TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
PreZero Arena Yesterday - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim TSG
Werder Bremen SVW
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 1:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

TSG Hoffenheim host Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at PreZero Arena. Domestically, TSG Hoffenheim sit 6th in the table while Werder Bremen are 15th. Power ranking favours TSG Hoffenheim by 8.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: TSG Hoffenheim possesses an 8.8-point power advantage over Werder Bremen with scores of 84.68 to 75.87.
  • Form: Hoffenheim's form score stands at 23.17, well ahead of Bremen's 13.72.
  • Squad: Hoffenheim occupy 6th in the Bundesliga table while Bremen sit in 15th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with no xG available and proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: TSG Hoffenheim 64.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19% (Δ+0%) | Werder Bremen 16.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
TSG Hoffenheim C. Ilzer
C. Ilzer
VS
Werder Bremen D. Thioune
D. Thioune
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 75 W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 W
FC Augsburg Rank: 78 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Augsburg Rank: 77 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 76 W
FC Köln Rank: 76 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 75 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 10 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home TSG Hoffenheim
64.87%
Draw
19.04%
Away Werder Bremen
16.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.68
75.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
TSG Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Power Score
84.68
75.87
League Position
6
15
Global Rank
37
104

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
TSG Hoffenheim — Opponent-weighted form score
Werder Bremen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) TSG Hoffenheim Werder Bremen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Home
33 matches
Werder Bremen SVW Away
Match Record
11
Wins
12
10
Draws
10
12
Losses
11
Goals
59
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
59
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:06:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
O. Baumann
Germany
1 O. Baumann
V. Coufal
Czech Republic
34 V. Coufal
O. Kabak
Türkiye
5 O. Kabak
A. Hajdari
Switzerland
21 A. Hajdari
B. Fernandes da Silva Junior
Brazil
13 B. Fernandes da Silva Junior
W. Burger
Netherlands
18 W. Burger
L. Avdullahu
Switzerland
7 L. Avdullahu
A. Kramarić
Croatia
27 A. Kramarić
F. Asllani
Germany
11 F. Asllani
B. Touré
Ivory Coast
29 B. Touré
T. Lemperle
Germany
19 T. Lemperle
M. Backhaus
Germany
30 M. Backhaus
A. Coulibaly
Germany
31 A. Coulibaly
M. Friedl
Austria
32 M. Friedl
A. Pieper
Germany
5 A. Pieper
O. Deman
Belgium
2 O. Deman
S. Lynen
Belgium
14 S. Lynen
C. Puertas
Spain
18 C. Puertas
Y. Sugawara
Japan
3 Y. Sugawara
R. Schmid
Austria
20 R. Schmid
J. Stage
Denmark
6 J. Stage
J. Milošević
Serbia
19 J. Milošević

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
PreZero Arena
Capacity
30150
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thorben Siewer
Felix Wagner
Nikolai Kimmeyer
Sören Storks

Lineup

Referee : Sören Storks

Starting XI ▼

1
Oliver Baumann
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper
6.77
5
Ozan Kabak
Ozan Kabak Defender
6.97
13
Bernardo
Bernardo Defender
6.85
21
Albian Hajdari
Albian Hajdari Defender
6.92
34
Vladimír Coufal
Vladimír Coufal Defender
7.07
7
Leon Avdullahu
Leon Avdullahu Midfielder
6.89
11
Fisnik Asllani
Fisnik Asllani Midfielder
7.02
18
Wouter Burger
Wouter Burger Midfielder
7.11
19
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle Attacker
6.91
27
Andrej Kramaric
Andrej Kramaric Attacker
7.2
29
Bazoumana Touré
Bazoumana Touré Attacker
6.96
Referee : Sören Storks

Starting XI ▼

30
Mio Backhaus
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper
6.92
2
Olivier Deman
Olivier Deman Defender
6.92
3
Yukinari Sugawara
Yukinari Sugawara Defender
6.71
5
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper Defender
6.97
31
Karim Coulibaly
Karim Coulibaly Defender
6.56
32
Marco Friedl
Marco Friedl Defender
6.86
6
Jens Stage
Jens Stage Midfielder
7.14
14
Senne Lynen
Senne Lynen Midfielder
6.81
18
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas Midfielder
6.89
20
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Midfielder
7.1
19
Jovan Milosevic
Jovan Milosevic Attacker
6.7

CONCLUSION

Hoffenheim's superior power rating, form edge, and higher league standing make them heavy favorites against a Bremen team mired in the lower reaches of the table. The 8.8-point structural gap highlights Hoffenheim's overall quality at PreZero Arena, where home advantage could prove decisive. Lacking granular set piece or efficiency insights, the preview relies on robust form and positional metrics pointing to a home victory. Bremen face a steep challenge to upset the hosts, needing marked improvement in execution. Expect Hoffenheim to capitalize on their momentum for a convincing performance in this Bundesliga fixture.