Palermo VS Catanzaro

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Renzo Barbera Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Palermo PAL

Catanzaro CAT

KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Palermo hosts Catanzaro at Stadio Renzo Barbera in a pivotal Serie B regular season encounter for the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting fourth in the table, Palermo leverages a commanding power score of 32.19 against Catanzaro's 25.51, translating to a 6.7-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Palermo's 28.33 rating eclipsing Catanzaro's modest 16.56, signaling momentum in the hosts' camp. Both sides lurk closely in the playoff chase, making this fifth-versus-fourth battle crucial. While detailed efficiency and set-piece data remain elusive due to low-confidence proxies, Palermo's home stronghold and overall edge position them to dictate proceedings. Catanzaro must disrupt early to counter the disparity.

TL;DR

Structural: Palermo possesses a superior power score of 32.19 versus Catanzaro's 25.51, yielding a 6.7-point advantage.
Form: Palermo's form score stands at 28.33, significantly ahead of Catanzaro's 16.56.
Squad: Palermo occupies 4th place in Serie B, just ahead of 5th-placed Catanzaro.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies for both teams with no xG available.
xVariable: xG statistics are unavailable, limiting advanced variable insights.
Market: Palermo 60.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.8% (Δ+0%) | Catanzaro 17% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

F. Inzaghi

A. Aquilani

2.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.81

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Palermo

60.16%

Draw

22.83%

Catanzaro

17.01%

Team Power Ranking

32.19

25.51

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Palermo

Catanzaro

Power Score

32.19

25.51

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Palermo — Opponent-weighted form score

Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Palermo Catanzaro

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Palermo PAL Home

5 matches

Catanzaro CAT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:24:46+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Capacity

36365

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

F. Inzaghi Coach

Squad ▼

Jesse Joronen Goalkeeper

Alfred Benjamin Gomis Goalkeeper

Francesco Di Bartolo Zuccarello Goalkeeper

Pietro Ceccaroni Defender

Mattia Bani Defender

Bartosz Bereszyński Defender

Tommaso Augello Defender

Giangiacomo Magnani Defender

Patryk Peda Defender

Niccolò Pierozzi Defender

Davide Veroli Defender

Alexis Blin Midfielder

Antonio Palumbo Midfielder

Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi Midfielder

Jacopo Segre Midfielder

Claudio Gomes Midfielder

Filippo Ranocchia Midfielder

Samuel Giovane Midfielder

Aljosa Vasic Midfielder

Dennis Johnsen Attacker

Joel Pohjanpalo Attacker

Rui Manuel Muati Modesto Attacker

Jérémy Le Douaron Attacker

Giacomo Corona Attacker

Manager ▼

A. Aquilani Coach

Squad ▼

Mirko Pigliacelli Goalkeeper

Christian Marietta Goalkeeper

Edoardo Borrelli Goalkeeper

Lorenzo Madia Goalkeeper

Nicolo Brighenti Defender

Matias Antonini Lui Defender

Tommaso Cassandro Defender

Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves Defender

Bruno Verrengia Defender

Mario Paura Defender

Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco Defender

Ervin Bashi Defender

Rémi Oudin Midfielder

Jacopo Petriccione Midfielder

Simone Pontisso Midfielder

Marco Pompetti Midfielder

Davide Buglio Midfielder

Gabriele Alesi Midfielder

Costantino Favasuli Midfielder

Alphadjo Cisse Midfielder

Ruggero Frosinini Midfielder

Mattia Liberali Midfielder

Fabio Rispoli Midfielder

Marco D'Alessandro Attacker

Federico Di Francesco Attacker

Pietro Iemmello Attacker

N'Dri Philippe Koffi Attacker

Filippo Pittarello Attacker

Patrick Amoako Nuamah Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Palermo holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Palermo a 6.7-point edge. External projection is Palermo 59.8%, draw 23.3%, and Catanzaro 17%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT