SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Europa-Park Stadion Yesterday - 5:30 PM
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg SCF
VfL Wolfsburg WOB
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg host VfL Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Europa-Park Stadion. Domestically, SC Freiburg sit 8th in the table while VfL Wolfsburg are 17th. Power ranking favours SC Freiburg by 7.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Freiburg possesses a structural edge with a power score of 82.04 versus VfL Wolfsburg's 74.22, yielding a 7.8-point advantage.
  • Form: SC Freiburg shows stronger form at 14.72 compared to VfL Wolfsburg's 11.
  • Squad: SC Freiburg's squad rates higher, reflected in their 8th place versus VfL Wolfsburg's 17th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: SC Freiburg 37.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27% (Δ+0%) | VfL Wolfsburg 35.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
VfL Wolfsburg D. Hecking
D. Hecking
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 89 L
Heidenheim Rank: 71 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 82 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 L
St. Pauli Rank: 72 W
FC Union Berlin Rank: 73 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 75 D
FC Union Berlin Rank: 74 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 L
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 84 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 5 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
37.54%
Draw
26.97%
Away VfL Wolfsburg
35.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.04
74.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Power Score
82.04
74.22
League Position
8
17
Global Rank
48
123

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
VfL Wolfsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg VfL Wolfsburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
31 matches
VfL Wolfsburg WOB Away
Match Record
14
Wins
12
5
Draws
5
12
Losses
14
Goals
47
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
47
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:09:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
L. Kübler
Germany
17 L. Kübler
B. Ogbus
Switzerland
43 B. Ogbus
P. Lienhart
Austria
3 P. Lienhart
C. Günter
Germany
30 C. Günter
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
N. Höfler
Germany
27 N. Höfler
D. Scherhant
Germany
7 D. Scherhant
L. Höler
Germany
9 L. Höler
V. Grifo
Italy
32 V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic
K. Grabara
Poland
1 K. Grabara
K. Koulierakis
Greece
4 K. Koulierakis
D. Vavro
Slovakia
3 D. Vavro
J. Belocian
France
6 J. Belocian
A. Zehnter
Germany
25 A. Zehnter
V. de Souza Costa
Brazil
5 V. de Souza Costa
J. Mæhle
Denmark
21 J. Mæhle
C. Dannemann Eriksen
Denmark
24 C. Dannemann Eriksen
P. Wimmer
Austria
39 P. Wimmer
M. Amoura
Algeria
9 M. Amoura
D. Pejcinovic
Germany
17 D. Pejcinovic

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
René Rohde
Stefan Lupp
Marc-Philipp Eckermann
Bastian Dankert

Lineup

Referee : Bastian Dankert

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.89
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
6.73
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
6.84
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
6.55
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Defender
6.66
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
6.92
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Midfielder
6.73
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
6.51
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant Attacker
6.65
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.84
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
6.97
Referee : Bastian Dankert

Starting XI ▼

1
Kamil Grabara
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper
6.88
3
Denis Vavro
Denis Vavro Defender
6.66
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender
6.76
5
Vinicius de Souza Costa
Vinicius de Souza Costa Defender
6.74
6
Jeanuël Belocian
Jeanuël Belocian Defender
6.66
21
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle Defender
6.71
25
Aaron Zehnter
Aaron Zehnter Defender
6.7
24
Christian Eriksen
Christian Eriksen Midfielder
6.99
39
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer Midfielder
6.76
9
Mohamed Amoura
Mohamed Amoura Attacker
6.87
17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Dzenan Pejcinovic Attacker
6.76

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Freiburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Freiburg a 7.8-point edge. External projection is SC Freiburg 37.6%, draw 27%, and VfL Wolfsburg 35.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.