Stand Out Games

Structural deviation compares our blended odds view (market + statistical explorer features) against market probabilities. Only games with max |Δ| of 0.5% or higher are shown.

Total games 2,160

Live now 6

Avg Max |Δ| 4.6%

Biggest |Δ| 13.5%

Avg our quality 76.9%

Our beats market 63%

Value pick performance (finished games)

Avg odds (our pick) 1.94

Hit rate 57.7%

Break-even odds 1.73

Flat bet ROI 3.3%

Value picks 1,796

Super League

Sat, 16 May 4:00 PM

Winterthur 0 – 3

Luzern

Our prediction 94.6%

Market prediction 92.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.1% (assigned 73.2% on the actual outcome vs market 68.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 14.1% 12.0% -2.1%

Draw 17.5% 14.8% -2.6%

Away 68.4% 73.2% +4.8%

Model leans Away by 4.8% Max |Δ|: 4.8% Open Preview

Championship

Sat, 21 Mar 3:00 PM

Hull City 3 – 1

Sheffield Wednesday

Our prediction 94.6%

Market prediction 92.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.1% (assigned 73.3% on the actual outcome vs market 68.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.6% 73.3% +4.7%

Draw 19.0% 16.1% -2.9%

Away 12.5% 10.6% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Premier League

Thu, 21 May 12:30 PM

Shakhtar Donetsk 0 – 1

Kolos Kovalivka

Our prediction 30.5%

Market prediction 34.8%

Market was closer to the result by 4.3% (market 11.0% on actual outcome vs our 9.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.6% 73.3% +4.7%

Draw 20.4% 17.3% -3.1%

Away 11.0% 9.3% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Premier League

Sun, 26 Apr 3:00 PM

Polissya Zhytomyr 3 – 1

Obolon'-Brovar

Our prediction 94.4%

Market prediction 92.2%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.2% (assigned 73.4% on the actual outcome vs market 68.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.7% 73.4% +4.7%

Draw 22.0% 18.7% -3.3%

Away 9.3% 7.9% -1.4%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Ligue 1

Sat, 11 Apr 7:05 PM

Rennes 2 – 1

Angers SCO

Our prediction 94.6%

Market prediction 92.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.1% (assigned 73.4% on the actual outcome vs market 68.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.7% 73.4% +4.7%

Draw 20.2% 17.1% -3.1%

Away 11.1% 9.4% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Serie A

Sun, 17 May 1:00 PM

Inter 1 – 1

Hellas Verona

Our prediction 36.9%

Market prediction 42.3%

Market was closer to the result by 5.5% (market 18.5% on actual outcome vs our 15.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.8% 73.5% +4.7%

Draw 18.5% 15.7% -2.8%

Away 12.7% 10.8% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Premier League

Fri, 1 May 7:00 PM

Leeds United 3 – 1

Burnley

Our prediction 94.6%

Market prediction 92.5%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.1% (assigned 73.5% on the actual outcome vs market 68.8%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 68.8% 73.5% +4.7%

Draw 20.0% 16.9% -3.0%

Away 11.2% 9.5% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Eliteserien

Sun, 3 May 12:30 PM

Lillestrøm 4 – 0

Sarpsborg 08

Our prediction 100.0%

Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.3% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 94.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 94.3% 99.0% +4.7%

Draw 4.5% 0.4% -4.1%

Away 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Eredivisie

Sun, 10 May 2:45 PM

Go Ahead Eagles 1 – 4

PSV

Our prediction 100.0%

Market prediction 99.7%

Our model was closer to the result by 0.3% (assigned 99.0% on the actual outcome vs market 94.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 1.2% 0.6% -0.6%

Draw 4.5% 0.4% -4.1%

Away 94.3% 99.0% +4.7%

Model leans Away by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Eredivisie

Sun, 15 Mar 1:30 PM

AZ 4 – 0

Heracles Almelo

Our prediction 94.8%

Market prediction 92.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 73.7% on the actual outcome vs market 69.0%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.0% 73.7% +4.7%

Draw 17.4% 14.7% -2.6%

Away 13.6% 11.5% -2.1%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Serie A

Sat, 21 Mar 5:00 PM

AC Milan 3 – 2

Torino

Our prediction 94.8%

Market prediction 92.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.0% on the actual outcome vs market 69.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.3% 74.0% +4.7%

Draw 19.6% 16.6% -3.0%

Away 11.2% 9.5% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Champions League

Wed, 18 Mar 8:00 PM

FC Bayern München 4 – 1

Atalanta

Our prediction 94.9%

Market prediction 92.9%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.0% on the actual outcome vs market 69.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.3% 74.0% +4.7%

Draw 17.2% 14.6% -2.6%

Away 13.4% 11.4% -2.0%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Serie A

