Country 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sat, 28 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
VS
Burgos BUR
KICKOFF : Sat, 28 Mar - 3:15 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid host Burgos in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. Domestically, Real Valladolid sit 18th in the table while Burgos are 7th. Power ranking favours Burgos by 11 points heading into this fixture. Real Valladolid's recent form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches; Burgos's form is W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Real Valladolid Win at home against Leganés. Burgos last played away versus Racing Santander, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos hold a +11 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Real Valladolid are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Real Valladolid show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Burgos have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Burgos carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Burgos hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 43.4% | Draw 29.9% | Burgos 26.7%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Málaga Rank: 66 D
Huesca Rank: 60 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 D
Granada Rank: 67 L
Castellón Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Cádiz Rank: 61 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 D
Leganés Rank: 67 W
Málaga Rank: 69 L
Huesca Rank: 60 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
43.43%
Draw
29.88%
Away Burgos
26.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.37
67.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Burgos
Power Score
56.37
67.38
League Position
18
7
Global Rank
464
262

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Burgos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
5 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:03:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
I. Alejo Peralta
14 I. Alejo Peralta
R. Martinez Gil
5 R. Martinez Gil
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
S. Jurić
24 S. Jurić
S. Canós Tenes
7 S. Canós Tenes
S. Biuk
17 S. Biuk
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
A. Cantero Armendáriz
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
12 F. Miguel
O. Luengo Redondo
3 O. Luengo Redondo
S. González Martínez
6 S. González Martínez
A. Lizancos Saldaña
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
23 I. Ruiz
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
F. Niño Rodriguez
9 F. Niño Rodriguez
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 28, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
7
Sergi Canós
Sergi Canós Midfielder
20
Chuki
Chuki Midfielder
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Attacker
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Right Back
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Right Back
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Left Back
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Central Midfield

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
14
David González
David González Midfielder
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Right Back
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Central Midfield
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Right Back
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Left Back
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Central Midfield
3
Oier Luengo
Oier Luengo Left Back

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Burgos holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 11 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Real Valladolid at 43.2%, draw at 30.2%, Burgos at 26.6%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.