Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb preview
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Yesterday - 4:45 PM
1. HNL
Varaždin
Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Lokomotiva Zagreb
KICKOFF :
Yesterday - 4:45 PM
Round 34 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 10
CONTEXT
Varaždin host Lokomotiva Zagreb in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Domestically, Varaždin sit 3th in the table while Lokomotiva Zagreb are 5th. Power ranking favours Varaždin by 2.8 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Varaždin possesses a 2.8-point power advantage and occupies 3rd place ahead of Lokomotiva's 5th.
-
Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb leads slightly in form score with 22.67 versus Varaždin's 21.61.
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Squad: Varaždin's squad edges out with higher power score of 65.78 compared to Lokomotiva's 62.99.
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Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
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Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either side.
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Set pieces: Set piece performance lacks xG data due to low confidence and proxy usage.
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xVariable: xVariable analytics are unavailable for this matchup.
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Market: Varaždin 46.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.2% (Δ+0%) | Lokomotiva Zagreb 26.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
N. Šafarić
VS
N. Jelavić
1.48
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split
Rank: 72
L
Dinamo Zagreb
Rank: 80
L
Rijeka
Rank: 70
W
Osijek
Rank: 63
W
Slaven Koprivnica
Rank: 62
W
Gorica
Rank: 63
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka
Rank: 70
L
Osijek
Rank: 63
D
Slaven Koprivnica
Rank: 63
W
Gorica
Rank: 61
W
Istra 1961
Rank: 63
W
Vukovar
Rank: 57
D
6
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 11 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Varaždin
46.31%
Draw
27.21%
Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.48%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.78
62.99
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Power Score
65.78
62.99
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
308
404
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Varaždin
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiva Zagreb
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Varaždin Lokomotiva Zagreb
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Varaždin
Varaždin
Home
29
matches
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Away
Match Record
6
Wins
12
11
Draws
11
12
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
24
-13
Goal Difference
+13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:41+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
33 J. Silić
23 F. Maglica
2 S. Lesjak
44 M. Barać
25 A. Boršić
8 T. Duvnjak
6 D. Puclin
7 M. Vuk
22 L. Mamić
38 Iuri Tavares
10 A. Latković
12 J. Posavec
33 D. Kamenović
16 L. Dajčer
20 D. Kolinger
23 M. Vešović
10 M. Subotic
5 T. Jukić
28 L. Belcar
29 J. Vasilj
30 D. Vuković
15 A. Stojaković
General Information
Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Capacity
10800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Duje Strukan
Next Match
Varaždin
vs
Vukovar
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Fri, 15 May - 4:00 PM
Venue: Stadion NK Polet
Lokomotiva Zagreb
vs
Hajduk Split
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
Venue: Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Expected Lineup
Referee :
Duje Strukan
Manager ▼
N. Šafarić
Coach
Starting XI ▼
33
Josip Silic
Goalkeeper
7.14 10
Aleksa Latkovic
Centre Forward
7.12 2
Sven Lesjak
Right Back
6.89 6
David Puclin
Defensive Midfield
6.57 7
Matej Vuk
Right Wing
6.83 8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Defensive Midfield
6.79 22
Luka Mamic
Attacking Midfield
6.68 23
Frane Maglica
Right Back
6.81 25
Antonio Borsic
Left Back
6.61 38
Iuri Tavares
Left Wing
6.96 44
Mateo Barac
Left Back
6.62 Substitutes ▼
1
Oliver Zelenika
6.9 12
Petar Bockaj
6.69 15
Silvio Ilinkovic
6.93 16
Novak Tepsic
6.71 18
Paizinho
6.57 20
Gregor Sikosek
6.82 24
Mario Marina
6.72 28
Ivan Canjuga
6.46 30
Luka Posinković
6.25
Referee :
Duje Strukan
Manager ▼
N. Jelavić
Coach
Starting XI ▼
12
Josip Posavec
Goalkeeper
6.7 15
Aleks Stojakovic
Centre Forward
6.78 5
Tino Jukic
Defensive Midfield
6.71 10
Matija Subotic
Defensive Midfield
6.65 16
Luka Dajcer
Left Back
6.59 20
Denis Kolinger
Right Back
6.76 23
Marko Vesovic
Right Back
6.84 28
Leon Belcar
Left Wing
6.73 29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Attacking Midfield
6.68 30
Dušan Vuković
Right Wing
6.64 33
Dimitrije Kamenovic
Left Back
6.44 Substitutes ▼
3
Petar Zvonimir Kostelac
7
Aleksandar Trajkovski
6.73 9
Ibrahim Sabra
6.64 11
Mirko Susak
6.67 14
Marcel Lorber
6.39 2
Teodor Kralevski
6.41 25
Pavle Smiljanic
6.47 32
Luka Savatovic
7.13 18
Khalil Ben Youssef
6.74 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Varaždin holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Varaždin a 2.8-point edge. External projection is Varaždin 45.8%, draw 27.3%, and Lokomotiva Zagreb 26.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.