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Nice vs Lens preview

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Allianz Riviera Sat, 2 May - 7:05 PM
Ligue 1
Nice NCE
0 – 1
2ND HALF 76
Lens LEN
Live : 2nd Half Sat, 2 May 7:05 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Allan Saint-Maximin - 60'

Events

2ND-HALF
77'
Event
Abdallah Sima → Odsonne Édouard
4th Substitution
Event
Isak Jansson → Mohamed-Ali Cho
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Salis Abdul Samed → Morgan Sanson
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Ali Abdi → Kaïl Boudache
1st Substitution
71'
60'
Event
Allan Saint-Maximin
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Juma Bah
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
45'
44'
Event
Florian Thauvin
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
Event
Malang Sarr
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

75
Attempt Attempt
Ali Abdi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Update Update
Allan Saint-Maximin attempts a header but misses the target.
71
Attempt Attempt
Florian Thauvin takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
71
Update Update
Isak Jansson comes on for Mohamed Ali-Cho.
71
Substitution Substitution
Ali Abdi is substituted for Kail Boudache.
71
Update Update
Isak Jansson replaces Mohamed Ali-Cho.
70
Attempt Attempt
Malang Sarr takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Allan Saint-Maximin scores with a left-footed shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Allan Saint-Maximin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Allan Saint-Maximin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Allan Saint-Maximin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Odsonne Edouard takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Ali-Cho takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Pierre Ganiou's header is saved.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Malang Sarr receives a yellow card.
22
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Sangare takes a left-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Kail Boudache takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Sofiane Diop takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Allan Saint-Maximin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Ali-Cho with his right foot is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Abdulay Juma Bah takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Sangare's right-footed shot is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Pierre Ganiou takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Update Update
Samson Baidoo's header is blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Odsonne Edouard takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Sangare takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdulay Juma Bah receives a yellow card.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Florian Thauvin receives a yellow card.

Statistics

Possession
NCE
43%
LEN
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
1 Shots 6
28 Dangerous attacks 39
42 Possession 58
5 Corners 8
9 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Throwins 15
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
24 Dribble Attempts 13
8 Successful Headers 14
7 Successful Dribbles 5
7 Goal Kicks 4
1 Injuries 0
1 Goal Attempts 6
46 Ball Safe 41
0 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

64 Attacks 93
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

238 Successful Passes 355
82 Successful Passes Percentage 86
15 Successful Long Passes 15
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
38 Long Passes 29
290 Passes 411
3 Key Passes 15

Defensive

15 Tackles 26
38 Duels Won 53
13 Interceptions 13
3 Saves 1

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 15
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

6 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

80
Yehvann Diouf
Yehvann Diouf Goalkeeper
7.01
28
Juma Bah
Juma Bah Defender
6.78
33
Antoine Mendy
Antoine Mendy Defender
6.68
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
Kojo Peprah Oppong Defender
6.79
6
Hicham Boudaoui
Hicham Boudaoui Midfielder
6.74
8
Morgan Sanson
Morgan Sanson Midfielder
6.59
99
Salis Abdul Samed
Salis Abdul Samed
Midfielder71'
6.45
20
Tom Louchet
Tom Louchet Midfielder
6.8
26
Melvin Bard
Melvin Bard Midfielder
6.78
32
Kaïl Boudache
Kaïl Boudache Midfielder
6.6
2
Ali Abdi
Ali Abdi
Defender71'
6.56
10
Sofiane Diop
Sofiane Diop Attacker
6.95
25
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Mohamed-Ali Cho Attacker
6.82
21
Isak Jansson
Isak Jansson
Attacker71'
6.63
Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
6.87
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
7.07
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
7.14
25
Ismaëlo Ganiou
Ismaëlo Ganiou Defender
6.9
8
Mamadou Sangaré
Mamadou Sangaré Midfielder
7.25
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Midfielder
7.09
23
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid Midfielder
6.82
28
Adrien Thomasson
Adrien Thomasson Midfielder
7.23
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin Attacker
7.14
10
Florian Thauvin
Florian Thauvin Attacker
7.32
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
6.88
19
Abdallah Sima
Abdallah Sima
Attacker77'
6.76

CONTEXT

In the live second half at minute 45, Nice and Lens remain locked in a tense 0-0 draw at Stade de Nice. The home side, Nice, is struggling to gain traction with just 40% possession, allowing Lens to control the tempo at 60%. Despite pre-match projections favoring Lens as the stronger outfit, the game has stayed in line with expectations so far, showing neutral alignment between projections and live action. No red cards have disrupted the flow, keeping both teams at full strength. Nice's defense has held firm against Lens's dominance, but the visitors' pressure hints at potential breakthroughs. The match feels evenly poised early in the second half, with neither side converting chances into goals yet. Fans are on edge as the battle for supremacy intensifies.

