Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 UEFA Super Cup, Europe
Red Bull Arena
UEFA Super Cup
Paris Saint GermainPSG
2 1
Aston VillaAVL
Full Time
Final
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Paris Saint Germain hosted Aston Villa in a competitive encounter that concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side. The match was evenly poised at halftime with both teams finding the net once to make the score 1-1. In the second half Paris Saint Germain managed to edge ahead and secure the three points with their second goal of the game. Possession was dominated by the home team who held 61 percent of the ball compared to 39 percent for the visitors. No red cards were shown to players from either side throughout the ninety minutes. The stronger team according to pre-match assessments emerged victorious in line with expectations. The deviation from anticipated outcomes was minimal at 4.8 percent involving Paris Saint Germain. Overall the game showcased controlled play from the winners who maintained their advantage after taking the lead while expected goals information remained unavailable for further review.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed minimal structural deviation from pre-match expectations at 4.8 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing any alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were provided in the data.
  • Event impact: Paris Saint Germain scored the decisive goal in the second half after a 1-1 halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred resulting in no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Omar Abdulkadir Artan
Omar Abdulkadir Artan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Ahmed
L. Ahmed
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Yiembe
S. Yiembe
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Obrenović
R. Obrenović
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
VS
Aston Villa U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris Saint Germain
95.23%
Draw
4.58%
Away Aston Villa
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Paris Saint Germain
+1.84%
Draw
-1.83%
Aston Villa
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
94.79
93.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
Power Score
94.79
93.18
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
5
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Paris Saint Germain

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aston Villa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Paris Saint Germain ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.44
45.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.51
23.44
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Paris Saint Germain -1.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Aston Villa +1.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Paris Saint Germain ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Paris Saint Germain
vs
Aston Villa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Paris Saint Germain 0.26
Aston Villa 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Paris Saint Germain Aston Villa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Paris Saint Germain 0.02
Aston Villa 0.04
Paris Saint Germain
Aston Villa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AVL had peak pressure around 46'.
  • AVL started the game with stronger pressure.
PSG Pressure AVL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AVL reached the top pressure at 46' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris Saint Germain PSG Home
2 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:03:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 UEFA Super Cup, Europe · Final
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Capacity
30188
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Omar Abdulkadir Artan
Liban Abdourazak Ahmed
Stephen Yiembe
Rade Obrenović

Statistics

Possession
PSG
58%
AVL
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 5
6 Shots 8
46 Dangerous attacks 55
61 Possession 39
0 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 84
12 Goal Kicks 3
8 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 30
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0
17 Dribble Attempts 14
10 Successful Dribbles 7
59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

112 Attacks 76
2 Big Chances Missed 4
4 Counter Attacks 5

Possession

54 Long Passes 36
588 Passes 368
525 Successful Passes 289
89 Successful Passes Percentage 79
9 Key Passes 11
30 Successful Long Passes 23
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 64

Defensive

3 Saves 4
23 Tackles 18
9 Interceptions 4
52 Duels Won 40

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 14
1 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Starting XI ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi Defender
7.21
5
Marquinhos
Marquinhos (C) Defender
6.91
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Defender
7.5
21
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández
Defender75'
6.39
51
Willian Pacho
Willian Pacho Defender
7.34
17
Vitinha
Vitinha Midfielder
6.88
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder
7
87
João Neves
João Neves Midfielder
6.98
8
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
Midfielder75'
6.48
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker
7.33
4
Lucas Beraldo
Lucas Beraldo
Defender88'
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Attacker
6.83
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
Attacker46'
7.13
14
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué Attacker
8.19
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
Midfielder87'
Referee : Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Starting XI ▼

