Virtus Entella vs Carrarese preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Chiavari Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Virtus Entella ENT
Carrarese CAR
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Virtus Entella host Carrarese in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari. Domestically, Virtus Entella sit 16th in the table while Carrarese are 11th. Power ranking favours Carrarese by 6.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Carrarese are structurally stronger with a 53.85 power score versus Virtus Entella's 47.78.
  • Form: Virtus Entella lead in form with a 17.5 score ahead of Carrarese's 14.67.
  • Squad: Carrarese sit higher at 11th in the league table compared to Entella's 16th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in the provided dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables not available for this matchup.
  • Market: Virtus Entella 54.9% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Carrarese 20.1% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Virtus Entella A. Chiappella
A. Chiappella
VS
Carrarese A. Calabro
A. Calabro
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 L
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 W
Empoli Rank: 54 D
Venezia Rank: 70 D
Mantova Rank: 55 L
Reggiana Rank: 47 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cesena Rank: 52 D
Frosinone Rank: 66 L
Pescara Rank: 48 D
Reggiana Rank: 47 L
Spezia Rank: 52 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Virtus Entella
54.89%
Draw
25.03%
Away Carrarese
20.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
Virtus Entella
+0.06%
Draw
+0.02%
Carrarese
-0.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.78
53.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
Power Score
47.78
53.85
League Position
16
11
Global Rank
830
683

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Virtus Entella — Opponent-weighted form score
Carrarese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Virtus Entella Carrarese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Virtus Entella ENT Home
1 matches
Carrarese CAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:03:31+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
F. Del Frate
22 F. Del Frate
L. Parodi
23 L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
6 A. Tiritiello
I. Marconi
15 I. Marconi
F. Mezzoni
94 F. Mezzoni
A. Franzoni
24 A. Franzoni
N. Squizzato
5 N. Squizzato
L. Benedetti
32 L. Benedetti
S. Di Mario
26 S. Di Mario
L. Cuppone
10 L. Cuppone
M. Tirelli
17 M. Tirelli
M. Bleve
1 M. Bleve
F. Oliana
6 F. Oliana
J. Illanes Minucci
4 J. Illanes Minucci
F. Ruggeri
26 F. Ruggeri
N. Belloni
7 N. Belloni
L. Hasa
70 L. Hasa
N. Schiavi
18 N. Schiavi
G. Parlanti
77 G. Parlanti
S. Zanon
72 S. Zanon
E. Torregrossa
92 E. Torregrossa
F. Abiuso
9 F. Abiuso

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Chiavari
Capacity
5500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Fabbri
Gianluca Grasso
Leonardo Leorsini
Marco Belsanti

Expected Lineup

Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI ▼

22
Federico Del Frate
Federico Del Frate Goalkeeper
6.75
26
Stefano Di Mario
Stefano Di Mario Midfielder
6.9
94
Francesco Mezzoni
Francesco Mezzoni Midfielder
6.76
10
Luigi Cuppone
Luigi Cuppone Attacker
6.82
17
Mattia Tirelli
Mattia Tirelli Attacker
6.58
5
Niccolò Squizzato
Niccolò Squizzato Central Midfield
6.79
6
Andrea Tiritiello
Andrea Tiritiello Centre Back
7.15
15
Ivan Marconi
Ivan Marconi Left Back
6.7
23
Luca Parodi
Luca Parodi Right Back
6.68
24
Andrea Franzoni
Andrea Franzoni Central Midfield
6.93
32
Leonardo Benedetti
Leonardo Benedetti Central Midfield
6.57
Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI ▼

1
Marco Bleve
Marco Bleve Goalkeeper
6.84
7
Niccolò Belloni
Niccolò Belloni Midfielder
6.73
72
Simone Zanon
Simone Zanon Midfielder
7.01
9
Fabio Abiuso
Fabio Abiuso Attacker
6.95
92
Ernesto Torregrossa
Ernesto Torregrossa Attacker
6.58
4
Julián Illanes
Julián Illanes Centre Back
6.87
6
Filippo Oliana
Filippo Oliana Left Back
6.78
18
Nicolás Schiavi
Nicolás Schiavi Central Midfield
7.15
26
Fabio Andrea Ruggeri
Fabio Andrea Ruggeri Right Back
6.67
70
Luis Hasa
Luis Hasa Central Midfield
7.06
77
Gabriele Parlanti
Gabriele Parlanti Central Midfield
6.58

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Carrarese holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Carrarese a 6.1-point edge. External projection is Virtus Entella 58.6%, draw 23.1%, and Carrarese 18.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.