Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stade de la Meinau Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Strasbourg STR
Rayo Vallecano RAY
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 1

CONTEXT

Strasbourg host Rayo Vallecano in Europa Conference League (Semi-finals) at Stade de la Meinau. Power ranking favours Rayo Vallecano by 0.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano holds a marginal 0.4-point power advantage over Strasbourg with scores of 78.24 to 77.86.
  • Form: Rayo Vallecano demonstrates stronger recent form at 43.56 compared to Strasbourg's 27.78.
  • Squad: Squad details for both teams are unavailable in current data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for analysis.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of advanced statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable as xG data not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable with low confidence proxies used.
  • Market: Strasbourg 50.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Rayo Vallecano 22.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 L
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 L
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
Rijeka Rank: 71 W
Breidablik Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 79 W
AEK Athens Rank: 76 L
AEK Athens Rank: 79 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Samsunspor Rank: 74 W
Drita Rank: 59 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Strasbourg
50.86%
Draw
26.25%
Away Rayo Vallecano
22.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.86
78.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
77.86
78.24
League Position
1
5
Global Rank
81
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Strasbourg — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Strasbourg Rayo Vallecano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Strasbourg STR Home
1 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:04:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Penders
39 M. Penders
L. Høgsberg
24 L. Høgsberg
A. Omobamidele
2 A. Omobamidele
I. Doukoure
6 I. Doukoure
B. Chilwell
3 B. Chilwell
G. Ouattara
42 G. Ouattara
S. El Mourabet
29 S. El Mourabet
D. da Silva Moreira
7 D. da Silva Moreira
J. Enciso
19 J. Enciso
M. Godo
20 M. Godo
E. Esseh Emegha
10 E. Esseh Emegha
A. Batalla Barga
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
P. Ciss
6 P. Ciss
F. Lejeune
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
2 A. Ratiu
Ó. Martín Luengo
23 Ó. Martín Luengo
U. López Cabrera
17 U. López Cabrera
J. De Frutos Sebastián
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
I. Palazón Camacho
7 I. Palazón Camacho
Ilias Chakkour
12 Ilias Chakkour
A. Zurawski
9 A. Zurawski

General Information

Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 1
Stadium
Stade de la Meinau
Capacity
29200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
7.14
24
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg Defender
6.85
2
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele Defender
7
6
Ismaël Doukouré
Ismaël Doukouré Defender
6.91
3
Ben Chilwell
Ben Chilwell Defender
6.84
29
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder
6.94
7
Diego Moreira
Diego Moreira Midfielder
6.89
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Midfielder
7.19
42
Abdoul Ouattara
Abdoul Ouattara Attacker
6.91
20
Martial Godo
Martial Godo Attacker
7.11
10
Emmanuel Emegha
Emmanuel Emegha Attacker
6.99

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.86
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.74
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.31
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.95
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
7.18
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín Midfielder
6.83
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Attacker
6.71
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Attacker
7.03
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.88
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rayo Vallecano holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rayo Vallecano a 0.4-point edge. External projection is Strasbourg 49.5%, draw 26.2%, and Rayo Vallecano 24.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.