40
Marco Bizot
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper
6.36
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
6.58
3
Victor Lindelöf
Victor Lindelöf Defender
6.43
14
Pau Torres
Pau Torres Defender
6.24
5
Tyrone Mings
Tyrone Mings
Defender79'
6.4
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen Defender
6.97
7
John McGinn
John McGinn (C) Midfielder
7.61
47
Alysson
Alysson
Attacker73'
6.56
8
Boubacar Kamara
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder
6.71
26
Lamare Bogarde
Lamare Bogarde
Midfielder72'
6.72
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder
6.56
35
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.11
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley
Midfielder79'
6.59
53
George Lawrence Hemmings
George Lawrence Hemmings Midfielder
6.45
39
Brian Madjo
Brian Madjo Attacker
6.09
18
Tammy Abraham
Tammy Abraham
Attacker72'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lucas Beraldo → Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Senny Mayulu → Désiré Doué
9th Substitution
87'
79'
Event
Ross Barkley → João Gomes
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Tyrone Mings → Pau Torres
8th Substitution
Event
Lucas Hernández → Nuno Mendes 
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Fabián Ruiz → João Neves
6th Substitution
75'
73'
Event
Alysson → John McGinn
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Tammy Abraham → Brian Madjo 
2nd Substitution
72'
Event
Lamare Bogarde → Boubacar Kamara
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
John McGinn
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
Event
João Gomes
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Désiré Doué
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
61'
Event
Désiré Doué
Goal awarded
61'
51'
Event
Pau Torres
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ousmane Dembélé → Maghnes Akliouche
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Brian Madjo 
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
20'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emiliano Buendia Stati Head Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ousmane Dembele Left Footed Shot Saved
88
Update Update
On Lucas Beraldo，Off Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
87
Update Update
On Senny Mayulu，Off Desire Doue
83
Update Update
Offside
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Right Footed Shot Missed
79
Update Update
On Ross Barkley，Off Joao Victor Gomes da Silva
79
Update Update
On Tyrone Mings，Off Pau Torres
75
Update Update
On Fabian Ruiz Pena，Off Joao Neves
75
Update Update
On Lucas Hernandez，Off Nuno Mendes
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Victor Gomes da Silva Left Footed Shot Blocked
73
Update Update
On Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha，Off John McGinn
72
Update Update
On Lamare Bogarde，Off Boubacar Kamara
72
Update Update
On Tammy Abraham，Off Brian Madjo
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - John McGinn
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Right Footed Shot Missed
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - John McGinn
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Joao Victor Gomes da Silva
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Joao Victor Gomes da Silva
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Desire Doue Left Footed Shot Goal
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Desire Doue 2-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR Decision - Pending VAR - goal
61
Update Update
Offside
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Emiliano Buendia Stati Head Shot Missed
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Warren Zaire-Emery Right Footed Shot Saved
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Pau Torres
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Pau Torres
46
Update Update
On Ousmane Dembele，Off Maghnes Akliouche
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Brian Madjo Left Footed Shot Goal
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
First Half Ends！1-1
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Brian Madjo 1-1
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Boubacar Kamara Head Shot Saved
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Nilsson-Lindelof Head Shot Missed
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian Madjo Head Shot Missed
41
Corner Corner
Corner
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian Madjo Right Footed Shot Blocked
37
Update Update
Offside
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian Madjo Right Footed Shot Missed
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - George Hemmings Right Footed Shot Blocked
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brian Madjo Head Shot Missed
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nuno Mendes Left Footed Shot Missed
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Right Footed Shot Goal
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Desire Doue Right Footed Shot Saved
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Maghnes Akliouche Head Shot Missed
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Boubacar Kamara Right Footed Shot Missed
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vitor Machado Ferreira Right Footed Shot Missed
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Achraf Hakimi Right Footed Shot Missed
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Omar Artan

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain secured a narrow 2-1 win over Aston Villa after both sides traded goals before the interval. The home side controlled more of the ball and converted their opportunities effectively in the latter stages to claim the points. With no dismissals on either team the contest remained balanced until the final goal settled the result. The minimal deviation observed confirmed the stronger side delivered as anticipated without major surprises in the flow of play. Absence of expected goals figures limited deeper insight into chance creation yet the final margin reflected the home dominance in possession and key moments. This outcome leaves Paris Saint Germain with a positive result in their campaign while Aston Villa will reflect on defensive lapses after the break.