United States vs Australia preview

2026 World Cup, World
Seattle Stadium Fri, 19 Jun - 7:00 PM
World Cup
United States USA
2 0
Australia AUS
Full Time Fri, 19 Jun 7:00 PM
Round 2 Group Stage
Cameron Burgess - 11' (Own Goal)
Alex Freeman - 43'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The United States hosted Australia in a match that ended 2-0 after the home side scored twice in the opening period. United States controlled proceedings with 62 percent possession and created the clearer openings throughout. Both goals arrived before the interval to establish a 2-0 halftime advantage that was never surrendered. Australia remained compact but managed only limited entries into the final third. Expected goals finished at 1.35 for the winners and 0.6 for the visitors, reflecting the territorial split. No red cards were shown and the second half produced no further goals despite continued pressure from the stronger side. The outcome confirmed the pre-match hierarchy between the two teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation stayed minimal as United States maintained expected dominance throughout the fixture.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with projections for both United States and Australia.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment matched the final result with United States at 1.35 and Australia at 0.6.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment proved accurate as the stronger team delivered the expected outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were fulfilled when United States converted first-half superiority into a 2-0 lead.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the 2-0 halftime score that shaped the remainder of the contest.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role as both teams finished with eleven players.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Zwayer
F. Zwayer
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Robert Kempter
Robert Kempter
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Christian Dietz
Christian Dietz
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Itzel García
K. Itzel García
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
United States M. Pochettino Trossero
M. Pochettino Trossero
VS
Australia T. Popović
T. Popović
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paraguay Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Türkiye Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home United States
97.89%
Draw
1.92%
Away Australia
0.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
66.67
38.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
United States
Australia
Power Score
66.67
38.89
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
-
27

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
United States Opponent-weighted form score
Australia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) United States Australia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

United States

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Australia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

United States ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Australia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.97
18.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.42
20.97
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
United States +0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Australia -0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
United States
Australia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

United States
vs
Australia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
United States Australia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
55%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.74 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
United States Australia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
55%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.74
United States
Australia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

United States
vs
Australia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
United States Australia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
United States Australia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
United States
Australia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USA had peak pressure around 47'.
  • AUS started the game with stronger pressure.
USA Pressure AUS Pressure
Pressure Index: USA reached the top pressure at 47' (74.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

United States USA Home
0 matches
Australia AUS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-20T00:00:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
F. Matthew
United States
24 F. Matthew
A. Freeman
United States
16 A. Freeman
C. Richards
United States
3 C. Richards
T. Ream
United States
13 (C) T. Ream
S. Dest
Substitution
United States
2 S. Dest
W. McKennie
Substitution
United States
8 W. McKennie
T. Adams
United States
4 T. Adams
M. Tillman
United States
17 M. Tillman
A. Robinson
Substitution
United States
5 A. Robinson
F. Balogun
Substitution
United States
20 F. Balogun
R. Pepi
Substitution
United States
9 R. Pepi
P. Beach
Australia
18 P. Beach
J. Bos
Australia
5 J. Bos
C. Burgess
Substitution
Australia
21 C. Burgess
H. Souttar
Australia
19 (C) H. Souttar
A. Circati
Australia
3 A. Circati
J. Italiano
Australia
4 J. Italiano
N. Velupillay
Substitution
Australia
23 N. Velupillay
P. Junior Okon-Engstler
Substitution
Australia
24 P. Junior Okon-Engstler
A. O'Neill
Australia
13 A. O'Neill
M. Leckie
Substitution
Australia
7 M. Leckie
M. Toure
Substitution
Australia
9 M. Toure

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 19, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium
Seattle Stadium
Capacity
68740
Attendance
66925
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felix Zwayer
Robert Kempter
Christian Dietz
Katia Itzel García

Statistics

Possession
USA
60%
AUS
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 3
60 Dangerous attacks 40
62 Possession 38
7 Corners 4
16 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 56
10 Goal Kicks 4
3 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 22
13 Successful Headers 24
1 Injuries 2
17 Dribble Attempts 22
11 Successful Dribbles 12
65 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

Attacking

124 Attacks 78

Possession

58 Long Passes 45
524 Passes 308
445 Successful Passes 220
85 Successful Passes Percentage 71
9 Key Passes 3
26 Successful Long Passes 19
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

