Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Pogoń Szczecin host Wisła Płock in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Domestically, Pogoń Szczecin sit 13th in the table while Wisła Płock are 5th. Power ranking favours Wisła Płock by 4.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Wisła Płock holds a 4.8-point power advantage over Pogoń Szczecin.
  • Form: Wisła Płock's form score of 27.78 exceeds Pogoń Szczecin's 16.28.
  • Squad: Wisła Płock ranks 5th in the league compared to Pogoń Szczecin's 13th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and no xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent, limiting advanced performance analysis.
  • Market: Pogoń Szczecin 49.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | Wisła Płock 24.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pogoń Szczecin T. Thomasberg
T. Thomasberg
VS
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Legia Warszawa Rank: L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pogoń Szczecin
49.28%
Draw
25.98%
Away Wisła Płock
24.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.89
28.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pogoń Szczecin
Wisła Płock
Power Score
23.89
28.67
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pogoń Szczecin Wisła Płock

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Home
19 matches
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
4
Draws
4
8
Losses
7
Goals
24
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
24
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T01:22:12+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Capacity
18027
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

77
Valentin Alexandru Cojocaru
Valentin Alexandru Cojocaru Goalkeeper
31
Krzysztof Kamiński
Krzysztof Kamiński Goalkeeper
83
Axel Holewinski
Axel Holewinski Goalkeeper
91
Kuba Bochniarz
Kuba Bochniarz Goalkeeper
41
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai Defender
23
Benjamin Mendy
Benjamin Mendy Defender
32
Leonardo Koutris
Leonardo Koutris Defender
28
Linus Wahlqvist
Linus Wahlqvist Defender
22
Danijel Lončar
Danijel Lončar Defender
15
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali Defender
4
Leonardo Borges da Silva
Leonardo Borges da Silva Defender
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Defender
38
Rafał Jakubowski
Rafał Jakubowski Defender
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Midfielder
14
José Ángel Pozo la Rosa
José Ángel Pozo la Rosa Midfielder
3
Kellyn Acosta
Kellyn Acosta Midfielder
6
Jan Biegański
Jan Biegański Midfielder
90
Sam Greenwood
Sam Greenwood Midfielder
19
Mor Ndiaye
Mor Ndiaye Midfielder
61
Kacper Smolinski
Kacper Smolinski Midfielder
20
Igor Brzyski
Igor Brzyski Midfielder
47
Natan Lawa
Natan Lawa Midfielder
11
Kamil Grosicki
Kamil Grosicki Attacker
24
Karol Angielski
Karol Angielski Attacker
7
Musa Juwara
Musa Juwara Attacker
9
Rajmund Molnár
Rajmund Molnár Attacker
18
Paul Omo Mukairu
Paul Omo Mukairu Attacker
25
Mads Agger
Mads Agger Attacker
10
Filip Čuić
Filip Čuić Attacker
30
Jacek Samuel Czapliński
Jacek Samuel Czapliński Attacker
21
Sebastian Rojek
Sebastian Rojek Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
26
Jakub Burek
Jakub Burek Goalkeeper
1
Stanisław Pruszkowski
Stanisław Pruszkowski Goalkeeper
35
Marcin Kamiński
Marcin Kamiński Defender
25
Nemanja Mijušković
Nemanja Mijušković Defender
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Defender
5
Marin Karamarko
Marin Karamarko Defender
42
Filip Zając
Filip Zając Defender
37
Matsvei Bakhno
Matsvei Bakhno Defender
8
Daniel Pacheco Lobato
Daniel Pacheco Lobato Midfielder
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
Quentin Lecoeuche Midfielder
88
Kiriakos Savvidis
Kiriakos Savvidis Midfielder
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Midfielder
16
Fabian Hiszpański
Fabian Hiszpański Midfielder
6
Krystian Pomorski
Krystian Pomorski Midfielder
21
Žan Rogelj
Žan Rogelj Midfielder
2
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic Midfielder
84
Tomas Franco Tavares
Tomas Franco Tavares Midfielder
11
Jorge Jiménez Rodríguez
Jorge Jiménez Rodríguez Midfielder
17
Matchoi Bobó Djaló
Matchoi Bobó Djaló Midfielder
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Midfielder
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
18
Dominik Sarapata
Dominik Sarapata Midfielder
76
Mateusz Leśniewski
Mateusz Leśniewski Midfielder
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić Attacker
20
Łukasz Sekulski
Łukasz Sekulski Attacker
66
Ibán Salvador Edu
Ibán Salvador Edu Attacker
9
Ioannis Niarchos
Ioannis Niarchos Attacker
77
Saïd Hamulic
Saïd Hamulic Attacker
27
Bartosz Borowski
Bartosz Borowski Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Wisła Płock holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Wisła Płock a 4.8-point edge. External projection is Pogoń Szczecin 50.6%, draw 25.2%, and Wisła Płock 24.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.