Sint-Truiden vs Union Saint-Gilloise preview

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stayen Stadion Sat, 2 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Sint-Truiden SIT
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 6:45 PM
Round 6 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Pro League Championship Round, Sint-Truiden hosts league-leading Union Saint-Gilloise at Stayen Stadion. Union SG's power score of 44.6 dwarfs Sint-Truiden's 20.92, creating a substantial 23.7-point advantage that identifies them as the stronger team overall. Form metrics reinforce this gap, with Union's 39.28 score far exceeding the hosts' 10.39, signaling recent momentum in their favor. Sint-Truiden clings to 3rd place, but faces a stern test against the table-toppers. Advanced data on efficiency, set pieces, and transitions remains unavailable due to xG limitations and low-confidence proxies, shifting focus to Union's structural superiority and Sint-Truiden's home-ground resilience. This clash promises intensity as positions remain fluid.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Union Saint-Gilloise holds a 23.7-point power advantage over Sint-Truiden.
  • Form: Union Saint-Gilloise's form score stands at 39.28, well ahead of Sint-Truiden's 10.39.
  • Squad: Union Saint-Gilloise leads the league in 1st place while Sint-Truiden occupies 3rd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG not enabled; low confidence proxy used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable due to data constraints.
  • Market: Sint-Truiden 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | Union Saint-Gilloise 46.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sint-Truiden W. Vrancken
W. Vrancken
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.14
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: W
Anderlecht Rank: W
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht Rank: W
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sint-Truiden
25.91%
Draw
27.44%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
46.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.92
44.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
20.92
44.6
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sint-Truiden Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sint-Truiden Union Saint-Gilloise

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sint-Truiden SIT Home
13 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
2
Wins
9
2
Draws
2
9
Losses
2
Goals
11
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
11
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
1.45
xG
1.98
1.98
xGA
1.45

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:34:20+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Championship Round
Stadium
Stayen Stadion
Capacity
14600
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

12
Jo Coppens
Jo Coppens Goalkeeper
16
Leo Brian Kokubo
Leo Brian Kokubo Goalkeeper
21
Matt Lendfers
Matt Lendfers Goalkeeper
22
Wolke Janssens
Wolke Janssens Defender
23
Joedrick Pupe
Joedrick Pupe Defender
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu Defender
18
Simen Kristiansen Juklerød
Simen Kristiansen Juklerød Defender
5
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi Defender
4
Loïc Mbe Soh
Loïc Mbe Soh Defender
3
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata Defender
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Defender
34
Hugo Lambotte
Hugo Lambotte Defender
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Midfielder
13
Ryotaro Ito
Ryotaro Ito Midfielder
6
Rihito Yamamoto
Rihito Yamamoto Midfielder
11
Isaias Del Pupo
Isaias Del Pupo Midfielder
14
Ryan Merlen
Ryan Merlen Midfielder
33
Alouis Diriken
Alouis Diriken Midfielder
53
Adam Nhaili
Adam Nhaili Midfielder
31
Illyes Benachour
Illyes Benachour Midfielder
7
Arbnor Muja
Arbnor Muja Attacker
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Attacker
42
Keisuke Goto
Keisuke Goto Attacker
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
Kaito Matsuzawa Attacker
77
Oumar Diouf
Oumar Diouf Attacker
99
Shion Shinkawa
Shion Shinkawa Attacker

Squad

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
21
Jens Teunckens
Jens Teunckens Goalkeeper
1
Vic Chambaere
Vic Chambaere Goalkeeper
18
Giorgi Kavelashvili
Giorgi Kavelashvili Goalkeeper
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess Defender
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Defender
19
Guillaume François
Guillaume François Defender
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister Defender
48
Fedde Leysen
Fedde Leysen Defender
27
Louis Patris
Louis Patris Defender
3
Mamadou Thierno Barry
Mamadou Thierno Barry Defender
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Defender
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs Midfielder
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Midfielder
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Midfielder
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang Midfielder
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli Midfielder
6
Kamiel Van de Perre
Kamiel Van de Perre Midfielder
14
Ivan Pavlic
Ivan Pavlic Midfielder
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
30
Raul Alexander Florucz
Raul Alexander Florucz Attacker
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic Attacker
12
Promise Akinpelu
Promise Akinpelu Attacker
11
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho Attacker
7
Mohammed Gadafi Fuseini
Mohammed Gadafi Fuseini Attacker
13
Kevin José Rodríguez Cortéz
Kevin José Rodríguez Cortéz Attacker
20
Marc Giger
Marc Giger Attacker

CONCLUSION

Union Saint-Gilloise enters with overwhelming power (44.6 vs 20.92) and form (39.28 vs 10.39) edges, solidifying their status as league leaders against 3rd-placed Sint-Truiden. The 23.7-point advantage underscores structural dominance at Stayen Stadion. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece insights from xG limitations, analysis pivots to Union's holistic strength versus the hosts' home advantage. Sint-Truiden must disrupt early to compete, but Union's metrics point to control in this pivotal Championship Round fixture, where execution will define the outcome.