Mantova VS Monza

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Danilo Martelli Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Mantova MAN

Monza MON

KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Serie B Regular Season at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova (11th) welcome ambitious Monza (3rd) in a matchup highlighting contrasting ambitions for the 2025/2026 campaign. Monza arrives with a commanding power score of 35.31, eclipsing Mantova's 25.61 by a 9.7-point margin, underscoring their structural superiority. Recent form tilts towards the visitors too, with Monza's 28.33 edging Mantova's 24.22, reflecting better momentum despite limited outing details. League standings reinforce Monza's edge, sitting six places higher and chasing promotion. Mantova will lean on home support, but face a Monza side efficient in key phases, though set-piece data remains sparse with low confidence and no xG metrics available. Expect a tactical battle where Monza's transition play could prove decisive, testing Mantova's resolve.

TL;DR

Structural: Monza holds a 9.7-point power advantage over Mantova with scores of 35.31 to 25.61.
Form: Monza enters with better form at 28.33 compared to Mantova's 24.22.
Squad: Monza ranks higher at 3rd in the league versus Mantova's 11th position.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition data is not specified in available metrics.
Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with no xG data for either team using proxies.
xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of add-on data.
Market: Mantova 20.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.5% (Δ+0%) | Monza 53.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

F. Modesto

P. Bianco

1.46

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.12

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Mantova

20.73%

Draw

25.52%

Monza

53.75%

Team Power Ranking

25.61

35.31

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Mantova

Monza

Power Score

25.61

35.31

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Mantova — Opponent-weighted form score

Monza — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mantova Monza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mantova MAN Home

1 matches

Monza MON Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:25:13+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Capacity

7487

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

F. Modesto Coach

Squad ▼

Francesco Bardi Goalkeeper

Marco Festa Goalkeeper

Lorenzo Andrenacci Goalkeeper

Ante Vuković Goalkeeper

Andrea Meroni Defender

Stefano Cella Defender

Fahem Benaissa-Yahia Defender

Tommaso Maggioni Defender

Tiago Lisboa Silva Gonçalves Defender

Calixte Paul Ligue Defender

Ali Dembélé Defender

Nicolò Radaelli Defender

Konstantinos Chrisopoulos Defender

Alessio Castellini Defender

Côme Bianay Balcot Defender

César Alejandro Falletti dos Santos Midfielder

Simone Trimboli Midfielder

Federico Zuccon Midfielder

David Wieser Midfielder

Francesco Ruocco Midfielder

Flavio Paoletti Midfielder

Rachid Kouda Midfielder

Leonardo Mancuso Attacker

Davis Mensah Attacker

Nicolò Buso Attacker

Nicholas Bonfanti Attacker

Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci Attacker

Davide Bragantini Attacker

Maat Daniel Caprini Attacker

Tommaso Simone Marras Attacker

Manager ▼

P. Bianco Coach

Squad ▼

Demba Thiam Goalkeeper

Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper

Aljaž Strajnar Goalkeeper

Samuele Birindelli Defender

Luca Ravanelli Defender

Filippo Delli Carri Defender

Arvid Brorsson Defender

Valentin Ivaylov Antov Defender

Andrea Carboni Defender

Saverio Domanico Defender

Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender

Adam Bakoune Defender

Samuele Capolupo Defender

Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo Midfielder

Patrick Ciurria Midfielder

Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder

Hernani Azevedo Júnior Midfielder

Matteo Pessina Midfielder

Andrea Colpani Midfielder

Giuseppe Caso Midfielder

Nicolas Galazzi Midfielder

Leonardo Colombo Midfielder

Mirko Marić Attacker

Keita Baldé Diao Attacker

Andrea Petagna Attacker

Dany Mota Carvalho Attacker

Patrick Cutrone Attacker

Omari Forson Attacker

Agustín Álvarez Martínez Attacker

CONCLUSION

Monza's superior power rating, form, and league standing position them as favorites against Mantova, who must maximize home advantage at Stadio Danilo Martelli. The 9.7-point edge suggests Monza's structural dominance could shine in transitions, while sparse set-piece insights leave room for surprises. Mantova's mid-table grit faces Monza's promotion push, likely tilting the scales towards an away victory in this Serie B encounter. Key to watch: Monza capitalizing on their momentum for three points.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT