Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Groupama Stadium Yesterday - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
Rennes REN
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 6:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Olympique Lyonnais welcome Rennes to Groupama Stadium for a pivotal Ligue 1 regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. Lyon occupy 4th place, one spot ahead of 5th-placed Rennes, intensifying the stakes for Champions League qualification. The hosts boast a power score of 82.14 against Rennes' 79.57, translating to a 2.6-point advantage that marks Lyon as the stronger outfit. Form scores tilt slightly Lyon's way at 28.5 versus 26.22, underscoring their marginal edge entering this contest. Home familiarity bolsters Lyon's structural setup, while both sides prepare for a competitive scrap. Set piece analysis reveals low-confidence proxy data with no xG available, shifting emphasis to open-play dynamics. Efficiency metrics remain absent, potentially spotlighting transitional phases. Lyon's domestic positioning and power metrics position them to dictate terms in this closely matched encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Olympique Lyonnais hold a structural edge with home advantage at Groupama Stadium and superior power score.
  • Form: Lyon's form score stands at 28.5, ahead of Rennes' 26.22.
  • Squad: No specific squad disruptions reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transitional play likely key amid limited set piece insights.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data.
  • xVariable: Lyon's 2.6-point power advantage highlights their overall edge.
  • Market: Olympique Lyonnais 43.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Rennes 30.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Rennes F. Haise
F. Haise
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Auxerre Rank: 69 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 W
Lorient Rank: 73 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Monaco Rank: 79 L
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes Rank: 64 W
Strasbourg Rank: 80 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Brest Rank: 74 W
Metz Rank: 62 D
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 11 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
43.51%
Draw
26.34%
Away Rennes
30.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.14
79.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Rennes
Power Score
82.14
79.57
League Position
4
5
Global Rank
46
61

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Rennes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Rennes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
40 matches
Rennes REN Away
Match Record
14
Wins
15
11
Draws
11
15
Losses
14
Goals
48
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
48
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:09:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
D. Greif
Slovakia
1 D. Greif
A. Maitland-Niles
England
98 A. Maitland-Niles
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
Angola
22 C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Niakhaté
Senegal
19 M. Niakhaté
A. Da Silva Santos
Brazil
16 A. Da Silva Santos
T. Tessmann
United States
6 T. Tessmann
T. Morton
England
23 T. Morton
E. Moreira de Sousa
Brazil
9 E. Moreira de Sousa
K. Merah
44 K. Merah
A. Bastardo Moreira
Portugal
17 A. Bastardo Moreira
R. Yaremchuk
Ukraine
77 R. Yaremchuk
B. Samba
France
30 B. Samba
Q. Merlin
France
26 Q. Merlin
L. Brassier
France
3 L. Brassier
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Morocco
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
A. Seidu
Ghana
36 A. Seidu
M. Camara
France
45 M. Camara
V. Rongier
France
21 V. Rongier
L. Blas
France
10 L. Blas
E. Lepaul
France
9 E. Lepaul
B. Embolo
Switzerland
7 B. Embolo
M. Al Tamari
Jordan
11 M. Al Tamari

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Capacity
59186
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathieu Vernice
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages

Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.02
16
Abner
Abner Defender
6.85
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
7.04
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Defender
6.82
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Defender
6.82
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Midfielder
6.82
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
7.11
44
Khalis Merah
Khalis Merah Midfielder
6.64
9
Endrick
Endrick Attacker
7.3
17
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira Attacker
6.98
77
Roman Yaremchuk
Roman Yaremchuk Attacker
6.89
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

30
Brice Samba
Brice Samba Goalkeeper
6.84
3
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier Defender
6.82
26
Quentin Merlin
Quentin Merlin Defender
6.93
36
Alidu Seidu
Alidu Seidu Defender
6.8
48
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Defender
6.7
10
Ludovic Blas
Ludovic Blas Midfielder
6.91
21
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier Midfielder
7.26
45
Mahdi Camara
Mahdi Camara Midfielder
6.86
7
Breel Embolo
Breel Embolo Attacker
6.84
9
Estéban Lepaul
Estéban Lepaul Attacker
6.86
11
Mousa Tamari
Mousa Tamari Attacker
6.9

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Olympique Lyonnais holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Olympique Lyonnais a 2.6-point edge. External projection is Olympique Lyonnais 43.3%, draw 25.8%, and Rennes 30.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.