TL;DR

  • Live state: The match is 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45 with Nice at 40% possession and Lens at 60%.
  • Structural vs live: Pregame stronger team Lens sees a draw as live leader, maintaining structural balance.
  • Projection vs live: Projection leader Lens aligns neutrally with the live 0-0 draw in line with pre-match deviation.
  • xG trend: xG data is not available at this stage of the live second half.
  • Possession profile: Nice holds 40% possession versus Lens's 60%, reflecting Lens's pregame strength advantage.
  • Event impact: No red cards or major events have altered the 0-0 scoreline in line with pre-match projections.
  • Second-half outlook: Early second half at minute 45 suggests Lens's possession edge could pressure Nice's defense per pregame signals.
  • Market: Nice 2.3% (Δ-0.5%) | Draw 17% (Δ-0.2%) | Lens 80.7% (Δ+0.7%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Léonard
T. Léonard
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
H. Ocak
H. Ocak
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
C. Mouysset
C. Mouysset
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
R. Landry
R. Landry
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.94
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Nice C. Puel
C. Puel
VS
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
0.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Marseille Rank: 80 D
LOSC Lille Rank: 80 D
Le Havre Rank: 66 D
Strasbourg Rank: 78 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Lorient Rank: 74 L
Metz Rank: 62 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 8 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nice
2.28%
Draw
17.02%
Away Lens
80.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
Nice
-0.5%
Draw
-0.15%
Lens
+0.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.88
82.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nice
Lens
Power Score
71.88
82.03
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
154
49

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nice — Opponent-weighted form score
Lens — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nice Lens

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nice

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lens

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lens
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nice Lens
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nice Lens
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nice
Lens
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nice
vs
Lens
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nice Lens
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nice 0.00
Lens 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nice Lens
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nice 0.00
Lens 0.00
Nice
Lens
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LEN had peak pressure around 7'.
  • LEN started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
NCE Pressure LEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LEN reached the top pressure at 7' (65.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nice NCE Home
23 matches
Lens LEN Away
Match Record
9
Wins
6
8
Draws
8
6
Losses
9
Goals
19
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
19
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T19:00:35+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
Y. Diouf
France
80 Y. Diouf
A. Mendy
France
33 A. Mendy
A. Juma Bah
Sierra Leone
28 A. Juma Bah
K. Peprah Oppong
Ghana
37 K. Peprah Oppong
T. Louchet
France
20 T. Louchet
A. Abdi
Tunisia
2 A. Abdi
H. Boudaoui
Algeria
6 H. Boudaoui
S. Samed
Ghana
99 S. Samed
M. Bard
France
26 M. Bard
S. Diop
Morocco
10 S. Diop
I. Jansson
Sweden
21 I. Jansson
R. Risser
France
40 R. Risser
M. Sarr
France
20 M. Sarr
S. Baidoo
Austria
6 S. Baidoo
P. Ganiou
France
25 P. Ganiou
M. Udol
France
14 M. Udol
A. Thomasson
France
28 A. Thomasson
M. Sangare
Mali
8 M. Sangare
S. Abdul Hamid
Saudi Arabia
23 S. Abdul Hamid
A. Saint-Maximin
France
9 A. Saint-Maximin
F. Thauvin
France
10 F. Thauvin
A. Sima
Senegal
19 A. Sima

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 07:05 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Riviera
Capacity
36178
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thomas Léonard
Huseyin Ocak
Christophe Mouysset
Remi Landry

CONCLUSION

With the score still 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45, Lens's 60% possession dominance underscores their pregame favoritism, yet Nice's resilience keeps it in line with neutral projections. No disruptions from red cards allow for open play ahead. The visitors' control hints at growing momentum, but the home side's stubborn defense demands respect. Expect intensified action as the half progresses, where Lens's structural edge might finally yield a breakthrough against a compact Nice setup.