Sassuolo vs AC Milan preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Sassuolo SAS
AC Milan MIL
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 1:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sassuolo host AC Milan in Serie A (Regular Season) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Domestically, Sassuolo sit 10th in the table while AC Milan are 3th. Power ranking favours AC Milan by 22.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AC Milan possesses a 22.5-point power advantage over Sassuolo, underscoring their superior overall structure.
  • Form: Sassuolo holds better recent form at 21.33 versus AC Milan's 13.33.
  • Squad: AC Milan ranks 3rd in Serie A, ahead of Sassuolo in 10th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available in the provided data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled for either team.
  • Market: Sassuolo 21.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0%) | AC Milan 55.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sassuolo F. Grosso
F. Grosso
VS
AC Milan M. Allegri
M. Allegri
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
Como Rank: 83 W
Genoa Rank: 73 L
Cagliari Rank: 70 W
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: 85 D
Hellas Verona Rank: 63 W
Udinese Rank: 74 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
Torino Rank: 75 W
Lazio Rank: 81 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sassuolo
21.21%
Draw
23.6%
Away AC Milan
55.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.33
84.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Power Score
62.33
84.87
League Position
10
3
Global Rank
110
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sassuolo — Opponent-weighted form score
AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sassuolo AC Milan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sassuolo SAS Home
25 matches
AC Milan MIL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
13
5
Draws
5
13
Losses
7
Goals
37
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
37
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:05:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
S. Turati
Italy
13 S. Turati
S. Walukiewicz
Poland
6 S. Walukiewicz
J. Idzes
Netherlands
21 J. Idzes
T. Muharemovic
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80 T. Muharemovic
U. Garcia Lopes
Switzerland
23 U. Garcia Lopes
I. Koné
Canada
90 I. Koné
N. Matić
Serbia
18 N. Matić
K. Thorstvedt
Norway
42 K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
Italy
7 C. Volpato
A. Pinamonti
Italy
99 A. Pinamonti
A. Lauriente
France
45 A. Lauriente
M. Maignan
France
16 M. Maignan
S. Pavlović
Serbia
31 S. Pavlović
M. Gabbia
Italy
46 M. Gabbia
F. Tomori
England
23 F. Tomori
D. Bartesaghi
Italy
33 D. Bartesaghi
A. Rabiot
France
12 A. Rabiot
S. Ricci
Italy
4 S. Ricci
Y. Fofana
France
19 Y. Fofana
A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
56 A. Saelemaekers
R. Conceição Leão
Portugal
10 R. Conceição Leão
C. Pulisic
United States
11 C. Pulisic

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity
21584
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fabio Maresca
Giorgio Peretti
Livio Marinelli
Filippo Bercigli

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

13
Stefano Turati
Stefano Turati Goalkeeper
6.99
6
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Sebastian Walukiewicz Defender
6.69
21
Jay Idzes
Jay Idzes Defender
6.69
23
Ulisses Garcia
Ulisses Garcia Defender
6.71
80
Tarik Muharemović
Tarik Muharemović Defender
6.95
18
Nemanja Matic
Nemanja Matic Midfielder
6.82
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder
6.91
90
Ismaël Koné
Ismaël Koné Midfielder
6.83
7
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato Attacker
6.84
45
Armand Laurienté
Armand Laurienté Attacker
6.98
99
Andrea Pinamonti
Andrea Pinamonti Attacker
6.75
Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
7.1
23
Fikayo Tomori
Fikayo Tomori Defender
6.98
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
6.98
46
Matteo Gabbia
Matteo Gabbia Defender
6.91
4
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci Midfielder
6.81
12
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
7.29
19
Youssouf Fofana
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder
6.83
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder
6.96
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder
7.14
10
Rafael Leão
Rafael Leão Attacker
7.04
11
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Attacker
7.12

CONCLUSION

AC Milan's commanding 22.5-point power edge and 3rd-place standing position them to overpower Sassuolo, despite the hosts' superior recent form of 21.33 to 13.33. This Serie A clash at MAPEI Stadium pivots on Milan's structural depth against Sassuolo's home resolve and counter potential. With efficiency, set pieces, and xG insights absent, Milan's quality should prevail through controlled possession and clinical finishing. Sassuolo's 10th rank underscores challenges, but form offers upset intrigue. Projections clearly favor Milan extending their campaign momentum in a professional display.