Molde vs HamKam preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde Molde
HamKam HamKam
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Molde host HamKam in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Aker Stadion. Domestically, Molde sit 10th in the table while HamKam are 13th. Power ranking favours Molde by 4.9 points heading into this fixture. Molde's recent form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches; HamKam's form is W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Molde Loss at home against Lillestrøm. HamKam last played at home versus Brann, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde hold a +4.9 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Molde sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Molde show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Molde have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Molde carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Molde hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Molde 59.8% | Draw 22.4% | HamKam 17.9%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde M. Falk
M. Falk
VS
HamKam T. Myhre
T. Myhre
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 51 L
Viking Rank: 75 L
Rosenborg Rank: 63 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 61 L
Brann Rank: 68 W
Haugesund Rank: 42 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 67 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 D
Viking Rank: 76 W
Brann Rank: 68 L
Haugesund Rank: 42 W
Viking Rank: 76 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Molde
59.78%
Draw
22.35%
Away HamKam
17.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.95
58.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
HamKam
Power Score
62.95
58.04
League Position
10
13
Global Rank
369
524

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde HamKam

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde Molde Home
13 matches
HamKam HamKam Away
Match Record
8
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
8
Goals
23
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
23
+14
Goal Difference
-14
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:07:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Juhl Kikkenborg
1 M. Juhl Kikkenborg
H. Østervold Stenevik
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
S. Hansen
4 S. Hansen
B. Risa
33 B. Risa
S. Kabini
26 S. Kabini
E. Breivik
10 E. Breivik
V. Bender Larsen
28 V. Bender Larsen
V. Hoff
15 V. Hoff
E. Hestad
5 E. Hestad
W. Abdulai
9 W. Abdulai
C. Zady Sery
11 C. Zady Sery
M. Sandberg
12 M. Sandberg
F. Sjølstad
23 F. Sjølstad
M. Gjone
2 M. Gjone
E. Amundsen-Day
3 E. Amundsen-Day
A. Ekeroth
5 A. Ekeroth
W. Osnes-Ringen
6 W. Osnes-Ringen
L. Mettler
10 L. Mettler
A. Baran Potur
17 A. Baran Potur
I. Hoffmann
24 I. Hoffmann
J. Gonstad
20 J. Gonstad
H. Udahl
19 H. Udahl

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Kikkenborg
Mads Kikkenborg Goalkeeper
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Attacker
9
Jalal Abdullai
Jalal Abdullai Centre Forward
11
Caleb Zady Sery
Caleb Zady Sery Attacker
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Central Midfield
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
15
Vebjørn Hoff
Vebjørn Hoff Central Midfield
18
Halldor Stenevik
Halldor Stenevik Right Back
26
Samukelo Kabini
Samukelo Kabini Left Back
28
Viktor Bender
Viktor Bender Central Midfield
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back

Starting XI ▼

12
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg Goalkeeper
5
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth Midfielder
24
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann Midfielder
19
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl Attacker
20
Julian Gonstad
Julian Gonstad Attacker
3
Ethan Amundsen Day
Ethan Amundsen Day Right Back
2
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone Centre Back
6
William Osnes-Ringen
William Osnes-Ringen Central Midfield
10
Loris Mettler
Loris Mettler Central Midfield
17
A. Potur
A. Potur Central Midfield
23
F. Sjølstad
F. Sjølstad Left Back

CONCLUSION

Molde possesses the stronger pre-match profile ahead of this Eliteserien encounter, holding a 4.9-point structural advantage over HamKam based on the underlying data. The probability models accurately reflect this dynamic, identifying the home side as the clear leader with a 59.8 percent likelihood of victory, while a draw sits at 22.4 percent and a HamKam win at 17.9 percent. Consequently, the market probabilities and structural signals fully align in projecting Molde as the likely victor. To secure the expected outcome, the hosts must carefully manage midfield transitions and avoid defensive lapses against the visitors.