Venezia vs Empoli preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Sat, 25 Apr - 3:15 PM
Serie B
Venezia VEN
Empoli EMP
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Venezia host Empoli in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Domestically, Venezia sit 1th in the table while Empoli are 15th. Power ranking favours Venezia by 19.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia tops Serie B in 1st while Empoli languishes in 15th, with a 19.2-point power advantage.
  • Form: Venezia's form score of 27.17 outpaces Empoli's 10.94 significantly.
  • Squad: Venezia's squad strength evident in 37.25 power score against Empoli's 18.06.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Venezia 67.9% (Δ+0.8%) | Draw 19.1% (Δ-0.4%) | Empoli 13% (Δ-0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
VS
Empoli F. Caserta
F. Caserta
2.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Juve Stabia Rank: W
Monza Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Sampdoria Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: L
Sampdoria Rank: L
Pescara Rank: W
Spezia Rank: D
Mantova Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 6 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Venezia
67.91%
Draw
19.1%
Away Empoli
12.99%

Movement

Changes since opening
Venezia
+0.79%
Draw
-0.41%
Empoli
-0.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.25
18.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Venezia
Empoli
Power Score
37.25
18.06
League Position
1
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Empoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home
11 matches
Empoli EMP Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
14
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:07:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Stankovic
1 F. Stankovic
S. Korac
2 S. Korac
M. Svoboda
30 M. Svoboda
M. Sverko
33 M. Sverko
A. Hainaut
18 A. Hainaut
E. Pérez Muñoz
71 E. Pérez Muñoz
G. Busio
6 G. Busio
I. Doumbia
8 I. Doumbia
R. Haps
5 R. Haps
J. Zamora
10 J. Zamora
A. Adorante
9 A. Adorante
A. Fulignati
21 A. Fulignati
B. Moruzzi
27 B. Moruzzi
M. Lovato
20 M. Lovato
G. Guarino
34 G. Guarino
T. Ebuehi
24 T. Ebuehi
N. Haas
32 N. Haas
S. Elia
7 S. Elia
G. Yepes Laut
14 G. Yepes Laut
L. Magnino
8 L. Magnino
D. Fila
17 D. Fila
S. Shpendi
11 S. Shpendi

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Capacity
11150
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Scatragli
Simone Pistarelli
Giuseppe Mucera
Mario Perri

Expected Lineup

Referee : Mario Perri

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Stanković
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper
7.05
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder
7.11
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Midfielder
6.88
10
John Yeboah
John Yeboah Attacker
7.32
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
6.99
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Central Midfield
7.35
2
Seid Korac
Seid Korac Right Back
6.8
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Central Midfield
6.98
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Centre Back
7.13
33
Marin Šverko
Marin Šverko Left Back
6.87
71
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez Central Midfield
7.23
Referee : Mario Perri

Starting XI ▼

21
Andrea Fulignati
Andrea Fulignati Goalkeeper
6.78
8
Luca Magnino
Luca Magnino Midfielder
6.71
32
Nicolas Haas
Nicolas Haas Midfielder
6.56
17
Daniel Fila
Daniel Fila Attacker
6.67
11
Stiven Shpendi
Stiven Shpendi Attacker
6.9
7
Salvatore Elia
Salvatore Elia Central Midfield
7
14
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes Central Midfield
6.76
20
Matteo Lovato
Matteo Lovato Left Back
6.8
24
Tyronne Ebuehi
Tyronne Ebuehi Right Back
6.56
27
Brando Moruzzi
Brando Moruzzi Left Back
6.79
34
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino Right Back
6.93

CONCLUSION

Venezia enter as overwhelming favorites against struggling Empoli, leveraging top-table position, superior power and form metrics. The 19.2-point edge and home venue at Pierluigi Penzo amplify their structural command. While advanced stats like set pieces and efficiency are absent, raw disparities paint a clear picture of host dominance. Empoli's poor form score signals vulnerability, making an upset unlikely. Expect Venezia to capitalize on their advantages for a routine victory in this lopsided Serie B affair.