Austin vs Seattle Sounders preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Q2 Stadium Thu, 23 Jul - 1:30 AM
Major League Soccer
AustinATX
3 1
Seattle SoundersSEA
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 1:30 AM
Regular Season
Myrto Uzuni - 86'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Second yellow card Jackson Ragen 90+4'

CONTEXT

Austin welcomed Seattle Sounders for a league encounter that concluded with a 3-1 home victory. The sides were level at 1-1 after the opening period. Seattle entered as the stronger side on paper yet finished on the losing end after a second-half red card altered the flow. Austin controlled 52 percent of possession while the visitors held 48 percent. Expected goals finished nearly even at 1.58 for the hosts and 1.49 for Seattle. The outcome aligned with those underlying numbers despite the pre-match perception of Seattle superiority. Austin capitalized on the numerical advantage created by the dismissal to pull away in the closing stages.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Austin 3-1 Seattle Sounders. Austin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with underlying performance metrics throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the close expected goals totals recorded by both teams.
  • Market alignment: The observed outcome matched the pre-match market alignment projection without contradiction.
  • xG expectations: Austin posted 1.58 expected goals against Seattle Sounders 1.49 expected goals in a tight differential.
  • Event impact: The second-half red card created the primary distortion that shifted momentum toward the home side.
  • Red card distortion: Seattle Sounders received the sole red card which reduced them to ten players for the remainder of the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Montero
R. Montero
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Tanaka-Freundt
S. Tanaka-Freundt
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Dunn
B. Dunn
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Austin D. Arnaud
D. Arnaud
VS
Seattle Sounders B. Schmetzer
B. Schmetzer
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Louis City Rank: 63 L
Sporting KC Rank: 52 L
San Diego Rank: 65 L
Minnesota United Rank: 64 D
St. Louis City Rank: 63 W
Houston Dynamo Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portland Timbers Rank: 59 L
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 L
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 L
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 65 W
San Diego Rank: 65 D
Sporting KC Rank: 52 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.87
67.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Power Score
58.87
67.58
League Position
14
6
Global Rank
581
315

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Austin — Opponent-weighted form score
Seattle Sounders — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austin Seattle Sounders

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Austin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Seattle Sounders

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Austin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Seattle Sounders
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.90
27.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.08
24.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austin -0.15 Efficiency Index
vs
Seattle Sounders +0.15 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austin
Seattle Sounders
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Austin
vs
Seattle Sounders
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austin Seattle Sounders
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.33 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austin Seattle Sounders
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.33
Austin
Seattle Sounders
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Austin
vs
Seattle Sounders
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austin Seattle Sounders
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austin 0.17
Seattle Sounders 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austin Seattle Sounders
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austin 0.02
Seattle Sounders 0.05
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATX had peak pressure around 79'.
  • ATX started the game with stronger pressure.
ATX Pressure SEA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATX reached the top pressure at 79' (94.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austin ATX Home
4 matches
Seattle Sounders SEA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 01:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
Capacity
20738
Attendance
20738
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ricardo Montero
Stefan Tanaka-Freundt
Brian Dunn
Elton Garcia

Statistics

Possession
ATX
53%
SEA
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 60
52 Possession 48
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 73
4 Goal Kicks 6
6 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
24 Throwins 11
0 Hit Woodwork 1
10 Successful Headers 10
3 Assists 0
0 Injuries 2
5 Dribble Attempts 9
2 Successful Dribbles 2
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

122 Attacks 103
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

44 Long Passes 30
417 Passes 385
365 Successful Passes 340
88 Successful Passes Percentage 88
7 Key Passes 9
25 Successful Long Passes 13
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

2 Saves 3
8 Tackles 10
3 Interceptions 6
31 Duels Won 27

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 5
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Ricardo Montero

Starting XI ▼

1
Brad Stuver
Brad Stuver Goalkeeper
6.45
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
Brendan Hines-Ike Defender
6.54
35
Mateja Djordjevic
Mateja Djordjevic
Defender63'
6.63
5
Oleksandr Svatok
Oleksandr Svatok Defender
6.74
29
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro Defender
6.95
6
Ilie Sánchez
Ilie Sánchez (C) Midfielder
7.71
14
Besard Sabovic
Besard Sabovic Midfielder
7.03
33
Owen Wolff
Owen Wolff
Midfielder62'
6.54
17
Jon Gallagher
Jon Gallagher Midfielder
6.74
30
J. Rosales
J. Rosales Midfielder
6.34
77
Przemyslaw Placheta
Przemyslaw Placheta
Midfielder62'
6.58
9
Brandon Vazquez
Brandon Vazquez Attacker
7.1
21
Christian Ramirez
Christian Ramirez
Attacker83'
7.2
10
Myrto Uzuni
Myrto Uzuni Attacker
7.91
11
Facundo Torres
Facundo Torres Attacker
7.12
38
Ervin Torres
Ervin Torres
Midfielder83'
7.47
Referee : Ricardo Montero

