Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Swansea.com Stadium Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Swansea City SWA
Charlton Athletic CHA
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Swansea City welcome Charlton Athletic to Swansea.com Stadium for a Championship regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit comfortably in 11th place with a robust power score of 24.5, outpacing Charlton's 20.49 by a clear 4 points, marking Swansea as the stronger outfit overall. Form metrics reinforce this edge, as Swansea's 20.78 rating dwarfs Charlton's modest 10.89, suggesting greater consistency and momentum heading into the fixture. Charlton, mired in 19th, face an uphill battle away from home against a side leveraging venue familiarity. Detailed set-piece insights remain limited due to unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies for both teams, shifting emphasis to broader structural and form advantages. Swansea's superior standing positions them to control proceedings, while Charlton must disrupt to salvage anything from this matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Swansea City possesses a 4-point power advantage with a score of 24.5 over Charlton's 20.49.
  • Form: Swansea's form score stands at 20.78, significantly ahead of Charlton's 10.89.
  • Squad: Swansea occupies 11th in the league table while Charlton sits in 19th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not provided in current data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Swansea City 52.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+-0%) | Charlton Athletic 21.5% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Swansea City Vitor Matos
Vitor Matos
VS
Charlton Athletic N. Jones
N. Jones
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.03
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norwich City Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: W
Southampton Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hull City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: L
Watford Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Swansea City
52.83%
Draw
25.72%
Away Charlton Athletic
21.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Swansea City
-0.06%
Draw
-0.02%
Charlton Athletic
+0.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.5
20.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Swansea City
Charlton Athletic
Power Score
24.5
20.49
League Position
11
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Swansea City — Opponent-weighted form score
Charlton Athletic — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Swansea City Charlton Athletic

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Swansea City SWA Home
5 matches
Charlton Athletic CHA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:28:41+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium
Capacity
20827
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Andrew Lee Fisher
Andrew Lee Fisher Goalkeeper
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper
29
Paul Farman
Paul Farman Goalkeeper
25
Joel Ward
Joel Ward Defender
14
Josh Tymon
Josh Tymon Defender
15
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess Defender
23
Ricardo Alexandre Almeida Santos
Ricardo Alexandre Almeida Santos Defender
2
Josh Key
Josh Key Defender
5
Benjamin Cabango
Benjamin Cabango Defender
16
Ishé Samuels-Smith
Ishé Samuels-Smith Defender
41
Sam Parker
Sam Parker Defender
4
Jay Fulton
Jay Fulton Midfielder
20
Liam Cullen
Liam Cullen Midfielder
30
Ethan Stuart William Galbraith
Ethan Stuart William Galbraith Midfielder
31
Oliver Cooper
Oliver Cooper Midfielder
17
Gonçalo Baptista Franco
Gonçalo Baptista Franco Midfielder
21
Leo Walta
Leo Walta Midfielder
6
Marko Stamenic
Marko Stamenic Midfielder
7
Melker Widell
Melker Widell Midfielder
8
Malick Junior Yalcouyé
Malick Junior Yalcouyé Midfielder
33
Adam Uche Idah
Adam Uche Idah Attacker
9
Žan Vipotnik
Žan Vipotnik Attacker
35
Ronald Pereira Martins
Ronald Pereira Martins Attacker
10
Ji-Sung Eom
Ji-Sung Eom Attacker
27
Zeidane Inoussa
Zeidane Inoussa Attacker
18
Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes
Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Thomas Kaminski
Thomas Kaminski Goalkeeper
25
William Mannion
William Mannion Goalkeeper
21
Tiernan Brooks
Tiernan Brooks Goalkeeper
32
Reece Burke
Reece Burke Defender
15
Conor Coady
Conor Coady Defender
5
Lloyd Jones
Lloyd Jones Defender
17
Amari'i Bell
Amari'i Bell Defender
3
Macaulay Gillesphey
Macaulay Gillesphey Defender
26
Joe Rankin-Costello
Joe Rankin-Costello Defender
16
Joshua Edwards
Joshua Edwards Defender
44
Harrison Clarke
Harrison Clarke Defender
2
Kayne Ramsey
Kayne Ramsey Defender
19
Luke Chambers
Luke Chambers Defender
28
Collins Shichenje
Collins Shichenje Defender
20
Zach Mitchell
Zach Mitchell Defender
8
Luke Berry
Luke Berry Midfielder
10
Greg Docherty
Greg Docherty Midfielder
6
Conor Coventry
Conor Coventry Midfielder
41
Harvey Knibbs
Harvey Knibbs Midfielder
14
Sonny Carey
Sonny Carey Midfielder
37
Ibrahim Fullah
Ibrahim Fullah Midfielder
24
Matt Godden
Matt Godden Attacker
99
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes Attacker
77
Jayden Fevrier
Jayden Fevrier Attacker
23
Charlie Kelman
Charlie Kelman Attacker
7
Tyreece Campbell
Tyreece Campbell Attacker
11
Miles Leaburn
Miles Leaburn Attacker
13
Kaheim Dixon
Kaheim Dixon Attacker

CONCLUSION

Swansea City's advantages in power, form, and league position make them clear favorites against a struggling Charlton Athletic side. The hosts' higher metrics suggest they can dominate possession and create superior chances at home. Charlton's lower rankings and form score indicate vulnerability, particularly in an away fixture where disruption will be key to their survival. Without granular set-piece or efficiency data, the preview hinges on overarching strengths, pointing to Swansea asserting control early. Expect the Swans to edge a professional victory, capitalizing on their edge to climb the table further.