Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Stadion Gazovik Today - 9:30 AM
Premier League
Orenburg Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
KICKOFF : Today - 9:30 AM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Orenburg hosts Krylya Sovetov at Stadion Gazovik in the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season. Sitting 13th in the standings, the home team confronts 11th-placed visitors who hold a power score edge of 58.13 to 53.29, translating to a 4.8-point advantage that marks Krylya Sovetov as the stronger side overall. Form metrics reinforce this, showing Krylya at 24.78 versus Orenburg's 15.67, suggesting better recent momentum for the away outfit. Both clubs chase mid-table consolidation amid a competitive league landscape. Detailed set piece evaluations prove challenging with unavailable xG stats and low-confidence proxy data for attacks and defenses alike. Home familiarity could inspire Orenburg to challenge the visitors' superiority in what promises an intriguing tactical duel.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Krylya Sovetov enjoys a 4.8-point power advantage over Orenburg.
  • Form: Krylya Sovetov leads with a form score of 24.78 against Orenburg's 15.67.
  • Squad: Orenburg ranks 13th domestically while Krylya Sovetov holds 11th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in the provided dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG unavailable with low confidence and proxies for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent for attacks and defenses in set pieces.
  • Market: Orenburg 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Orenburg I. Akhmetzyanov
I. Akhmetzyanov
VS
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: 51 L
Rostov Rank: 60 W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 53 W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 L
Rubin Kazan Rank: 64 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 W
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 71 W
Sochi Rank: 51 L
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 D
Zenit Rank: 81 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Orenburg
0%
Draw
0%
Away Krylya Sovetov
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.29
58.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
Power Score
53.29
58.13
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
693
554

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Orenburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Orenburg Krylya Sovetov

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Orenburg Orenburg Home
13 matches
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
18
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T08:00:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
B. Ovsyannikov
1 B. Ovsyannikov
I. Ivashchenko
65 I. Ivashchenko
J. Palacios Santos
6 J. Palacios Santos
D. Khotulev
4 D. Khotulev
F. Moufi
18 F. Moufi
E. Santos Queiroz
37 E. Santos Queiroz
E. Bolotov
57 E. Bolotov
A. Cantero Fernandez
32 A. Cantero Fernandez
J. Thompson
16 J. Thompson
G. Guzina
30 G. Guzina
F. Gürlük
7 F. Gürlük
S. Pesyakov
30 S. Pesyakov
K. Pechenin
2 K. Pechenin
S. Bozhin
47 S. Bozhin
N. Chernov
23 N. Chernov
F. Peixoto Costanza
22 F. Peixoto Costanza
M. Vityugov
8 M. Vityugov
S. Babkin
6 S. Babkin
I. Oleynikov
19 I. Oleynikov
M. Banjac
14 M. Banjac
N. Rasskazov
15 N. Rasskazov
A. Rahmanović
11 A. Rahmanović

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 09:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Gazovik
Capacity
7520
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
B. Ovsyannikov
B. Ovsyannikov Goalkeeper
6.8
18
Fahd Moufi
Fahd Moufi Midfielder
6.89
32
Alexis Cantero
Alexis Cantero Midfielder
6.58
7
E. Gürlük
E. Gürlük Attacker
6.95
16
J. Thompson
J. Thompson Attacker
7.01
30
G. Guzina
G. Guzina Centre Forward
6.76
4
D. Khotulev
D. Khotulev Left Back
6.6
6
Jhon Alex Palacios
Jhon Alex Palacios Centre Back
6.78
57
E. Bolotov
E. Bolotov Central Midfield
6.57
37
Du Queiroz
Du Queiroz Central Midfield
6.83
65
Ivan Ivashchenko
Ivan Ivashchenko Right Back
6.83

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper
6.95
11
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović Centre Forward
6.76
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Left Back
6.75
8
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov Defensive Midfield
6.66
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac Attacking Midfield
6.72
6
S. Babkin
S. Babkin Defensive Midfield
6.69
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Right Wing
6.49
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Left Wing
6.86
22
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza Right Back
6.88
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Right Back
6.79
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Left Back
6.89

CONCLUSION

Krylya Sovetov enters as the stronger team backed by superior power ratings and form, potentially securing an away win at Stadion Gazovik. Orenburg's 13th position trails the visitors' 11th, yet home advantage offers a platform for resistance. Absent efficiency and detailed set piece insights limit deeper analysis, shifting focus to raw momentum and execution. Krylya's 4.8-point edge underscores their consistency in the Premier League grind. This regular season clash could hinge on defensive solidity and opportunistic strikes, with mid-table implications at stake. Narrow margins often define such encounters.