Fri, 24 Apr 6:45 PM

Napoli 4 – 0

Cremonese

Our prediction 94.9%

Market prediction 92.8%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.2% on the actual outcome vs market 69.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.6% 74.2% +4.7%

Draw 19.8% 16.8% -3.0%

Away 10.7% 9.0% -1.6%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Super Lig

Thu, 19 Mar 5:00 PM

Beşiktaş 2 – 1

Kasımpaşa

Our prediction 94.9%

Market prediction 92.9%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.2% on the actual outcome vs market 69.6%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.6% 74.2% +4.7%

Draw 18.9% 16.0% -2.9%

Away 11.5% 9.7% -1.8%

Model leans Home by 4.7% Max |Δ|: 4.7% Open Preview

Superliga

Sun, 5 Apr 4:00 PM

FC København 7 – 0

Silkeborg IF

Our prediction 95.0%

Market prediction 93.0%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.3% on the actual outcome vs market 69.7%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.7% 74.3% +4.6%

Draw 17.9% 15.2% -2.8%

Away 12.4% 10.5% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Eliteserien

Mon, 4 May 5:00 PM

Bodø / Glimt 0 – 1

Molde

Our prediction 32.1%

Market prediction 36.9%

Market was closer to the result by 4.8% (market 13.6% on actual outcome vs our 11.5%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.8% 74.4% +4.6%

Draw 16.7% 14.1% -2.6%

Away 13.6% 11.5% -2.1%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Super Lig

Fri, 17 Apr 5:00 PM

Fenerbahçe 2 – 2

Rizespor

Our prediction 35.6%

Market prediction 41.0%

Market was closer to the result by 5.4% (market 17.8% on actual outcome vs our 15.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 69.9% 74.5% +4.6%

Draw 17.8% 15.1% -2.7%

Away 12.3% 10.4% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Superliga

Sun, 22 Mar 3:00 PM

FC København 1 – 2

Fredericia

Our prediction 30.9%

Market prediction 35.5%

Market was closer to the result by 4.6% (market 12.3% on actual outcome vs our 10.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.0% 74.6% +4.6%

Draw 17.7% 15.0% -2.7%

Away 12.3% 10.4% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Premier League

Fri, 17 Apr 12:30 PM

Dynamo Kyiv 3 – 1

Zorya Luhansk

Our prediction 95.1%

Market prediction 93.1%

Our model was closer to the result by 2.0% (assigned 74.7% on the actual outcome vs market 70.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.1% 74.7% +4.6%

Draw 18.9% 16.0% -2.9%

Away 11.1% 9.4% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Bundesliga

Sat, 7 Mar 2:30 PM

RB Leipzig 2 – 1

FC Augsburg

Our prediction 95.2%

Market prediction 93.3%

Our model was closer to the result by 1.9% (assigned 74.7% on the actual outcome vs market 70.1%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.1% 74.7% +4.6%

Draw 17.1% 14.5% -2.6%

Away 12.8% 10.8% -2.0%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Eredivisie

Sun, 15 Mar 1:30 PM

Feyenoord 2 – 1

Excelsior

Our prediction 95.3%

Market prediction 93.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 1.9% (assigned 74.9% on the actual outcome vs market 70.3%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.3% 74.9% +4.6%

Draw 15.9% 13.4% -2.5%

Away 13.8% 11.7% -2.1%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Super Lig

Fri, 10 Apr 5:00 PM

Beşiktaş 4 – 2

Antalyaspor

Our prediction 95.3%

Market prediction 93.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 1.9% (assigned 75.0% on the actual outcome vs market 70.4%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.4% 75.0% +4.6%

Draw 17.4% 14.7% -2.7%

Away 12.2% 10.3% -1.9%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Superliga

Sun, 3 May 4:00 PM

AGF 2 – 1

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Our prediction 95.3%

Market prediction 93.4%

Our model was closer to the result by 1.9% (assigned 75.1% on the actual outcome vs market 70.5%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.5% 75.1% +4.6%

Draw 17.7% 15.0% -2.7%

Away 11.8% 9.9% -1.8%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Allsvenskan

Sat, 11 Apr 1:00 PM

Mjällby 0 – 2

Örgryte

Our prediction 29.2%

Market prediction 33.5%

Market was closer to the result by 4.3% (market 10.7% on actual outcome vs our 9.0%).

OutcomeMarketOurΔ

Home 70.5% 75.1% +4.6%

Draw 18.8% 15.9% -2.9%

Away 10.7% 9.0% -1.7%

Model leans Home by 4.6% Max |Δ|: 4.6% Open Preview

Our content is provided for informational purposes only we do not offer betting advice and accept no responsibility for any betting decisions or losses.

Live Profit Progression

Cumulative flat-stake performance across finished value picks.

Full History Log

Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Outcome