Spezia vs Venezia preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Alberto Picco Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Spezia SPE
Venezia VEN
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Serie B's Regular Season delivers a David vs Goliath battle at Stadio Alberto Picco, where basement-dwelling Spezia host table-topping Venezia in the 2025/2026 campaign. Spezia languish in 20th place with a power score of just 17.07 and a form rating of 8.06, reflecting their struggles to climb out of the relegation mire. Venezia, conversely, dominate with a 38.04 power score and 30.67 form metric, holding a commanding 21-point advantage that underscores their supremacy. This midweek fixture pits home resilience against away excellence, as Spezia seek vital points amid a dismal run while Venezia aim to cement their promotion push. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces, due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG, leaves tactical edges unclear, but positional disparity screams mismatch. Expect a tense affair where Venezia's momentum could overwhelm.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia hold a 21-point power advantage and lead Serie B in 1st, while Spezia sit bottom in 20th.
  • Form: Spezia's form score registers at 8.06, far behind Venezia's robust 30.67.
  • Squad: Venezia's superior power score of 38.04 highlights stronger squad depth over Spezia's 17.07.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of recent outing details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxies used and no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Spezia 21.3% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+-0%) | Venezia 53.9% (Δ+0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Spezia L. D'Angelo
L. D'Angelo
VS
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: L
Südtirol Rank: W
Mantova Rank: L
Carrarese Rank: L
Juve Stabia Rank: L
Empoli Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: W
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Juve Stabia Rank: W
Monza Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spezia
21.28%
Draw
24.79%
Away Venezia
53.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Spezia
-0.42%
Draw
-0.01%
Venezia
+0.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.07
38.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spezia
Venezia
Power Score
17.07
38.04
League Position
20
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spezia Venezia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spezia SPE Home
12 matches
Venezia VEN Away
Match Record
3
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Picco
Capacity
10336
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr Goalkeeper
22
Boris Radunović
Boris Radunović Goalkeeper
16
Leonardo Loria
Leonardo Loria Goalkeeper
12
Diego Mascardi
Diego Mascardi Goalkeeper
55
Petko Hristov
Petko Hristov Defender
37
Aleš Matějů
Aleš Matějů Defender
32
Luca Vignali
Luca Vignali Defender
17
Leonardo Sernicola
Leonardo Sernicola Defender
11
Pietro Beruatto
Pietro Beruatto Defender
4
Marco Ruggero
Marco Ruggero Defender
31
Giuseppe Aurelio
Giuseppe Aurelio Defender
94
Giovanni Bonfanti
Giovanni Bonfanti Defender
24
Andrea Bertoncini
Andrea Bertoncini Defender
8
Ádám Nagy
Ádám Nagy Midfielder
5
Mattia Valoti
Mattia Valoti Midfielder
29
Francesco Cassata
Francesco Cassata Midfielder
6
Alessandro Bellemo
Alessandro Bellemo Midfielder
25
Filippo Bandinelli
Filippo Bandinelli Midfielder
14
Szymon Żurkowski
Szymon Żurkowski Midfielder
70
Emanuele Adamo
Emanuele Adamo Midfielder
19
Hamse Shagaxle
Hamse Shagaxle Midfielder
60
Alessandro Gianni Romano
Alessandro Gianni Romano Midfielder
34
Cristian Comotto
Cristian Comotto Midfielder
10
Gianluca Lapadula
Gianluca Lapadula Attacker
20
Giuseppe Di Serio
Giuseppe Di Serio Attacker
9
Gabriele Artistico
Gabriele Artistico Attacker
90
Laurs Skjellerup
Laurs Skjellerup Attacker
99
Vanja Vlahović
Vanja Vlahović Attacker

Squad ▼

22
Alessandro Plizzari
Alessandro Plizzari Goalkeeper
14
Stefano Minelli
Stefano Minelli Goalkeeper
23
Matteo Grandi
Matteo Grandi Goalkeeper
1
Filip Stankovic
Filip Stankovic Goalkeeper
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Defender
33
Marin Sverko
Marin Sverko Defender
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Defender
2
Seid Korac
Seid Korac Defender
16
Michael Venturi
Michael Venturi Defender
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Defender
20
Sebastiao Sagrado
Sebastiao Sagrado Defender
3
Joël Marcel Schingtienne
Joël Marcel Schingtienne Defender
48
Ahmed Franck Sidibé
Ahmed Franck Sidibé Defender
32
Joseph Alfred Duncan
Joseph Alfred Duncan Midfielder
37
Emil Bohinen
Emil Bohinen Midfielder
71
Enrique Pérez Muñoz
Enrique Pérez Muñoz Midfielder
24
Nunzio Lella
Nunzio Lella Midfielder
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Midfielder
19
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkson
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkson Midfielder
4
Bartol Franjić
Bartol Franjić Midfielder
21
Mattia Compagnon
Mattia Compagnon Midfielder
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Midfielder
28
Matteo Dagasso
Matteo Dagasso Midfielder
29
Lion Lauberbach
Lion Lauberbach Attacker
10
John Yeboah Zamora
John Yeboah Zamora Attacker
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
80
Antonio Manuel Casas Marín
Antonio Manuel Casas Marín Attacker
11
Marko Lawk Farji
Marko Lawk Farji Attacker
99
Alessandro Pietrelli
Alessandro Pietrelli Attacker

CONCLUSION

Venezia arrive as overwhelming favorites, their top-table position and superior metrics poised to exploit Spezia's vulnerabilities at Stadio Alberto Picco. Spezia's home crowd may rally, but form chasm and power deficit suggest limited resistance. Without reliable set-piece or efficiency insights, Venezia's attacking fluency should prevail in this lopsided Serie B encounter. Expect the leaders to navigate traps and secure a statement win, extending their dominance while Spezia's woes deepen. A routine away victory looms large.