Real Valladolid vs SD Eibar preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Mon, 13 Apr - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
SD Eibar EIB
KICKOFF : Mon, 13 Apr - 6:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid host SD Eibar at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla in a Regular Season fixture of the 2025/2026 La Liga 2 campaign. Heading into this encounter, Real Valladolid currently sit 17th in the league standings, while the visiting SD Eibar occupy the 8th position. For the home side, their season form reads W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their most recent outing, Real Valladolid suffered a Loss away against Cultural Leonesa. Conversely, SD Eibar arrive in stronger overall condition, as their season form reads W5 D1 L0 from 6 matches. In their last fixture, SD Eibar recorded a Win at home against Ceuta. The away side holds a numerical advantage in the underlying metrics, presenting a power score of 69.08 compared to Real Valladolid's 55.73. Both clubs will look to execute their respective strategies in this league encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SD Eibar hold a +13.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: SD Eibar sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Real Valladolid show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: SD Eibar have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: SD Eibar carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: SD Eibar hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 42.6% | Draw 29.6% | SD Eibar 27.8%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 L
Cádiz Rank: 60 W
Burgos Rank: 67 L
Mirandés Rank: 57 L
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Málaga Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: 61 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 W
Las Palmas Rank: 69 W
FC Andorra Rank: 61 W
Burgos Rank: 65 D
Leganés Rank: 65 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
42.63%
Draw
29.55%
Away SD Eibar
27.82%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.73
69.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
SD Eibar
Power Score
55.73
69.08
League Position
17
8
Global Rank
469
206

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid SD Eibar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
13 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
16
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
16
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:03+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Michelin
2 C. Michelin
R. Martinez Gil
5 R. Martinez Gil
D. Torres Ortiz
4 D. Torres Ortiz
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
S. Jurić
24 S. Jurić
P. Gonzalez Carmona
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
S. Biuk
17 S. Biuk
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
A. Arbilla Zabala
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
15 J. Amador Silos
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
Á. Rodríguez Pérez
22 Á. Rodríguez Pérez
A. Madariaga Susaeta
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
S. Álvarez Díaz
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
M. Ares Djalo
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Martón Ansó
20 J. Martón Ansó
J. Corpas Serna
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Bautista Orgilles
9 J. Bautista Orgilles

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Centre Forward
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Left Wing
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
20
Chuki
Chuki Attacking Midfield
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Defensive Midfield
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Right Wing
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Defensive Midfield
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Right Back
4
David Torres
David Torres Left Back
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Right Back

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Centre Forward
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Defensive Midfield
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Right Back
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Left Back
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Defensive Midfield
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Right Wing
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Left Wing
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Attacking Midfield
22
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Right Back
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Left Back

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SD Eibar holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SD Eibar a 13.4-point edge. Market probabilities are Real Valladolid 42%, draw 29.6%, and SD Eibar 28.4%. That market view diverges from the structural profile, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.