Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Raków Today - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion Raków, fifth-placed Raków Częstochowa face 12th-placed Korona Kielce, a matchup highlighting clear disparities in team strength. Raków hold a commanding power score of 68.76 compared to Korona's 60.84, yielding a 7.9-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority as the designated stronger side. Form metrics further favor the hosts, with Raków's 20.72 outpacing Korona's 14.33, suggesting better recent momentum despite limited outing details. League positions reinforce Raków's edge in this domestic contest. While advanced stats like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies, the overall power dynamics tilt towards a home-dominated affair. Korona will need to disrupt transitions and capitalize on any lapses to challenge. This encounter promises analytical intrigue as Raków seek to convert their advantages into points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Raków hold a 7.9-point power advantage at 68.76 versus Korona's 60.84.
  • Form: Raków's form score of 20.72 surpasses Korona's 14.33.
  • Squad: Raków sit 5th in the Ekstraklasa, while Korona occupy 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Power scores indicate Raków's stronger transition potential.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG unavailable; low-confidence proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG metrics absent across attack and defense categories.
  • Market: Projection split: Raków Częstochowa 52% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Korona Kielce 22.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Raków Częstochowa ?. Tomczyk
?. Tomczyk
VS
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Katowice Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
51.98%
Draw
25.71%
Away Korona Kielce
22.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.76
60.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Power Score
68.76
60.84
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
243
466

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Korona Kielce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Home
10 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
5
Goals
11
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
11
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:03:02+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
O. Zych
48 O. Zych
P. Dawidowicz
27 P. Dawidowicz
B. Racovitan
25 B. Racovitan
E. Svarnas
4 E. Svarnas
F. Tudor
7 F. Tudor
M. Bulat
5 M. Bulat
O. Repka
6 O. Repka
J. Silva Rocha
20 J. Silva Rocha
P. Makuch
9 P. Makuch
J. Brunes
18 J. Brunes
I. Brusberg
39 I. Brusberg
X. Dziekonski
1 X. Dziekonski
M. Pieczek
6 M. Pieczek
P. Resta Tell
5 P. Resta Tell
B. Smolarczyk
24 B. Smolarczyk
K. Matuszewski
3 K. Matuszewski
T. Svetlin
88 T. Svetlin
S. Gustafson
89 S. Gustafson
W. Długosz
71 W. Długosz
D. Błanik
7 D. Błanik
M. Stępiński
14 M. Stępiński
M. Remacle
8 M. Remacle

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Raków
Capacity
11600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
6.83
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Midfielder
7.02
20
Jean Carlos Silva
Jean Carlos Silva Midfielder
6.92
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
6.95
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Centre Forward
7.11
39
Isak Brusberg
Isak Brusberg Attacker
6.68
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Left Back
7.05
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Central Midfield
6.96
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Central Midfield
6.85
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan Centre Back
6.82
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Right Back
6.87

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6.94
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
6.94
71
Wiktor Dlugosz
Wiktor Dlugosz Midfielder
6.94
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Attacker
7.25
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Attacker
6.92
14
Mariusz Stepinski
Mariusz Stepinski Centre Forward
6.89
5
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Centre Back
7.1
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Left Back
6.88
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk Right Back
6.8
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Central Midfield
6.89
89
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Central Midfield
6.59

CONCLUSION

Raków Częstochowa enter as clear favorites, leveraging a 7.9-point power edge, superior form, and home advantage at Stadion Raków against a mid-table Korona Kielce. Their 5th-place standing contrasts Korona's 12th, amplifying the structural tilt. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece insights due to data gaps, the preview hinges on core metrics favoring the hosts decisively. Korona must excel in open play to counter, but Raków's momentum positions them to control proceedings and secure a positive result in this Ekstraklasa regular-season fixture.