Samsunspor vs Galatasaray preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Stadyum Samsun Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Samsunspor Samsunspor
Galatasaray GAL
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Samsunspor host league leaders Galatasaray at Stadyum Samsun in a pivotal Super Lig regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors dominate with a power score of 40.52 against the hosts' 29.64, securing a substantial 10.9-point advantage and confirming their status as the stronger side. Samsunspor, nestled in 7th position, trail the table-toppers significantly, while form scores further highlight the gap at 24.17 for the home team versus Galatasaray's impressive 37.5. Lacking recent outing details, attention turns to overall standings and capabilities. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable or low-confidence proxies, shifting focus to structural edges and transitional play. Samsunspor must harness home support to disrupt Galatasaray's rhythm, but the visitors' supremacy suggests a controlled performance ahead.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Galatasaray hold a 10.9-point power advantage with a score of 40.52 over Samsunspor's 29.64.
  • Form: Galatasaray's form score of 37.5 outpaces Samsunspor's 24.17.
  • Squad: Samsunspor occupy 7th place while Galatasaray lead the Super Lig standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not detailed in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, limiting set piece and overall assessments.
  • Market: Samsunspor 20.3% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 23.7% (Δ-0.3%) | Galatasaray 56% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Samsunspor T. Fink
T. Fink
VS
Galatasaray O. Buruk
O. Buruk
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.25
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alanyaspor Rank: D
Beşiktaş Rank: W
Eyüpspor Rank: W
Rizespor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Kocaelispor Rank: D
Göztepe Rank: W
Trabzonspor Rank: L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Samsunspor
20.33%
Draw
23.67%
Away Galatasaray
56%

Movement

Changes since opening
Samsunspor
+0.24%
Draw
-0.29%
Galatasaray
+0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.64
40.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
Power Score
29.64
40.52
League Position
7
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Samsunspor Galatasaray

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Samsunspor Samsunspor Home
9 matches
Galatasaray GAL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
9
0
Draws
0
9
Losses
0
Goals
12
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
12
-14
Goal Difference
+14
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:33:43+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadyum Samsun
Capacity
33919
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Okan Kocuk
Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper
71
İrfan Can Eğribayat
İrfan Can Eğribayat Goalkeeper
48
Efe Berat Töruz
Efe Berat Töruz Goalkeeper
33
Efe Üstün
Efe Üstün Goalkeeper
37
Ľubomír Šatka
Ľubomír Šatka Defender
4
Rick van Drongelen
Rick van Drongelen Defender
24
Toni Borevković
Toni Borevković Defender
17
Logi Tómasson
Logi Tómasson Defender
18
Zeki Yavru
Zeki Yavru Defender
28
Soner Gönül
Soner Gönül Defender
96
Bedirhan Çetin
Bedirhan Çetin Defender
23
Enes Albak
Enes Albak Defender
2
Josafat Wooding Mendes
Josafat Wooding Mendes Defender
15
Ali Badra Diabaté
Ali Badra Diabaté Defender
10
Jules Olivier Ntcham
Jules Olivier Ntcham Midfielder
21
Carlo Holse
Carlo Holse Midfielder
77
Afonso Gamelas De Pinho Sousa
Afonso Gamelas De Pinho Sousa Midfielder
5
Celil Yüksel
Celil Yüksel Midfielder
29
Antoine Makoumbou
Antoine Makoumbou Midfielder
20
Yalçın Kayan
Yalçın Kayan Midfielder
55
Yunus Cift
Yunus Cift Midfielder
—
Muhammet Ali Özbaskıcı
Muhammet Ali Özbaskıcı Midfielder
—
Alper Efe Pazar
Alper Efe Pazar Midfielder
73
Eyup Degirmenci
Eyup Degirmenci Midfielder
25
Franck Leroy Atoen
Franck Leroy Atoen Midfielder
19
Pape Cherif Ndiaye
Pape Cherif Ndiaye Attacker
11
Emre Kılınç
Emre Kılınç Attacker
7
Elayis Tavsan
Elayis Tavsan Attacker
9
Marius Mouandilmadji
Marius Mouandilmadji Attacker
70
Tanguy Coulibaly
Tanguy Coulibaly Attacker
47
Kouadou Jaures Assoumou
Kouadou Jaures Assoumou Attacker
16
Tahsin Bülbül
Tahsin Bülbül Attacker
99
Ebrima Ceesay
Ebrima Ceesay Attacker
30
Saikuba Jarju
Saikuba Jarju Attacker

Squad ▼

19
Günay Güvenc
Günay Güvenc Goalkeeper
1
Uğurcan Çakır
Uğurcan Çakır Goalkeeper
12
Batuhan Ahmet Şen
Batuhan Ahmet Şen Goalkeeper
70
Enes Emre Büyük
Enes Emre Büyük Goalkeeper
6
Davinson Sánchez Mina
Davinson Sánchez Mina Defender
7
Roland Sallai
Roland Sallai Defender
42
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Abdülkerim Bardakcı Defender
4
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs Defender
93
Sacha Boey
Sacha Boey Defender
17
Evren Eren Elmalı
Evren Eren Elmalı Defender
90
Wilfried Stephane Singo
Wilfried Stephane Singo Defender
3
Metehan Baltacı
Metehan Baltacı Defender
91
Arda Ünyay
Arda Ünyay Defender
20
İlkay Gündoğan
İlkay Gündoğan Midfielder
23
Kaan Ayhan
Kaan Ayhan Midfielder
99
Mario Lemina
Mario Lemina Midfielder
34
Lucas Torreira Di Pascua
Lucas Torreira Di Pascua Midfielder
8
Gabriel Davi Gomes Sara
Gabriel Davi Gomes Sara Midfielder
33
Gökdeniz Gürpüz
Gökdeniz Gürpüz Midfielder
74
Renato Nhaga
Renato Nhaga Midfielder
10
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Attacker
77
Noa Lang
Noa Lang Attacker
9
Mauro Emanuel Icardi Rivero
Mauro Emanuel Icardi Rivero Attacker
45
Victor James Osimhen
Victor James Osimhen Attacker
21
Ahmed Kutucu
Ahmed Kutucu Attacker
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz Attacker
11
Yunus Akgün
Yunus Akgün Attacker
22
Y. Asprilla Martínez
Y. Asprilla Martínez Attacker
27
Can Armando Güner
Can Armando Güner Attacker

CONCLUSION

Galatasaray approach this fixture with overwhelming credentials, topping the Super Lig and wielding a 10.9-point power edge alongside superior form. Samsunspor, 7th in the table, face an uphill battle at Stadyum Samsun but could draw inspiration from home advantage. Without granular efficiency or set piece insights, the emphasis falls on Galatasaray's structural dominance and potential transitional threats. Samsunspor need disciplined defending and opportunistic counters to compete. The projection aligns with expectations of visitor control, underscoring a 56% away success likelihood in this uneven contest.