Vukovar vs Osijek preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Gradski vrt Sat, 2 May - 4:45 PM
1. HNL
Vukovar Vukovar
Osijek Osijek
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 4:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL Regular Season clash at Stadion Gradski vrt during the 2025/2026 campaign, Vukovar welcomes Osijek to a pivotal mid-table encounter. Osijek arrives as the clear stronger team, holding a power score of 23.51 to Vukovar's 16.88, translating to a decisive 6.6-point advantage. League standings reflect their proximity, with Vukovar in 10th and Osijek in 9th, heightening the stakes for positioning. Form metrics further tilt toward Osijek, whose 22.67 score dwarfs Vukovar's 11.06, indicating superior recent performances despite absent detailed records. Advanced data like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable without xG support, relying on proxy estimates of low confidence. Vukovar's home turf offers hope for resilience, but Osijek's overall edge suggests they will dictate the tempo and probe vulnerabilities effectively.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Osijek possesses a 6.6-point power advantage over Vukovar, positioning them as the structurally superior side.
  • Form: Osijek's form score of 22.67 greatly exceeds Vukovar's 11.06.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or compositions available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable due to lack of supporting metrics.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis limited by absent detailed performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable as xG data not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable, with low-confidence proxies used.
  • Market: Baseline split: Vukovar 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Osijek 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vukovar T. Stipić
T. Stipić
VS
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
Gorica Rank: L
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: D
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: D
Hajduk Split Rank: W
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vukovar
0%
Draw
0%
Away Osijek
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.88
23.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vukovar
Osijek
Power Score
16.88
23.51
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vukovar Osijek

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vukovar Vukovar Home
3 matches
Osijek Osijek Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
2
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:33:20+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Gradski vrt
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

42
Antonio Đaković
Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
22
Denis Pintol
Denis Pintol Goalkeeper
1
Marino Bulat
Marino Bulat Goalkeeper
91
Mario Tičinović
Mario Tičinović Defender
26
Josip Elez
Josip Elez Defender
8
Antonio Bosec
Antonio Bosec Defender
34
Mario Tadić
Mario Tadić Defender
24
Halid Šabanović
Halid Šabanović Defender
16
Kristijan Pavičić
Kristijan Pavičić Defender
7
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
Kerim Çalhanoğlu Defender
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Defender
14
M. Živković
M. Živković Defender
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Defender
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
50
Josip Špoljarić
Josip Špoljarić Midfielder
6
Jakov Biljan
Jakov Biljan Midfielder
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Midfielder
10
Robin Gonzales
Robin Gonzales Midfielder
13
Vito Čaić
Vito Čaić Midfielder
11
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
21
Jakov Puljić
Jakov Puljić Attacker
19
Alen Jurilj
Alen Jurilj Attacker
39
Pocholo Bugas
Pocholo Bugas Attacker
28
Lovre Banovec
Lovre Banovec Attacker
33
Luka Klanac
Luka Klanac Attacker
27
Šimun Butić
Šimun Butić Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
1
Nikola Curcija
Nikola Curcija Goalkeeper
20
Jan Hlapčić
Jan Hlapčić Goalkeeper
3
Borna Barišić
Borna Barišić Defender
29
Fran Karačić
Fran Karačić Defender
15
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj Defender
38
David Čolina
David Čolina Defender
26
Luka Jelenić
Luka Jelenić Defender
42
Renan Guedes Borges
Renan Guedes Borges Defender
22
Roko Jurišić
Roko Jurišić Defender
33
Emin Hasic
Emin Hasic Defender
4
Krešimir Vrbanac
Krešimir Vrbanac Defender
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Defender
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Midfielder
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Midfielder
99
Tonio Teklić
Tonio Teklić Midfielder
10
Stanislav Shopov
Stanislav Shopov Midfielder
6
David Mateo Mejía Moscoso
David Mateo Mejía Moscoso Midfielder
8
Šimun Mikolčić
Šimun Mikolčić Midfielder
23
Luka Vrbančić
Luka Vrbančić Midfielder
18
Niko Farkaš
Niko Farkaš Midfielder
—
Kemal Ademi
Kemal Ademi Attacker
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Attacker
9
Yannick Toure
Yannick Toure Attacker
—
Justice Chigozirim Ohajunwa
Justice Chigozirim Ohajunwa Attacker
11
Nail Omerović
Nail Omerović Attacker
39
Domagoj Bukvić
Domagoj Bukvić Attacker
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere Attacker
34
Anton Matković
Anton Matković Attacker
98
Miloš Jovičić
Miloš Jovičić Attacker

CONCLUSION

Osijek's commanding power score and form edge make them favorites to prevail over Vukovar in this 1. HNL matchup at Stadion Gradski vrt. The 6.6-point gap underscores their quality, while close league positions at 10th and 9th add intrigue to the mid-table battle. Absent xG data limits insights into efficiency, set pieces, and transitions, but Osijek's metrics point to control and scoring threat. Vukovar must leverage home support for a compact structure to frustrate the visitors, yet overcoming the form disparity demands peak execution. Osijek's momentum likely secures a narrow but deserved victory.