Fulham vs Aston Villa preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Today - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Fulham FUL
Aston Villa AVL
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fulham host Aston Villa in Premier League (Regular Season) at Craven Cottage. Domestically, Fulham sit 12th in the table while Aston Villa are 4th. Power ranking favours Aston Villa by 18.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Aston Villa possesses a significant 18.3-point power advantage over Fulham with scores of 38.97 versus 20.69.
  • Form: Aston Villa holds a slight form edge at 15.17 compared to Fulham's 13.28.
  • Squad: Aston Villa occupies 4th place in the league standings while Fulham sits 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Fulham and Aston Villa.
  • Transition: No transition-specific metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy reliance for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent across attack and defense for Fulham and Aston Villa.
  • Market: Baseline split: Fulham 36.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Aston Villa 36.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
Aston Villa U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brentford Rank: D
Liverpool Rank: L
Burnley Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: D
West Ham United Rank: L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: D
West Ham United Rank: W
Manchester United Rank: L
Chelsea Rank: L
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 11 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
36.88%
Draw
26.74%
Away Aston Villa
36.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.69
38.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
Aston Villa
Power Score
20.69
38.97
League Position
12
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham Aston Villa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
41 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
11
Wins
19
11
Draws
11
19
Losses
11
Goals
42
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
42
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T09:30:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
K. Sessegnon
England
30 K. Sessegnon
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
T. Cairney
Scotland
10 T. Cairney
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
E. Smith Rowe
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
S. Chukwueze
Nigeria
19 S. Chukwueze
Rodrigo Muniz
Brazil
9 Rodrigo Muniz
D. Martínez
Argentina
23 D. Martínez
L. Digne
France
12 L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
Spain
14 P. Francisco Torres
E. Konsa Ngoyo
England
4 E. Konsa Ngoyo
M. Cash
Poland
2 M. Cash
Y. Tielemans
Belgium
8 Y. Tielemans
A. Mvom Onana
Belgium
24 A. Mvom Onana
M. Rogers
England
27 M. Rogers
R. Barkley
England
6 R. Barkley
J. McGinn
Scotland
7 J. McGinn
O. Watkins
England
11 O. Watkins

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Craven Cottage
Capacity
25700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Stuart Burt
James Mainwaring
Anthony Backhouse

Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.76
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.72
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.88
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.8
30
Ryan Sessegnon
Ryan Sessegnon Defender
6.6
10
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney Midfielder
6.71
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.88
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Attacker
7.16
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz Attacker
6.68
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Attacker
6.9
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

23
Emiliano Martínez
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
6.92
4
Ezri Konsa
Ezri Konsa Defender
6.84
12
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
6.73
14
Pau Torres
Pau Torres Defender
6.76
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley Midfielder
6.8
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Midfielder
7.17
24
Amadou Onana
Amadou Onana Midfielder
6.96
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Attacker
6.86
11
Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins Attacker
6.87
27
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Aston Villa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Aston Villa a 18.3-point edge. External projection is Fulham 36.9%, draw 26.7%, and Aston Villa 36.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.