away 92.4% 93.2% +0.8%
Model leans Away by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
La Liga
Sat, 9 May 4:30 PM
Atlético Madrid 0 – 1 Celta de Vigo
Our prediction 99.5%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.2% on the actual outcome vs market 92.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 7.4% 6.7% -0.7%
Away 92.4% 93.2% +0.8%
Model leans Away by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
Premiership
Sun, 26 Apr 2:00 PM
Rangers 2 – 3 Motherwell
Our prediction 99.6%
Market prediction 99.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.3% on the actual outcome vs market 92.5%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 7.3% 6.6% -0.7%
Away 92.5% 93.3% +0.8%
Model leans Away by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
World Cup
Sat, 13 Jun 7:00 PM
Qatar 1 – 1 Switzerland
Our prediction 99.6%
Market prediction 99.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.7% on the actual outcome vs market 92.9%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.8% 0.4% -0.4%
Draw 92.9% 93.7% +0.8%
Away 6.4% 6.0% -0.4%
Model leans Draw by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
Premier League
Tue, 12 May 12:30 PM
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3 – 2 Polissya Zhytomyr
Our prediction 99.6%
Market prediction 99.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 93.8% on the actual outcome vs market 93.0%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 93.0% 93.8% +0.8%
Draw 6.4% 5.9% -0.5%
Away 0.6% 0.3% -0.3%
Model leans Home by 0.8% Max |Δ|: 0.8% Open Preview
Premier League
Mon, 13 Apr 7:00 PM
Manchester United 1 – 2 Leeds United
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.3% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 93.3% 94.1% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Ligue 1
Sun, 3 May 3:15 PM
Strasbourg 1 – 2 Toulouse
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 93.4% 94.1% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Serie B
Fri, 1 May 1:00 PM
Empoli 1 – 0 Avellino
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 93.4% 94.1% +0.7%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Pro League
Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM
Sporting Charleroi 0 – 1 Westerlo
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 93.4% 94.1% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Superliga
Fri, 8 May 5:00 PM
Viborg FF 0 – 1 Sønderjyske Fodbold
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 93.4% 94.1% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
La Liga
Sat, 11 Apr 2:15 PM
Elche 1 – 0 Valencia
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.6%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.1% on the actual outcome vs market 93.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 93.4% 94.1% +0.7%
Draw 6.4% 5.8% -0.6%
Away 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Model leans Home by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview
Liga Portugal
Mon, 11 May 7:15 PM
Vitória Guimarães 0 – 1 Casa Pia
Our prediction 99.7%
Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.1% (assigned 94.8% on the actual outcome vs market 94.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ
Home 0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
Draw 5.7% 5.1% -0.6%
Away 94.1% 94.8% +0.7%
Model leans Away by 0.7% Max |Δ|: 0.7% Open Preview

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Live Profit Progression

Cumulative flat-stake performance across finished value picks.

Full History Log

Date Match Selection Odds Outcome