Sampdoria vs Südtirol preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Sampdoria SAM
Südtirol SUD
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sampdoria host Südtirol at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in a mid-table Serie B regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 12th in the standings, Sampdoria boast a clear edge with a power score of 23.75 compared to Südtirol's 16.55, translating to a 7.2-point advantage. Their form score of 20.39 dwarfs the visitors' modest 5, suggesting recent momentum favors the home side. Both teams lurk around the playoff spots but have shown inconsistency, with limited data on set pieces and efficiency due to unavailable xG metrics. Sampdoria's home venue could prove decisive in this evenly poised encounter on paper, though Südtirol's resilience keeps it competitive. Expect a tactical battle where Sampdoria's superior ratings might shine through.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sampdoria enjoy a 7.2-point power advantage over Südtirol at home in Serie B.
  • Form: Sampdoria's form score stands at 20.39, far ahead of Südtirol's 5.
  • Squad: Sampdoria occupy 12th place, just ahead of 13th-placed Südtirol in the league table.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Limited insights into transition play due to sparse metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG metrics are not enabled.
  • xVariable: Sampdoria's higher power score highlights their edge in underlying quality.
  • Market: Sampdoria 42.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Südtirol 28.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sampdoria Attilio Lombardo
Attilio Lombardo
VS
Südtirol F. Castori
F. Castori
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cesena Rank: D
Monza Rank: L
Pescara Rank: W
Empoli Rank: W
Avellino Rank: W
Carrarese Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mantova Rank: L
Spezia Rank: L
Modena Rank: D
Cesena Rank: D
Frosinone Rank: L
Avellino Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sampdoria
42.36%
Draw
29.49%
Away Südtirol
28.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.75
16.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sampdoria
Südtirol
Power Score
23.75
16.55
League Position
12
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sampdoria Opponent-weighted form score
Südtirol Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sampdoria Südtirol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sampdoria SAM Home
6 matches
Südtirol SUD Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
5
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:24:53+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Capacity
33205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

98
Gaëtan Coucke
Gaëtan Coucke Goalkeeper
30
Nicola Ravaglia
Nicola Ravaglia Goalkeeper
1
Simone Ghidotti
Simone Ghidotti Goalkeeper
50
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli Goalkeeper
25
Alex Ferrari
Alex Ferrari Defender
23
Fabio Depaoli
Fabio Depaoli Defender
18
Lorenzo Venuti
Lorenzo Venuti Defender
17
Dennis Hadzikadunic
Dennis Hadzikadunic Defender
29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Alessandro Di Pardo Defender
5
Alessandro Pio Riccio
Alessandro Pio Riccio Defender
2
Mattia Viti
Mattia Viti Defender
21
Simone Giordano
Simone Giordano Defender
13
Matteo Palma
Matteo Palma Defender
39
Lorenzo Malanca
Lorenzo Malanca Defender
72
Antonín Barák
Antonín Barák Midfielder
28
Oliver Abildgaard
Oliver Abildgaard Midfielder
4
Jordan Ferri
Jordan Ferri Midfielder
8
Matteo Ricci
Matteo Ricci Midfielder
7
Manuel Cicconi
Manuel Cicconi Midfielder
16
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Midfielder
94
Salvatore Esposito
Salvatore Esposito Midfielder
33
Francesco Conti
Francesco Conti Midfielder
20
Simone Pafundi
Simone Pafundi Midfielder
34
Tommaso Casalino
Tommaso Casalino Midfielder
9
Massimo Coda
Massimo Coda Attacker
77
Nicholas Pierini
Nicholas Pierini Attacker
92
Edoardo Soleri
Edoardo Soleri Attacker
99
Matteo Brunori Sandri
Matteo Brunori Sandri Attacker
11
Tjaš Begić
Tjaš Begić Attacker
10
Luigi Cherubini
Luigi Cherubini Attacker

Squad

22
Alessio Cragno
Alessio Cragno Goalkeeper
1
Daniele Borra
Daniele Borra Goalkeeper
31
Marius Adamonis
Marius Adamonis Goalkeeper
62
Daniel Theiner
Daniel Theiner Goalkeeper
34
Frédéric Veseli
Frédéric Veseli Defender
5
Andrea Masiello
Andrea Masiello Defender
19
Nicola Pietrangeli
Nicola Pietrangeli Defender
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
Hamza El Kaouakibi Defender
24
Simone Davì
Simone Davì Defender
28
Raphael Kofler
Raphael Kofler Defender
23
Federico Davi
Federico Davi Defender
3
Filipe Bordon
Filipe Bordon Defender
4
Davide Mancini
Davide Mancini Defender
99
Simone Verdi
Simone Verdi Midfielder
79
Salvatore Molina
Salvatore Molina Midfielder
14
Mamadou Coulibaly
Mamadou Coulibaly Midfielder
89
Domen Črnigoj
Domen Črnigoj Midfielder
17
Daniele Casiraghi
Daniele Casiraghi Midfielder
21
Fabian Tait
Fabian Tait Midfielder
7
Karim Zedadka
Karim Zedadka Midfielder
18
Simone Tronchin
Simone Tronchin Midfielder
26
Marco Frigerio
Marco Frigerio Midfielder
6
Jacopo Martini
Jacopo Martini Midfielder
90
Raphael Odogwu
Raphael Odogwu Attacker
9
Emanuele Pecorino
Emanuele Pecorino Attacker
11
Riccardo Tonin
Riccardo Tonin Attacker
33
Silvio Merkaj
Silvio Merkaj Attacker

CONCLUSION

Sampdoria enter this fixture as clear favorites, leveraging their superior power and form ratings against a Südtirol side struggling for consistency. The home atmosphere at Luigi Ferraris should amplify their 7.2-point edge, potentially unlocking a vital win in the tight mid-table race. While data gaps on set pieces and efficiency leave some uncertainty, Sampdoria's overall profile points to control and chances created. Südtirol will need a disciplined display to counter, but the hosts' momentum suggests they edge it in a professional affair. A narrow Sampdoria victory looks likely.