SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga preview
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa League
SC Freiburg
SCF
Sporting Braga
SCB
KICKOFF :
Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals ·
Leg 2 of 2 ·
Aggregate : 1 - 2
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 6
CONTEXT
SC Freiburg host Sporting Braga in Europa League (Semi-finals) at Europa-Park Stadion. Power ranking favours SC Freiburg by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Freiburg hold a 0.5-point power advantage over Braga at 82.07 to 81.53.
-
Form: Braga enter with a superior form score of 39.56 compared to Freiburg's 29.22.
-
Squad: No specific squad changes reported ahead of this semi-final second leg.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
-
Transition: Freiburg's home setup favors quick transitions to exploit Braga's defense.
-
Set pieces: Set-piece data relies on low-confidence proxies for both Freiburg and Braga.
-
xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis for the tie.
-
Market: SC Freiburg 54.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 19.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
J. Schuster
VS
C. Vicens
1.78
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga
Rank: 81
L
Celta de Vigo
Rank: 80
W
Celta de Vigo
Rank: 80
W
Genk
Rank: 76
W
Genk
Rank: 76
L
LOSC Lille
Rank: 81
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg
Rank: 83
W
Real Betis
Rank: 81
W
Real Betis
Rank: 82
D
Ferencvárosi
Rank: 71
W
Ferencvárosi
Rank: 71
L
Go Ahead Eagles
Rank: 67
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
SC Freiburg
54.41%
Draw
25.72%
Sporting Braga
19.87%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.07
81.53
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Sporting Braga
Power Score
82.07
81.53
League Position
7
6
Global Rank
48
50
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
SC Freiburg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
SC Freiburg Sporting Braga
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
SC Freiburg
SCF
Home
1
matches
Sporting Braga
SCB
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:04:11+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-3-2-1

1 N. Atubolu

29 P. Treu

28 M. Ginter

3 P. Lienhart

33 J. Makengo

8 M. Eggestein

44 J. Manzambi

19 J. Beste

9 L. Höler

32 V. Grifo

31 I. Matanovic

1 L. Horníček

6 V. Carvalho Vieira

15 P. Rodrigues de Oliveira

14 G. Lagerbielke

5 L. Cruz Lelo

34 D. Tıknaz

8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho

29 G. Baptiste

20 M. Dorgeles

10 R. Zalazar Martínez

18 Pau Victor
General Information
Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 2
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
SC Freiburg
vs
Hamburger SV
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 10 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Volksparkstadion
Sporting Braga
vs
Benfica
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 10 May - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
J. Schuster
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Noah Atubolu
Goalkeeper
6.9 
Igor Matanovic
Centre Forward
6.94 
Lucas Höler
Attacking Midfield
6.58 
Matthias Ginter
Right Back
7.12 
Philipp Treu
Right Back
6.78 
Philipp Lienhart
Left Back
6.87 
Maximilian Eggestein
Defensive Midfield
7.05 
Vincenzo Grifo
Left Wing
7.11 
Jordy Makengo
Left Back
6.53 
Johan Manzambi
Defensive Midfield
7.04 
Niklas Beste
Right Wing
6.98 Substitutes ▼

Lukas Kübler
6.71 
Nicolas Höfler
6.57 
Maximilian Philipp
6.97 
Christian Günter
6.91 
Anthony Jung
6.49 
Florian Müller
6.83 
Jannik Huth
6.94 
Bruno Ogbus
6.67 
Derry Scherhant
6.69 
Cyriaque Irié
6.43 Manager ▼
C. Vicens
Coach
Starting XI ▼

Lukas Hornicek
Goalkeeper
6.85 
Rodrigo Zalazar
Midfielder
7.06 
Mario Dorgeles
Midfielder
6.84 
Pau Víctor
Centre Forward
6.94 
Gorby
Central Midfield
6.69 
Paulo Oliveira
Left Back
6.63 
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Central Midfield
6.53 
Leonardo Lelo
Right Back
6.75 
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Right Back
6.82 
Vítor Carvalho
Left Back
6.79 
João Moutinho
Central Midfield
6.7 Substitutes ▼

Jonatás Noro
6.55 
Yanis da Rocha
6.36 
Vasconcelos
6.57 
Luís Teixeira Pinto
6.53 
Fran Navarro
6.64 
Alaa Bellaarouch
6.12 
Amine El Ouazzani
6.66 
Tiago Sá
6.5 
Mordomo

Afonso Sousa
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Freiburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Freiburg a 0.5-point edge. External projection is SC Freiburg 52.2%, draw 26.4%, and Sporting Braga 21.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.