Paris VS Brest

2025/2026 Ligue 1, France

Stade Jean Bouin Yesterday - 3:15 PM

Ligue 1

Paris PFC

Brest B29

KICKOFF : Yesterday - 3:15 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 regular season, Paris hosts Brest at Stade Jean Bouin, pitting two mid-table sides against each other—Brest in 11th and Paris in 12th. Brest emerges as the stronger team with a commanding power score of 73.68 compared to Paris's 59.75, translating to a 13.9-point advantage that underscores their overall quality edge. Yet, Paris counters with superior recent form, boasting a 22.89 score against Brest's 10.67, suggesting momentum on their side. Lacking specifics on last outings or detailed records, analysis leans on these core metrics. Advanced data like efficiency, set pieces, and transitions remain unavailable due to absent xG information and low-confidence proxies. This setup points to a contest where Brest's structural superiority challenges Paris's home advantage and form-driven intensity. Midfield control and finishing efficiency will likely prove decisive in a balanced affair.

TL;DR

Structural: Brest holds a 13.9-point power advantage over Paris with a 73.68 score to 59.75.
Form: Paris leads in form with a 22.89 score compared to Brest's 10.67.
Squad: Brest occupies 11th place in Ligue 1, one spot ahead of 12th-placed Paris.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in the available data.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
xVariable: No advanced x-metrics available for matchup analysis.
Market: Paris 47.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Brest 25.1% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

A. Kombouare

E. Roy

1.2

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.47

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 0

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Paris

47.26%

Draw

27.66%

Brest

25.08%

Team Power Ranking

59.75

73.68

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Paris

Brest

Power Score

59.75

73.68

League Position

Global Rank

169

129

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Paris — Opponent-weighted form score

Brest — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Brest

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris PFC Home

1 matches

Brest B29 Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:07:34+00:00

STARTING XI

35 K. Trapp

17 A. Camara

42 D. Coppola

5 M. Mbow

19 N. Sangui

23 R. Matondo

21 M. Lopez

93 N. Ikoné

18 M. Munetsi

27 M. Simon

36 C. Immobile

30 G. Coudert

12 T. Zogbe

44 S. Coulibaly

5 B. Chardonnet

77 K. Lala

8 H. Magnetti

13 J. Chotard

24 L. Tousart

7 E. Dina Ebimbe

19 L. Ajorque

10 R. Del Castillo

General Information

Date & Time

May 03, 2026, 03:15 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stade Jean Bouin

Capacity

15097

Pitch Surface

Artificial turf

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Marc Bollengier

Yannick Boutry

Anthony Ustaritz

Thomas Luczynski

Lineup

Referee : Marc Bollengier

Manager ▼

A. Kombouare Coach

Starting XI ▼

Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper

6.87

Moustapha Mbow Defender

6.93

Adama Camara Defender

6.77

Nhoa Sangui Defender

6.65

Diego Coppola Defender

6.85

Marshall Munetsi Midfielder

6.79

Maxime Lopez Midfielder

6.97

Rudy Matondo Midfielder

6.5

Moses Simon Attacker

6.77

Ciro Immobile Attacker

6.93

Jonathan Ikoné Attacker

6.76

Referee : Marc Bollengier

Manager ▼

E. Roy Coach

Starting XI ▼

Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper

6.85

Brendan Chardonnet Defender

7.04

Luck Zogbé Defender

6.75

Soumaïla Coulibaly Defender

6.65

Kenny Lala Defender

6.69

Hugo Magnetti Midfielder

6.81

Joris Chotard Midfielder

6.88

Lucas Tousart Midfielder

6.6

Junior Dina Ebimbe Attacker

6.6

Romain Del Castillo Attacker

6.95

Ludovic Ajorque Attacker

7.19

CONCLUSION

Brest's clear power edge positions them to dictate terms away from home, but Paris's stronger form and familiar surroundings at Stade Jean Bouin foster a competitive dynamic. Mid-table implications add motivation, with league spots closely contested. Absent specialized stats, success pivots on fundamental execution—defensive resilience, midfield battles, and clinical attacks. The even projection split highlights uncertainty, favoring neither decisively. Paris must harness momentum to neutralize Brest's quality, potentially forcing a draw or upset. Brest, however, could capitalize on their rating for a narrow victory in this tactical Ligue 1 showdown.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT