Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Sarpsborg Stadion Yesterday - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 12:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sarpsborg 08 hosts Fredrikstad at Sarpsborg Stadion in a pivotal Eliteserien regular season match during the 2026 campaign. The hosts languish in 13th position, one spot behind the visitors in 12th, setting up a crucial mid-table showdown. Fredrikstad arrives as the marginally stronger side, boasting a power score of 60.76 to Sarpsborg's 58.61, a 2.2-point edge that underscores their slight superiority. Form tells a compelling story, with Fredrikstad's impressive 10.83 rating towering over the home team's modest 4.39, hinting at potential dominance from the away outfit. Projections allocate Sarpsborg 45.9% (Δ+0.2%), draw 24.9% (Δ+0.1%), and Fredrikstad 29.2% (Δ-0.3%), capturing home advantage amid close standings. Lacking xG insights, efficiency, set pieces, and transition metrics remain speculative, leaving emphasis on raw power and recent momentum. This encounter could hinge on Sarpsborg halting Fredrikstad's surge while leveraging familiar turf.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fredrikstad possesses a 2.2-point power advantage with a score of 60.76 over Sarpsborg 08's 58.61.
  • Form: Fredrikstad's form score stands at 10.83, far exceeding Sarpsborg 08's 4.39.
  • Squad: Sarpsborg 08 occupy 13th place while Fredrikstad sit 12th in the Eliteserien standings.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in the dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to absent xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables lack availability from low-confidence proxy sources.
  • Market: Sarpsborg 08 46.4% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 24.7% (Δ-0.2%) | Fredrikstad 28.9% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
VS
Fredrikstad A. Hagen
A. Hagen
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.78
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 L
KFUM Rank: 55 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 D
Rosenborg Rank: 62 L
Start Rank: 50 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 68 L
Viking Rank: 77 L
Kristiansund Rank: 54 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 D
Aalesund Rank: 42 W
KFUM Rank: 57 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sarpsborg 08
46.38%
Draw
24.71%
Away Fredrikstad
28.9%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sarpsborg 08
+0.48%
Draw
-0.22%
Fredrikstad
-0.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.61
60.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarpsborg 08
Fredrikstad
Power Score
58.61
60.76
League Position
13
12
Global Rank
538
467

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Home
6 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
5
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:23+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Ndiaye
1 M. Ndiaye
E. Wichne
32 E. Wichne
B. Utvik
4 B. Utvik
M. Koch
2 M. Koch
A. Hiim
21 A. Hiim
S. Christiansen
8 S. Christiansen
A. Sher
6 A. Sher
S. Sørli
10 S. Sørli
V. Halvorsen
22 V. Halvorsen
D. Seland Karlsbakk
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk
J. Berget
14 J. Berget
M. Børsheim
77 M. Børsheim
U. Fredriksen
12 U. Fredriksen
J. Vonheim Norbye
18 J. Vonheim Norbye
F. Holmé
4 F. Holmé
S. Sørløkk
13 S. Sørløkk
R. Shein
21 R. Shein
L. Owusu
24 L. Owusu
S. Holm
6 S. Holm
D. Eid
16 D. Eid
H. Skogvold
23 H. Skogvold
O. Øhlenschlæger
20 O. Øhlenschlæger

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sarpsborg Stadion
Capacity
8022
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sivert Amland

Expected Lineup

Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

1
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
7.08
14
Jo Inge Berget
Jo Inge Berget Centre Forward
6.68
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Attacking Midfield
6.7
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Defensive Midfield
6.77
32
Eirik Wichne
Eirik Wichne Right Back
6.34
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Right Back
6.99
6
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher Defensive Midfield
7.41
2
Menno Koch
Menno Koch Left Back
6.45
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli Right Wing
6.72
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Left Wing
6.41
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Left Back
6.84
Referee : Sivert Amland

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
6.94
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk Midfielder
6.38
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Midfielder
7.06
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold Attacker
6.62
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger Attacker
7.03
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Right Back
6.86
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye Centre Back
6.49
6
Samuel Leach Holm
Samuel Leach Holm Central Midfield
7.25
21
Rocco Shein
Rocco Shein Central Midfield
7.09
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Left Back
7.09
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Central Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

Fredrikstad's edge in power and form positions them to challenge despite Sarpsborg 08's home venue advantage. Close league spots at 13th and 12th signal a gritty battle where momentum might prevail over familiarity. Without granular efficiency or set piece details, outcomes likely turn on transitional execution and squad resilience. Projections favor the hosts narrowly at 45.9%, yet visitors' 10.83 form score suggests upset potential. Sarpsborg must disrupt Fredrikstad's rhythm early; the away team eyes capitalizing on their 2.2-point superiority. This Eliteserien clash embodies mid-table tension, promising intensity and possible surprises.