SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa-Park Stadion Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Europa League
SC Freiburg SCF
Sporting Braga SCB
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 2

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg host Sporting Braga in Europa League (Semi-finals) at Europa-Park Stadion. Power ranking favours SC Freiburg by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Freiburg hold a 0.5-point power advantage over Braga at 82.07 to 81.53.
  • Form: Braga enter with a superior form score of 39.56 compared to Freiburg's 29.22.
  • Squad: No specific squad changes reported ahead of this semi-final second leg.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Freiburg's home setup favors quick transitions to exploit Braga's defense.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data relies on low-confidence proxies for both Freiburg and Braga.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis for the tie.
  • Market: SC Freiburg 54.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 19.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Genk Rank: 76 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: 83 W
Real Betis Rank: 81 W
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Ferencvárosi Rank: 71 W
Ferencvárosi Rank: 71 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
54.41%
Draw
25.72%
Away Sporting Braga
19.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.07
81.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Sporting Braga
Power Score
82.07
81.53
League Position
7
6
Global Rank
48
50

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
SC Freiburg Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg Sporting Braga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
1 matches
Sporting Braga SCB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:04:11+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Pitch
N. Atubolu
1 N. Atubolu
P. Treu
29 P. Treu
M. Ginter
28 M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
3 P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
33 J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
8 M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
44 J. Manzambi
J. Beste
19 J. Beste
L. Höler
9 L. Höler
V. Grifo
32 V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
31 I. Matanovic
L. Horníček
1 L. Horníček
V. Carvalho Vieira
6 V. Carvalho Vieira
P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
15 P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
G. Lagerbielke
14 G. Lagerbielke
L. Cruz Lelo
5 L. Cruz Lelo
D. Tıknaz
34 D. Tıknaz
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho
G. Baptiste
29 G. Baptiste
M. Dorgeles
20 M. Dorgeles
R. Zalazar Martínez
10 R. Zalazar Martínez
Pau Victor
18 Pau Victor

General Information

Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 2
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.9
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Centre Forward
6.94
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacking Midfield
6.58
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Right Back
7.12
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Right Back
6.78
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Left Back
6.87
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Defensive Midfield
7.05
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Left Wing
7.11
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Left Back
6.53
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Defensive Midfield
7.04
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Right Wing
6.98

Starting XI

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.85
10
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Midfielder
7.06
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
6.84
18
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Centre Forward
6.94
29
Gorby
Gorby Central Midfield
6.69
15
Paulo Oliveira
Paulo Oliveira Left Back
6.63
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Central Midfield
6.53
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Right Back
6.75
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Right Back
6.82
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Left Back
6.79
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Central Midfield
6.7

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Freiburg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Freiburg a 0.5-point edge. External projection is SC Freiburg 52.2%, draw 26.4%, and Sporting Braga 21.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.