Starting XI ▼

26
Andrew Thomas
Andrew Thomas Goalkeeper
6.14
5
Nouhou
Nouhou (C) Defender
6.91
90
Sebastian Gomez
Sebastian Gomez
Midfielder88'
25
Jackson Ragen
Jackson Ragen Defender
6.52
39
Stuart Hawkins
Stuart Hawkins Defender
6.23
45
Peter Kingston
Peter Kingston Defender
6.47
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Midfielder66'
6.47
9
Jesús Ferreira
Jesús Ferreira Midfielder
6.69
11
Albert Rusnák
Albert Rusnák Midfielder
6.73
14
Paul Rothrock
Paul Rothrock Midfielder
6.83
31
Hassani Dotson
Hassani Dotson Midfielder
6.5
37
Snyder Brunell
Snyder Brunell Midfielder
6.78
17
Paul Arriola
Paul Arriola
Attacker67'
6.58
19
Danny Musovski
Danny Musovski Attacker
6.59
95
Osaze De Rosario
Osaze De Rosario
Attacker62'
6.42

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Jackson Ragen
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Christian Ramirez
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+1'
Event
Myrto Uzuni
3rd Yellowcard
88'
88'
Event
Sebastian Gomez → Nouhou
9th Substitution
Event
Myrto Uzuni
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
86'
Event
Christian Ramirez → Brandon Vazquez
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Ervin Torres → Facundo Torres
8th Substitution
83'
67'
Event
Paul Arriola → Snyder Brunell
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi → Peter Kingston
5th Substitution
Event
Mateja Djordjevic → Brendan Hines-Ike
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Przemyslaw Placheta → J. Rosales
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Owen Wolff → Besard Sabovic
3rd Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Osaze De Rosario → Danny Musovski
2nd Substitution
Event
Besard Sabovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
59'
Event
Jackson Ragen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Brian Schmetzer
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
26'
Event
Paul Rothrock
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ilie Sánchez
Header / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
90
Attempt Attempt
Paul Rothrock takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Christian Ramirez takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Christian Ramirez scores, making it 3-1.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Stuart Hawkins takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Osaze De Rosario takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Offside.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
83
Update Update
On Facundo Torres, Off Facundo Torres.
83
Update Update
Christian Ramirez replaces Brandon Vazquez.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jon Gallagher takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
Attempt Attempt
Przemyslaw Placheta took a left-footed shot but missed.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Albert Rusnak takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Brandon Vazquez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
On comes Paul Arriola, and off goes Snyder Brunell.
66
Update Update
Kalani Kossa Rienzi comes on for Peter Kingston.
63
Update Update
Mateja Djordjevic is on, and Brendan Hines-Ike is off.
62
Update Update
Przemyslaw Placheta comes on for Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo.
62
Update Update
Osaze De Rosario comes on for Danny Musovski.
62
Update Update
Owen Wolff is on, and Besard Sabovic is off.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Jackson Ragen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Snyder Brunell takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
27
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Paul Rothrock takes a right-footed shot and scores.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
18
Update Update
Offside.
17
Attempt Attempt
Myrto Uzuni takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Danny Musovski takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Ilie Sanchez Farres Head Shot Goal
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ricardo Montero.

CONCLUSION

Austin secured a 3-1 victory over Seattle Sounders after overcoming an even halftime scoreline. The away side lost a player to a red card which opened space for the hosts to dominate the later stages. Expected goals remained balanced yet Austin converted opportunities more effectively once the numerical edge appeared. Possession stayed nearly even but the dismissal proved decisive in tilting territory and chance creation. Seattle as the stronger side on paper could not overcome the setback. The result therefore reflected both the data and the key event that changed the contest dynamics. Austin moved forward with three points while Seattle must regroup after the costly dismissal.