Olympique Marseille vs Nice preview
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Ligue 1
Nice
NCE
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Events
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼











Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼





CONTEXT
Olympique Marseille and Nice remain deadlocked at 0-0 in this Ligue 1 encounter during the live second half at minute 45, with the home side firmly in control. Pregame favorites Olympique Marseille, boasting a structural edge and projection leadership, have dictated terms through 69% possession against Nice's defensive 31%, yet clinical finishing has eluded them. No red cards disrupt the flow, and live deviation stays in line with pre-match projections under neutral alignment. Efficiency shifts mirror expectations, reflecting a cagey affair where Marseille's dominance hasn't yet translated to the scoreboard. Nice's resilience on limited ball share keeps the contest balanced, but mounting home pressure signals potential cracks in the visitors' resolve as the second half progresses.
TL;DR
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Live state: Olympique Marseille and Nice are tied 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45 with no red cards.
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Structural vs live: Pregame structural favorite Olympique Marseille maintains a draw in line with live structural developments.
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Projection vs live: Live draw shows neutral alignment with pre-match projection favoring Olympique Marseille.
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xG trend: xG data unavailable but 0-0 scoreline aligns with in-line efficiency shifts from pregame.
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Possession profile: Olympique Marseille holds 69% possession to Nice's 31%, matching pregame home dominance signals.
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Event impact: Absence of red cards and scoring events keeps live state in line with pre-match efficiency projections.
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Second-half outlook: Marseille's possession edge projects potential home breakthrough against Nice's defensive setup in the second half.
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Market: Olympique Marseille 87.1% (Δ+0.9%) | Draw 11.8% (Δ-0.7%) | Nice 1.2% (Δ-0.2%).
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Movement
Changes since opening
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Team Power Ranking
i
24.82
17.86
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Olympique Marseille
⚠ Proxy
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
Nice
Olympique Marseille
Nice
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- OM had peak pressure around 70'.
- OM started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T18:30:31+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Olympique Marseille
vs
Nantes
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nice
vs
Lens
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 7:05 PM
Venue: Allianz Riviera
Match Commentary