Portsmouth vs Ipswich Town preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Fratton Park Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Championship
Portsmouth PTM
Ipswich Town IPS
KICKOFF : Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Portsmouth will host Ipswich Town at Fratton Park for this Regular Season match in the Championship. The two sides currently find themselves at opposite ends of the standings. The home team sits in 21st place in the league table, while the visiting side occupies the 2nd position. Portsmouth have found victories difficult to come by recently. Currently, their season form reads W0 D3 L3 from 6 matches. In their most recent fixture, they managed to secure a draw playing away against Middlesbrough. Ipswich Town approach this contest with a considerably stronger record as they aim to maintain their position near the top of the table. The visitors remain unbeaten over their recent span, and their season form reads W2 D4 L0 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Ipswich Town also recorded a draw, playing away against Norwich City.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Ipswich Town hold a +3.5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Ipswich Town sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Portsmouth show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Ipswich Town have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Ipswich Town carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Ipswich Town hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Portsmouth 21.4% | Draw 27.3% | Ipswich Town 51.3%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Portsmouth J. Mousinho
J. Mousinho
VS
Ipswich Town K. McKenna
K. McKenna
0.97
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Middlesbrough Rank: 73 D
Oxford United Rank: 65 D
Norwich City Rank: 71 D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 65 L
Derby County Rank: 68 L
Swansea City Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norwich City Rank: 72 D
Birmingham City Rank: 69 W
Millwall Rank: 74 D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: 53 W
Stoke City Rank: 67 D
Leicester City Rank: 67 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Portsmouth
21.39%
Draw
27.29%
Away Ipswich Town
51.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.99
68.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Portsmouth
Ipswich Town
Power Score
64.99
68.44
League Position
21
2
Global Rank
309
84

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Portsmouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Ipswich Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Portsmouth Ipswich Town

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Portsmouth PTM Home
10 matches
Ipswich Town IPS Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
5
Goals
12
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
12
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
N. Schmid
Austria
1 N. Schmid
T. Devlin
Northern Ireland
24 T. Devlin
R. Poole
Wales
5 R. Poole
C. Shaughnessy
Republic of Ireland
6 C. Shaughnessy
Z. Swanson
England
22 Z. Swanson
J. Swift
England
8 J. Swift
A. Dozzell
England
21 A. Dozzell
M. Alli
Republic of Ireland
27 M. Alli
C. Chaplin
England
36 C. Chaplin
H. Blair
England
29 H. Blair
L. Le Roux
South Africa
16 L. Le Roux
C. Walton
England
28 C. Walton
L. Davis
England
3 L. Davis
C. Kipre
Ivory Coast
4 C. Kipre
D. O'Shea
Republic of Ireland
26 D. O'Shea
D. Furlong
England
19 D. Furlong
J. Cajuste
Sweden
12 J. Cajuste
A. Matusiwa
Netherlands
5 A. Matusiwa
J. Clarke
England
47 J. Clarke
A. Mehmeti
Albania
33 A. Mehmeti
W. Burns
Wales
7 W. Burns
I. Monzón
Spain
31 I. Monzón

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 14, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Fratton Park
Capacity
20688
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thomas Kirk
Nigel Lugg
Hugh Gilroy
Samuel Allison

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolas Schmid
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper
5
Regan Poole
Regan Poole Defender
6
Conor Shaughnessy
Conor Shaughnessy Defender
22
Zak Swanson
Zak Swanson Defender
24
Terry Devlin
Terry Devlin Defender
8
John Swift
John Swift Midfielder
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
27
Millenic Alli
Millenic Alli Midfielder
29
Harvey Blair
Harvey Blair Midfielder
36
Conor Chaplin
Conor Chaplin Midfielder
16
Luke Le Roux
Luke Le Roux Attacker
Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

28
Christian Walton
Christian Walton Goalkeeper
3
Leif Davis
Leif Davis Defender
4
Cédric Kipré
Cédric Kipré Defender
19
Darnell Furlong
Darnell Furlong Defender
26
Dara O'Shea
Dara O'Shea Defender
5
Azor Matusiwa
Azor Matusiwa Midfielder
7
Wes Burns
Wes Burns Midfielder
12
Jens Cajuste
Jens Cajuste Midfielder
33
Anis Mehmeti
Anis Mehmeti Midfielder
47
Jack Clarke
Jack Clarke Midfielder
31
Iván Azón
Iván Azón Attacker

CONCLUSION

Ipswich Town enters this fixture with the stronger pre-match profile, maintaining a 3.5-point power advantage over Portsmouth. The market probabilities currently indicate an away victory as the most probable outcome, assigning Ipswich Town a 51.3 percent chance of success compared to just 21.4 percent for the hosts. Because the visitors hold both the underlying analytical superiority and the primary market backing, the market and structural signals explicitly align for this encounter. Portsmouth also faces a considerable form deficit, registering a 16.67 form score against the 55.56 mark of the away side. Ultimately, the hosts must deploy a highly disciplined defensive structure and limit unforced errors to disrupt the established rhythm of the opposition.