Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Ak Bars Arena Today - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Rubin Kazan RKA
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
KICKOFF : Today - 4:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rubin Kazan hosts CSKA Moskva at Ak Bars Arena in a pivotal Premier League Regular Season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side holds a clear edge with a power score of 28.95 surpassing CSKA's 22.95 by 6 points, marking Rubin as the stronger team overall. Form metrics further bolster this, as Rubin's 26.72 rating towers over CSKA's modest 13.78, hinting at superior recent performances despite absent specific records. League standings place Rubin 7th and CSKA 6th, setting up a tight mid-table skirmish. Detailed insights into efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain elusive due to unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies, yet Rubin's structural advantages suggest control. CSKA must capitalize on any lapses to shift momentum in this evenly poised venue battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rubin Kazan possesses a 6-point power advantage over CSKA Moskva with scores of 28.95 to 22.95.
  • Form: Rubin Kazan's form score stands at 26.72, significantly higher than CSKA Moskva's 13.78.
  • Squad: League positions show CSKA Moskva at 6th and Rubin Kazan at 7th, indicating comparable squad depths.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for Rubin Kazan or CSKA Moskva.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables show null values across attack and defense for both Rubin Kazan and CSKA Moskva.
  • Market: Projection split: Rubin Kazan 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | CSKA Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
VS
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Moskva Rank: W
Akron Rank: D
Orenburg Rank: D
Sochi Rank: W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rostov Rank: D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Sochi Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 11 - 20
20
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rubin Kazan
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.95
22.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rubin Kazan
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
28.95
22.95
League Position
7
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Rubin Kazan Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rubin Kazan RKA Home
43 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
12
Wins
20
11
Draws
11
20
Losses
12
Goals
36
Goals Scored
59
59
Goals Conceded
36
-23
Goal Difference
+23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:08:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Staver
38 E. Staver
N. Lobov
98 N. Lobov
I. Vujačić
5 I. Vujačić
D. Maldonado Munguía
3 D. Maldonado Munguía
A. Arroyo Córdoba
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
V. Hodža
22 V. Hodža
I. Saavedra Pino
7 I. Saavedra Pino
I. Rozhkov
51 I. Rozhkov
N. Gripshi
11 N. Gripshi
J. Siwe
43 J. Siwe
R. Bezrukov
23 R. Bezrukov
V. Torop
49 V. Torop
M. Barbosa
27 M. Barbosa
K. Danilov
79 K. Danilov
J. Da Silva Marcelino
4 J. Da Silva Marcelino
M. Gajić
22 M. Gajić
D. Barinov
6 D. Barinov
I. Oblyakov
10 I. Oblyakov
D. Kozlov
18 D. Kozlov
L. Gondou
9 L. Gondou
D. Krugovoi
3 D. Krugovoi
T. Musaev
11 T. Musaev

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ak Bars Arena
Capacity
45105
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.82
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Midfielder
6.9
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Midfielder
6.89
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Attacker
7.03
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov Attacker
6.65
43
Jacques Siwe
Jacques Siwe Centre Forward
6.76
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado Left Back
6.75
5
Igor Vujacic
Igor Vujacic Centre Back
6.83
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Central Midfield
6.82
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Central Midfield
6.74
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Right Back
6.8

Starting XI

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.84
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev Centre Forward
6.86
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Right Wing
7.04
4
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
6.93
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Defensive Midfield
7.14
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou Attacking Midfield
6.62
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Defensive Midfield
7.43
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov Left Wing
6.56
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Right Back
6.73
27
Moisés
Moisés Left Back
6.81
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Left Back
6.68

CONCLUSION

Rubin Kazan appears poised for success against CSKA Moskva, leveraging superior power and form scores in this Ak Bars Arena showdown. The 6-point structural lead and doubled form rating underscore home dominance, even without granular efficiency or set-piece breakdowns. CSKA's slight positional edge offers little consolation amid Rubin's momentum. Expect a disciplined Rubin display to exploit CSKA's weaknesses, potentially securing vital points in the Regular Season grind. This matchup hinges on execution, with the hosts favored to prevail.