Tromsø vs Brann preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Alfheim Stadion Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Tromsø Tromsø
Brann SKB
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 17 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tromsø welcomes Brann to Alfheim Stadion for a key Eliteserien regular season encounter in 2026. Sitting atop the league table at 1st place, Tromsø enters with commanding momentum, boasting a power score of 38.19 against Brann's modest 18.78, translating to a 19.4-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further highlight the gap, with Tromsø at 31.22 compared to Brann's 11.56, suggesting the home side's consistency in recent outings. Brann languishes in 14th, facing an uphill battle away from home. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data and absent xG information, limiting deeper tactical insights. Nonetheless, Tromsø's overall dominance positions them as clear favorites in this mismatch, where home advantage at Alfheim could prove decisive in maintaining their lead.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Tromsø possesses a 19.4-point power advantage over Brann, topping the league at 1st while Brann sits 14th.
  • Form: Tromsø's form score stands at 31.22, significantly outpacing Brann's 11.56.
  • Squad: Tromsø's squad depth and quality reflect their leading league position against Brann's lower-table struggles.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available for Tromsø or Brann.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent due to data limitations.
  • Market: Tromsø 48.6% (Δ-0.8%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+0.4%) | Brann 24.7% (Δ+0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
VS
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
2.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Lillestrøm Rank: D
Kristiansund Rank: W
Rosenborg Rank: W
Brann Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: D
Viking Rank: L
Sandefjord Rank: L
HamKam Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 9 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
48.56%
Draw
26.78%
Away Brann
24.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Tromsø
-0.81%
Draw
+0.35%
Brann
+0.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.19
18.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Brann
Power Score
38.19
18.78
League Position
1
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Brann

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home
35 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
13
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
13
Goals
49
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
49
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
2
xG
1.30
1.30
xGA
2

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:23:41+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Haugaard
1 J. Haugaard
A. Kinteh
25 A. Kinteh
V. Skjærvik
4 V. Skjærvik
T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
21 T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
L. Jean Cornic
2 L. Jean Cornic
J. Hjertø-Dahl
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl
D. Edvardsson
5 D. Edvardsson
R. Yttergård Jenssen
11 R. Yttergård Jenssen
A. Warneryd
29 A. Warneryd
L. Larsen
7 L. Larsen
H. Larsen
22 H. Larsen
S. Nilsen
12 S. Nilsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
T. Pedersen
23 T. Pedersen
F. Pallesen Knudsen
3 F. Pallesen Knudsen
D. De Roeve
21 D. De Roeve
F. Horn Myhre
8 F. Horn Myhre
J. Sørensen
18 J. Sørensen
K. Ingason
10 K. Ingason
J. Thorsteinsson
7 J. Thorsteinsson
N. Holm
29 N. Holm
U. Mathisen
14 U. Mathisen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 17 · Regular Season
Stadium
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity
6687
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
7.23
2
Leo Cornic
Leo Cornic Midfielder
7.29
29
Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd
Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd Midfielder
7.21
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
6.94
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Attacker
7.08
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Centre Back
7.19
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Central Midfield
7.27
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Central Midfield
7.5
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Central Midfield
7.28
25
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh Right Back
7.41
21
Tobias Guddal
Tobias Guddal Left Back
7.43

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
6.71
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.25
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Centre Forward
7.38
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.68
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Central Midfield
7.12
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Left Back
6.43
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Right Back
7.02
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Right Back
6.88
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Left Back
6.7
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Central Midfield
6.97
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Central Midfield
6.62

CONCLUSION

Tromsø's overwhelming power and form edges make them heavy favorites against a faltering Brann side rooted near the relegation zone. The 19.4-point gulf in power scores, coupled with top-table positioning, signals a home dominance likely to translate into control and scoring chances. While data gaps on set pieces and efficiency temper granular predictions, the structural chasm points to Tromsø extending their lead. Brann must defy trends in transition and open play to compete, but Alfheim's atmosphere bolsters the hosts' resolve. Expect a routine victory that reinforces Tromsø's title credentials.