2 Saves 1
20 Tackles 12
21 Interceptions 7
61 Duels Won 60

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 19
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI

24
Matt Freese
Matt Freese Goalkeeper
6.85
3
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
7.29
13
Tim Ream
Tim Ream (C) Defender
6.94
16
Alex Freeman
Alex Freeman Defender
7.93
2
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest Midfielder
7
23
Joe Scally
Joe Scally
Defender80'
6.58
4
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Midfielder
6.94
5
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Midfielder
7.23
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
Defender80'
6.57
8
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
7.36
7
Giovanni Reyna
Giovanni Reyna
Midfielder90+6'
17
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman Midfielder
7.1
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi Attacker
6.68
14
Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter
Midfielder74'
6.65
20
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Attacker
6.41
19
Haji Wright
Haji Wright
Attacker90+6'
Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI

18
Patrick Beach
Patrick Beach Goalkeeper
6.09
3
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
7.08
4
Jacob Italiano
Jacob Italiano Defender
6.13
5
Jordan Bos
Jordan Bos Defender
6.3
19
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar (C) Defender
6.44
21
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess Defender
5.91
6
Jason Geria
Jason Geria
Defender46'
6.35
7
Mathew Leckie
Mathew Leckie Midfielder
6.37
20
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato
Midfielder61'
7.23
13
Aiden O'Neill
Aiden O'Neill Midfielder
6.53
23
Nishan Velupillay
Nishan Velupillay Midfielder
6.13
8
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
Midfielder46'
6.78
24
Paul Okon-Engstler
Paul Okon-Engstler Midfielder
6.61
22
Jackson Irvine
Jackson Irvine
Midfielder78'
6.55
9
Mohamed Touré
Mohamed Touré Attacker
6.66
17
Nestory Irankunda
Nestory Irankunda
Attacker46'
6.66

