Vitória Guimarães vs Rio Ave preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Sat, 25 Apr - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Vitória Guimarães VSC
Rio Ave RAFC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vitória Guimarães host Rio Ave in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. Domestically, Vitória Guimarães sit 7th in the table while Rio Ave are 12th. Power ranking favours Vitória Guimarães by 0.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Vitória Guimarães claim a narrow 0.9-point power edge at 21.92 over Rio Ave's 21.03 while ranking higher at 7th versus 12th.
  • Form: Rio Ave arrives with superior form rating of 22.17, outpacing Vitória Guimarães' 13.28.
  • Squad: Home squad occupies 7th place in Liga Portugal, ahead of Rio Ave in 12th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable from current sources.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with xG unavailable and proxies employed.
  • xVariable: xG data absent across attack and defense for both sides.
  • Market: Vitória Guimarães 51.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Rio Ave 21.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vitória Guimarães G. Moreira Lameiras
G. Moreira Lameiras
VS
Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: W
AVS Rank: D
Tondela Rank: W
Benfica Rank: L
Famalicão Rank: L
Santa Clara Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: W
Alverca Rank: L
Estoril Rank: W
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Tondela Rank: W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 9 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vitória Guimarães
51.92%
Draw
26.63%
Away Rio Ave
21.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.92
21.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vitória Guimarães
Rio Ave
Power Score
21.92
21.03
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Guimarães Rio Ave

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória Guimarães VSC Home
35 matches
Rio Ave RAFC Away
Match Record
18
Wins
8
9
Draws
9
8
Losses
18
Goals
48
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
48
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. da Silva
Brazil
27 C. da Silva
M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
Portugal
2 M. Gomes Ferreira Magalhães
O. Rivas Viondi
Spain
4 O. Rivas Viondi
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
Brazil
28 T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
João Mendes
Portugal
13 João Mendes
B. Mambuene Mukendi
Angola
16 B. Mambuene Mukendi
J. Costa Nogueira
Portugal
88 J. Costa Nogueira
O. Camara
France
19 O. Camara
F. Amorim Silva
Portugal
20 F. Amorim Silva
N. Jose Saviolo
48 N. Jose Saviolo
G. da Silva Cunha
Brazil
11 G. da Silva Cunha
C. Miszta
Poland
1 C. Miszta
N. Abby
England
6 N. Abby
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
39 G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
J. Brabec
Czech Republic
32 J. Brabec
M. Vrousai
Greece
17 M. Vrousai
R. da Silva Pae
Brazil
8 R. da Silva Pae
A. Ntoi
Greece
5 A. Ntoi
D. Špikić
Croatia
18 D. Špikić
O. Pohlmann
Germany
80 O. Pohlmann
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
Brazil
7 D. Bezerra de Oliveira
J. Miller Blesa
Spain
11 J. Miller Blesa

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Capacity
30008
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Carlos Campos
Nélson Cunha
Diogo Araújo

Lineup

Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

27
Charles
Charles Goalkeeper
6.75
2
Maga
Maga Defender
6.68
4
Óscar Rivas
Óscar Rivas Defender
7.01
13
João Mendes
João Mendes Defender
6.77
28
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro Defender
6.77
16
Beni Mukendi
Beni Mukendi Midfielder
6.84
20
Samu
Samu Midfielder
6.91
88
Miguel Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira Midfielder
6.75
11
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva Attacker
6.88
19
Oumar Camara
Oumar Camara Attacker
6.73
48
Noah Jose Saviolo
Noah Jose Saviolo Attacker
6.76
Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI ▼

1
Cezary Miszta
Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper
7
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Defender
6.59
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Defender
7.07
32
Jakub Brabec
Jakub Brabec Defender
6.84
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Defender
6.71
5
Andreas Ntoi
Andreas Ntoi Midfielder
6.6
8
Ryan
Ryan Midfielder
6.65
80
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann Midfielder
6.65
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Attacker
6.75
11
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa Attacker
7.13
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Vitória Guimarães leverage home soil and structural superiority to face a resilient Rio Ave outfit riding higher form into Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The 7th-placed hosts' power rating narrowly trumps the visitors, yet recent performances hint at away potential for disruption. Without efficiency or set-piece details, battle lines form around league standing and execution basics. Vitória must harness crowd energy to counter Rio Ave's momentum, potentially securing a vital win in tight confines. This encounter shapes mid-table dynamics, with home advantage likely tipping the scales decisively.