Südtirol vs Juve Stabia preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Serie B
Südtirol
SUD
Juve Stabia
JUV
KICKOFF :
Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Round 38 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 10
CONTEXT
Südtirol host Juve Stabia in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Marco Druso. Domestically, Südtirol sit 15th in the table while Juve Stabia are 7th. Power ranking favours Juve Stabia by 5.1 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Juve Stabia enjoy a 5.1-point power advantage and occupy 7th place, ahead of 15th-placed Südtirol.
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Form: Juve Stabia lead in form with a 16.67 score versus Südtirol's 5.06.
-
Squad: Power ratings indicate stronger overall squad quality for Juve Stabia at 56.52 over Südtirol's 51.46.
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Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
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Transition: Transition play data not provided in analysis.
-
Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
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xVariable: No xG-based variables available for this fixture.
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Market: Südtirol 57.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Juve Stabia 16.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
F. Castori
VS
I. Abate
1.12
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sampdoria
Rank: 53
L
Mantova
Rank: 52
L
Spezia
Rank: 49
L
Modena
Rank: 58
D
Cesena
Rank: 53
D
Frosinone
Rank: 68
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone
Rank: 67
L
Pescara
Rank: 48
D
Catanzaro
Rank: 59
D
Cesena
Rank: 53
W
Venezia
Rank: 70
L
Spezia
Rank: 52
W
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Südtirol
57.07%
Draw
26.08%
Juve Stabia
16.85%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.46
56.52
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Südtirol
Juve Stabia
Power Score
51.46
56.52
League Position
15
7
Global Rank
754
615
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Südtirol
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Juve Stabia
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Südtirol Juve Stabia
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Südtirol
SUD
Home
3
matches
Juve Stabia
JUV
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:03:53+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
3-5-2

31 M. Adamonis

34 F. Veseli

19 N. Pietrangeli

94 H. El Kaouakibi

24 S. Davì

79 S. Molina

21 F. Tait

18 S. Tronchin

7 K. Zedadka

33 S. Merkaj

9 E. Pecorino

1 A. Confente

14 C. Dalle Mura

33 A. Giorgini

6 M. Bellich

77 A. Cacciamani

29 O. Correia

55 G. Leone

98 N. Mosti

24 L. Carissoni

90 A. Okoro

37 F. Maistro
General Information
Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marco Druso
Capacity
5539
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Livio Marinelli
Mattia Politi
Paolo Bitonti
Riccardo Dasso
Expected Lineup
Referee :
Livio Marinelli
Manager ▼
F. Castori
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Marius Adamonis
Goalkeeper
6.73 
Karim Zedadka
Midfielder
6.63 
Salvatore Molina
Midfielder
6.93 
Emanuele Pecorino
Attacker
6.93 
Silvio Merkaj
Attacker
6.65 
Simone Tronchin
Central Midfield
6.76 
Nicola Pietrangeli
Right Back
6.57 
Fabian Tait
Central Midfield
6.64 
Simone Davi
Left Back
6.63 
Frédéric Veseli
Right Back
6.54 
Hamza El Kaouakibi
Left Back
6.88 Substitutes ▼

Riccardo Tonin
6.65 
Daniele Borra
7.12 
Davide Mancini
6.34 
Andrea Masiello
6.49 
Carlo Sabatini

Daniele Casiraghi
7.03 
Federico Davi
6.51 
Dhirar Brik
6.45 
Domen Črnigoj
6.53 
Raphael Odogwu
6.78 
Mike van Dijk
6.6
Referee :
Livio Marinelli
Manager ▼
I. Abate
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Alessandro Confente
Goalkeeper
6.82 
Lorenzo Carissoni
Midfielder
6.82 
Alessio Cacciamani
Midfielder
6.61 
Fabio Maistro
Attacker
6.9 
Alvin Okoro
Attacker
6.68 
Marco Bellich
Right Back
6.78 
Christian Dalle Mura
Left Back
6.8 
Omar Correia
Central Midfield
6.83 
Andrea Giorgini
Centre Back
6.39 
Giuseppe Leone
Central Midfield
6.94 
Nicola Mosti
Central Midfield
6.86 Substitutes ▼

Manuel Ricciardi
6.57 
Alessandro Gabrielloni
6.72 
Christian Pierobon
6.62 
Marco Varnier
6.82 
Alessandro Signorini

Aaron Ciammaglichella
6.4 
Pietro Boer
6.54 
Emanuele Torrasi
6.71 
Leonardo Candellone
6.84 
Matheus Luz Priveato Dos Santos
6.66 
Mattia Mannini
6.52 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Juve Stabia holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Juve Stabia a 5.1-point edge. External projection is Südtirol 61.5%, draw 22.9%, and Juve Stabia 15.7%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.