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Giovanni Reyna Weston McKennie
9th Substitution
90+6'
Event
Haji Wright Folarin Balogun
10th Substitution
90+6'
Event
Chris Richards
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Folarin Balogun
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Jacob Italiano
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Harry Souttar
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Joe Scally Sergiño Dest
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Auston Trusty Antonee Robinson
8th Substitution
80'
78'
Event
Jackson Irvine Paul Okon-Engstler
6th Substitution
Event
Sebastian Berhalter Ricardo Pepi
5th Substitution
74'
61'
Event
Cristian Volpato Mathew Leckie
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Jordan Bos
Review
Event
Antonee Robinson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
46'
Event
Jason Geria Cameron Burgess
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nestory Irankunda Mohamed Touré
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Connor Metcalfe Nishan Velupillay
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Alex Freeman
Goal awarded
45'
Event
Alex Freeman
Header / 1st Goal
43'
32'
Event
Alessandro Circati
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
16'
Event
Jordan Bos
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Cameron Burgess
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Haji Wright is caught offside for the USA.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Giovanni Reyna comes on for Weston McKennie.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Haji Wright comes on for Folarin Balogun.
90
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
90
Update Update
Delay in the match in Australia.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chris Richards from the USA receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Nestory Irankunda from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards (USA).
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Jason Geria concedes.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Nestory Irankunda of Australia.
89
Update Update
Joe Scally (USA) is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Folarin Balogun from the USA receives a yellow card.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Harry Souttar from Australia receives a yellow card.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacob Italiano from Australia receives a yellow card.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Jason Geria of Australia.
88
Update Update
Malik Tillman wins a free kick for the USA on the left wing.
87
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Alessandro Circati from Australia takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes too high.
86
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from the USA commits a foul.
86
Update Update
Harry Souttar from Australia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Harry Souttar of Australia.
85
Update Update
Chris Richards from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Australia after Chris Richards concedes.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Auston Trusty comes on for Antonee Robinson.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Harry Souttar (Australia).
80
Update Update
Alex Freeman from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Joe Scally comes on for Sergiño Dest.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Australia after Folarin Balogun concedes.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Jackson Irvine comes on for Paul Okon-Engstler.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Jason Geria of Australia.
75
Update Update
Folarin Balogun (USA) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Sebastian Berhalter comes on for Ricardo Pepi.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Nestory Irankunda of Australia.
73
Update Update
Tim Ream from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Cristian Volpato wins a free kick for Australia in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
71
Update Update
Tyler Adams commits a foul for the USA.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
65
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Connor Metcalfe's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Cristian Volpato from Australia, who took a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Cristian Volpato comes on for Mathew Leckie due to an injury.
60
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Mathew Leckie from Australia.
60
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
59
Update Update
VAR decision: the previous decision has been cancelled.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Ricardo Pepi (USA).
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonee Robinson from the USA receives a yellow card for a foul.
56
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
54
Update Update
Folarin Balogun's header from the center of the box is blocked. Malik Tillman provided the cross.
54
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Alessandro Circati from Australia.
54
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Folarin Balogun from the USA.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Alessandro Circati concedes.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after a concession by Connor Metcalfe.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Alessandro Circati concedes.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Alessandro Circati concedes.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Alessandro Circati of Australia.
49
Update Update
Sergiño Dest (USA) is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
48
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from the USA is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Harry Souttar of Australia.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Connor Metcalfe comes on for Nishan Velupillay.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Nestory Irankunda comes on for Mohamed Touré.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at USA 2, Australia 0.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Jason Geria comes on for Cameron Burgess.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at USA 2, Australia 0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Sergiño Dest's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
45
Update Update
Jordan Bos of Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Alex Freeman (USA).
45
Update Update
Jordan Bos from Australia commits a handball.
45
Update Update
Jordan Bos from Australia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Alex Freeman of the USA.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Alessandro Circati concedes.
45
Update Update
Alessandro Circati from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Ricardo Pepi (USA).
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR is checking the goal scored by Alex Freeman for the USA.
43
Attempt Attempt
Sergiño Dest (USA) has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's blocked.
43
Update Update
Offside called against the USA. Alex Freeman is caught offside.
43
Update Update
Malik Tillman from the USA is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Paul Okon-Engstler of Australia.
38
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
38
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Paul Okon-Engstler from Australia.
38
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Ricardo Pepi's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Paul Okon-Engstler of Australia.
34
Update Update
Sergiño Dest (USA) is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
33
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards (USA).
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alessandro Circati of Australia receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Alessandro Circati of Australia.
32
Update Update
Malik Tillman (USA) is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Jacob Italiano concedes.
27
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
25
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Touré of Australia.
24
Update Update
Matt Freese wins a free kick for the USA in the defensive half.
24
Corner Corner
Australia is awarded a corner after Tyler Adams concedes.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Australia after a concession by Alex Freeman.
22
Attempt Attempt
Folarin Balogun's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Weston McKennie provided the assist.
18
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Weston McKennie from the USA.
17
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Weston McKennie (USA) had a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a set piece situation.
16
Update Update
Weston McKennie of the USA wins a free kick on the right wing.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Bos of Australia.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordan Bos from Australia receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
16
Update Update
Nishan Velupillay commits a foul for Australia.
16
Update Update
Tyler Adams from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Update Update
Weston McKennie's header from close range for the USA is blocked.
15
Update Update
Weston McKennie commits a handball for the USA.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after a concession by Cameron Burgess.
13
Corner Corner
USA wins a corner after Cameron Burgess concedes.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt missed by Mathew Leckie from Australia, who took a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Cameron Burgess scores an own goal for Australia. The score is now USA 1, Australia 0.
8
Attempt Attempt
Sergiño Dest's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Weston McKennie provided the assist.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Mathew Leckie of Australia.
6
Update Update
Tyler Adams from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
6
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
5
Update Update
Folarin Balogun commits a foul for the USA.
4
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Toure with his right foot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Felix Zwayer.

CONCLUSION

United States secured a straightforward 2-0 win by taking early control and protecting the advantage after the interval. Their higher share of possession translated into the only goals of the match while Australia found clear chances hard to manufacture. The expected goals figures supported the scoreline and underlined the difference in quality on display. With no dismissals or major disruptions the contest followed a logical path from start to finish. The result leaves United States with a clean sheet and maximum points from the encounter while Australia must regroup after failing to breach the defense. Overall the performance confirmed the pre-match assessment of the two sides and sets a positive platform for upcoming fixtures.