Pisa vs Lecce preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani Today - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Pisa PIS
Lecce LEC
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Pisa host Lecce in Serie A (Regular Season) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Domestically, Pisa sit 20th in the table while Lecce are 17th. Power ranking favours Lecce by 13.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lecce possesses a clear structural superiority with a 67.95 power score versus Pisa's 54.27, yielding a 13.7-point advantage.
  • Form: Pisa demonstrates stronger recent form at 5.89 compared to Lecce's 3.06.
  • Squad: Pisa sits 20th and Lecce 17th in the Serie A standings, both deeply involved in the relegation fight.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence levels with proxy metrics employed for both Pisa and Lecce.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of enabling data.
  • Market: Pisa 27.5% (Δ-0.3%) | Draw 31.4% (Δ+0.1%) | Lecce 41.1% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
0.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Parma Rank: 72 L
Genoa Rank: 74 L
Roma Rank: 83 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Como Rank: 83 L
Cagliari Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hellas Verona Rank: 63 D
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Atalanta Rank: 84 L
Roma Rank: 84 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pisa
27.5%
Draw
31.39%
Away Lecce
41.12%

Movement

Changes since opening
Pisa
-0.29%
Draw
+0.13%
Lecce
+0.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.27
67.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pisa
Lecce
Power Score
54.27
67.95
League Position
20
17
Global Rank
373
247

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pisa Lecce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pisa PIS Home
7 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
6
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:05:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Šemper
Croatia
1 A. Šemper
R. Bozhinov
Bulgaria
2 R. Bozhinov
A. Caracciolo
Italy
4 A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
Italy
5 S. Canestrelli
M. Marcel Léris
Algeria
7 M. Marcel Léris
E. Akinsanmiro
Nigeria
14 E. Akinsanmiro
M. Aebischer
Switzerland
20 M. Aebischer
?. Vural
Sweden
21 ?. Vural
S. Angori
Italy
3 S. Angori
S. Moreo
Italy
32 S. Moreo
F. Stojilkovic
Switzerland
81 F. Stojilkovic
W. Falcone
Italy
30 W. Falcone
A. Gallo
Italy
25 A. Gallo
T. Coelho Oliveira
44 T. Coelho Oliveira
J. Siebert
Germany
5 J. Siebert
D. Melo Veiga
Portugal
17 D. Melo Veiga
L. Coulibaly
Mali
29 L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
Albania
20 Y. Ramadani
L. Banda
Zambia
19 L. Banda
O. Gandelman
Israel
16 O. Gandelman
S. Pierotti
Argentina
50 S. Pierotti
N. Štulić
Serbia
9 N. Štulić

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Capacity
10442
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Guida
Paride Tremolada
Alessandro Lo Cicero
Paolo Laudato

Lineup

Referee : Marco Guida

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Rosen Bozhinov
Rosen Bozhinov Defender
6.81
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo Defender
6.72
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Defender
6.64
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Midfielder
6.75
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.75
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Midfielder
6.81
20
Michel Aebischer
Michel Aebischer Midfielder
6.85
21
İsak Vural
İsak Vural Midfielder
6.62
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.94
81
Filip Stojilkovic
Filip Stojilkovic Attacker
6.43
Referee : Marco Guida

Starting XI ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
6.79
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
6.74
17
Danilo Veiga
Danilo Veiga Defender
6.69
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo Defender
6.72
44
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel Defender
6.9
16
Omri Gandelman
Omri Gandelman Midfielder
6.54
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
6.82
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
6.83
9
Nikola Stulic
Nikola Stulic Attacker
6.64
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Attacker
6.64
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Attacker
6.54

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lecce holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lecce a 13.7-point edge. External projection is Pisa 29.3%, draw 31.6%, and Lecce 39.1%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.