Olympique Lyonnais vs Lorient preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Groupama Stadium Sun, 12 Apr - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
Lorient LOR
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Olympique Lyonnais will host Lorient at Groupama Stadium for a Regular Season fixture in Ligue 1. Entering this match, the home side currently sits in 6th place in the league standings, while the visiting team occupies the 9th position. For Olympique Lyonnais, their recent season form reads W0 D3 L3 from 6 matches. In their most recent outing, they played away from home against Angers SCO, where the match ended in a Draw. The hosts will look to address their lack of recent victories as they return to their home stadium for this fixture. Meanwhile, Lorient arrives with a somewhat similar recent record, as their season form reads W1 D4 L1 from 6 matches. In their previous fixture, they secured a Draw in a home match against Paris. Both clubs will seek to accumulate more points and improve their current mid-table standings as the domestic campaign continues.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Olympique Lyonnais hold a +19 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Lorient sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Olympique Lyonnais show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Olympique Lyonnais have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Olympique Lyonnais carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Olympique Lyonnais hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Olympique Lyonnais 56.1% | Draw 24.9% | Lorient 19%
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Lorient O. Pantaloni
O. Pantaloni
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Monaco Rank: 80 L
Le Havre Rank: 66 D
Paris Rank: 69 D
Olympique Marseille Rank: 81 L
Strasbourg Rank: 80 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Rank: 69 D
Toulouse Rank: 73 L
Lens Rank: 83 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 79 D
Auxerre Rank: 68 D
Nice Rank: 69 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 10 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
56.14%
Draw
24.91%
Away Lorient
18.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.04
61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Lorient
Power Score
80.04
61
League Position
6
9
Global Rank
62
131

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Lorient — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Lorient

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
31 matches
Lorient LOR Away
Match Record
14
Wins
7
10
Draws
10
7
Losses
14
Goals
50
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
50
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:02:21+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Greif
1 D. Greif
A. Maitland-Niles
98 A. Maitland-Niles
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
22 C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Niakhaté
19 M. Niakhaté
A. Da Silva Santos
16 A. Da Silva Santos
T. Tessmann
6 T. Tessmann
T. Morton
23 T. Morton
E. Moreira de Sousa
9 E. Moreira de Sousa
C. Tolisso
8 C. Tolisso
A. Bastardo Moreira
17 A. Bastardo Moreira
R. Yaremchuk
77 R. Yaremchuk
Y. Mvogo
38 Y. Mvogo
A. Faye
25 A. Faye
M. Talbi
3 M. Talbi
A. Meité
5 A. Meité
K. Kouassi
43 K. Kouassi
A. Ebong Avon
62 A. Ebong Avon
N. Cadiou
8 N. Cadiou
T. Le Bris
11 T. Le Bris
P. Pagis
10 P. Pagis
J. Makengo
17 J. Makengo
Bamba Dieng
12 Bamba Dieng

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Capacity
59186
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Benoît Bastien
Hicham Zakrani
Karim Abed
Aurélien Berthomieu

Expected Lineup

Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
77
Roman Yaremchuk
Roman Yaremchuk Centre Forward
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Right Back
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Right Back
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Left Back
9
Endrick
Endrick Right Wing
8
Corentin Tolisso
Corentin Tolisso Attacking Midfield
17
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira Left Wing
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Defensive Midfield
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Defensive Midfield
16
Abner
Abner Left Back
Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

38
Yvon Mvogo
Yvon Mvogo Goalkeeper
11
Théo Le Bris
Théo Le Bris Midfielder
17
Jean-Victor Makengo
Jean-Victor Makengo Midfielder
10
Pablo Pagis
Pablo Pagis Midfielder
43
Arsène Kouassi
Arsène Kouassi Midfielder
12
Bamba Dieng
Bamba Dieng Centre Forward
25
Abdoulaye Faye
Abdoulaye Faye Left Back
3
Montassar Talbi
Montassar Talbi Centre Back
5
Bamo Meïté
Bamo Meïté Right Back
8
Noah Doriann Cadiou
Noah Doriann Cadiou Central Midfield
62
Arthur Avom
Arthur Avom Central Midfield

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Olympique Lyonnais holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Olympique Lyonnais a 19-point edge. Market probabilities are Olympique Lyonnais 56.1%, draw 24.9%, and Lorient 19%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.