Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Shakhtar Donetsk host Crystal Palace in Europa Conference League (Semi-finals) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana. Power ranking favours Shakhtar Donetsk by 10.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Shakhtar Donetsk commands a 10.5-point power advantage over Crystal Palace, indicating structural superiority.
  • Form: Crystal Palace boasts a higher form score of 31.83 compared to Shakhtar Donetsk's 27.22.
  • Squad: Shakhtar Donetsk's squad power score of 39.93 exceeds Crystal Palace's 29.43.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in the analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy with no xG data available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable as the xG add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Shakhtar Donetsk 24.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.9% (Δ+0%) | Crystal Palace 47.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
2.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: D
AZ Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Lech Poznań Rank: W
Rijeka Rank: D
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: W
Zrinjski Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Shakhtar Donetsk
24.3%
Draw
27.86%
Away Crystal Palace
47.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
39.93
29.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Power Score
39.93
29.43
League Position
6
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Shakhtar Donetsk Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Home
0 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:06:09+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Riznyk
31 D. Riznyk
V. Tobias da Silva
17 V. Tobias da Silva
V. Bondar
5 V. Bondar
M. Matviyenko
22 M. Matviyenko
P. Azevedo Pereira
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
E. Nazaryna
29 E. Nazaryna
A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
30 A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
O. Ocheretko
27 O. Ocheretko
I. Severino Silva
14 I. Severino Silva
N. Martins da Silva
11 N. Martins da Silva
K. Elias Nogueira
19 K. Elias Nogueira
D. Henderson
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
3 T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
18 D. Kamada
A. Wharton
20 A. Wharton
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
J. Mateta
14 J. Mateta
I. Sarr
7 I. Sarr

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Capacity
33268
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
6.7
17
Vinícius Tobias
Vinícius Tobias Defender
7.03
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar Defender
7.22
22
Mykola Matvienko
Mykola Matvienko Defender
6.96
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
7.25
29
Yegor Nazaryna
Yegor Nazaryna Midfielder
7.32
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko Midfielder
6.68
14
Isaque
Isaque Midfielder
6.86
30
Alisson
Alisson Attacker
7.14
11
Newerton
Newerton Attacker
6.91
19
Kauã Elias
Kauã Elias Attacker
7.05

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.68
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
7.09
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
7.13
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
7.16
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.83
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.33
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.04
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.12
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.75
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
7.26
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.19

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Shakhtar Donetsk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Shakhtar Donetsk a 10.5-point edge. External projection is Shakhtar Donetsk 23.8%, draw 27.8%, and Crystal Palace 48.5%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.